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Kansas St at Arizona: Over/Under Analysis
Wednesday Jan 7, 2026 9:00 pm -
Tucson, AZ
Odds:
Arizona by 18,
Total Points:
172
Matchup Menu: KSU @ ARIZ
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Model | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| Under 172.0 | Official TR Pick | 53% odds to go under |
| Under 172.0 | Decision Tree | 53% odds to go under |
| Over 172.0 | Similar Games | 54% odds to go over |
Over/Under Situational Trends
| Record | KSU | ARIZ |
|---|---|---|
| Season | 17-15-0 | 20-19-0 |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 |
| vs Conference | 9-10-0 | 10-11-0 |
| Streak | Ov 2 | Ov 1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 3-2-0 |
| Last 10 | 6-4-0 | 6-4-0 |
| Home | 9-9-0 | 8-9-0 |
| Away | 8-6-0 | 12-10-0 |
Records denote overs-unders-pushes
Kansas St Detailed Over/Under Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Total | Score | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/04 | Home | NC Greensboro | 149.0 | 93-64 | Over | +8.0 |
| 11/08 | Home | Bellarmine | 168.5 | 98-71 | Over | +0.5 |
| 11/13 | Home | California | 163.5 | 99-96 | Over | +31.5 |
| 11/17 | Home | Tulsa | 159.5 | 84-83 | Over | +7.5 |
| 11/20 | Neutral | Mississippi St | 165.0 | 98-77 | Over | +10.0 |
| 11/21 | Neutral | Nebraska | 169.0 | 85-86 | Over | +2.0 |
| 11/25 | Away | Indiana | 164.0 | 69-86 | Under | -9.0 |
| 12/01 | Home | Bowling Green | 159.0 | 66-82 | Under | -11.0 |
| 12/06 | Home | Seton Hall | 148.0 | 67-78 | Under | -3.0 |
| 12/08 | Home | Miss Valley St | 160.5 | 108-49 | Under | -3.5 |
| 12/13 | Away | Creighton | 159.5 | 83-76 | Under | -0.5 |
| 12/20 | Home | South Dakota | 176.5 | 106-76 | Over | +5.5 |
| 12/28 | Home | UL Monroe | 169.0 | 94-85 | Over | +10.0 |
| 01/03 | Home | BYU | 175.5 | 73-83 | Under | -19.5 |
| 01/07 | Away | Arizona | 172.0 | 76-101 | Over | +5.0 |
| 01/10 | Away | Arizona St | 169.5 | 84-87 | Over | +1.5 |
| 01/14 | Home | UCF | 170.5 | 73-82 | Under | -15.5 |
| 01/17 | Away | Oklahoma St | 175.5 | 83-84 | Under | -8.5 |
| 01/20 | Home | Utah | 168.5 | 81-78 | Under | -9.5 |
| 01/24 | Home | Kansas | 158.5 | 62-86 | Under | -10.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | West Virginia | 145.5 | 54-59 | Under | -32.5 |
| 02/01 | Home | Iowa St | 154.5 | 61-95 | Over | +1.5 |
| 02/07 | Away | TCU | 155.5 | 82-84 | Over | +10.5 |
| 02/11 | Home | Cincinnati | 149.5 | 62-91 | Over | +3.5 |
| 02/14 | Away | Houston | 144.0 | 64-78 | Under | -2.0 |
| 02/17 | Home | Baylor | 158.5 | 90-74 | Over | +5.5 |
| 02/21 | Away | Texas Tech | 158.5 | 72-100 | Over | +13.5 |
| 02/25 | Away | Colorado | 163.5 | 70-79 | Under | -14.5 |
| 02/28 | Home | TCU | 160.5 | 68-77 | Under | -15.5 |
| 03/03 | Home | West Virginia | 143.5 | 65-63 | Under | -15.5 |
| 03/07 | Away | Kansas | 157.5 | 85-104 | Over | +31.5 |
| 03/10 | Neutral | BYU | 168.5 | 91-105 | Over | +27.5 |
Arizona Detailed Over/Under Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Total | Score | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/03 | Neutral | Florida | 163.5 | 93-87 | Over | +16.5 |
| 11/07 | Home | Utah Tech | 163.0 | 93-67 | Under | -3.0 |
| 11/11 | Home | N Arizona | 162.0 | 84-49 | Under | -29.0 |
| 11/14 | Neutral | UCLA | 153.0 | 69-65 | Under | -19.0 |
| 11/19 | Away | UConn | 156.5 | 71-67 | Under | -18.5 |
| 11/24 | Home | Denver | 153.5 | 103-73 | Over | +22.5 |
| 11/29 | Home | Norfolk St | 146.5 | 98-61 | Over | +12.5 |
| 12/06 | Home | Auburn | 162.5 | 97-68 | Over | +2.5 |
| 12/13 | Neutral | Alabama | 178.5 | 96-75 | Under | -7.5 |
| 12/16 | Home | Abl Christian | 145.5 | 96-62 | Over | +12.5 |
| 12/20 | Neutral | San Diego St | 153.5 | 68-45 | Under | -40.5 |
| 12/22 | Home | Bethune | 154.5 | 107-71 | Over | +23.5 |
| 12/29 | Home | S Dakota St | 159.5 | 99-71 | Over | +10.5 |
| 01/03 | Away | Utah | 162.0 | 97-78 | Over | +13.0 |
| 01/07 | Home | Kansas St | 172.0 | 101-76 | Over | +5.0 |
| 01/10 | Away | TCU | 158.0 | 86-73 | Over | +1.0 |
| 01/14 | Home | Arizona St | 168.0 | 89-82 | Over | +3.0 |
| 01/17 | Away | UCF | 166.0 | 84-77 | Under | -5.0 |
| 01/21 | Home | Cincinnati | 151.0 | 77-51 | Under | -23.0 |
| 01/24 | Home | West Virginia | 144.5 | 88-53 | Under | -3.5 |
| 01/26 | Away | BYU | 166.5 | 86-83 | Over | +2.5 |
| 01/31 | Away | Arizona St | 163.5 | 87-74 | Under | -2.5 |
| 02/07 | Home | Oklahoma St | 169.0 | 84-47 | Under | -38.0 |
| 02/09 | Away | Kansas | 154.5 | 78-82 | Over | +5.5 |
| 02/14 | Home | Texas Tech | 156.5 | 75-78 | Under | -3.5 |
| 02/18 | Home | BYU | 162.5 | 75-68 | Under | -19.5 |
| 02/21 | Away | Houston | 141.5 | 73-66 | Under | -2.5 |
| 02/24 | Away | Baylor | 155.5 | 87-80 | Over | +11.5 |
| 02/28 | Home | Kansas | 152.5 | 84-61 | Under | -7.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | Iowa St | 149.5 | 73-57 | Under | -19.5 |
| 03/07 | Away | Colorado | 156.5 | 89-79 | Over | +11.5 |
| 03/12 | Neutral | UCF | 159.5 | 81-59 | Under | -19.5 |
| 03/13 | Neutral | Iowa St | 144.5 | 82-80 | Over | +17.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Houston | 138.5 | 79-74 | Over | +14.5 |
| 03/20 | Neutral | LIU | 147.5 | 92-58 | Over | +2.5 |
| 03/22 | Neutral | Utah St | 154.5 | 78-66 | Under | -10.5 |
| 03/26 | Neutral | Arkansas | 166.5 | 109-88 | Over | +30.5 |
| 03/28 | Neutral | Purdue | 152.5 | 79-64 | Under | -9.5 |
| 04/04 | Neutral | Michigan | 157.5 | 73-91 | Over | +6.5 |