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Kentucky vs. Michigan St: Point Spread Analysis

Tuesday Nov 18, 2025 6:30 pm - New York, NY (Neutral Site)
Odds: Kentucky by 3.5, Total Points: 153

Matchup Menu: UK vs. MSU

More Games From Nov 18, 2025

ATS Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
Michigan St +3.5 Official TR Pick Michigan St 53% odds to cover
Michigan St +3.5 Similar Games Michigan St 56% odds to cover
Michigan St +3.5 Decision Tree Michigan St 54% odds to cover
Kentucky -3.5 Power Rating Model Kentucky 54% odds to cover
Kentucky -3.5 Predictive Ratings Kentucky 58% odds to cover

ATS Situational Trends

Record UK adv MSU
Season 18-18-0 17-16-2
vs Division 0-0-0 0-0-0
vs Conference 11-10-0 11-9-1
Streak L1 L1
Last 5 3-2-0 3-2-0
Last 10 6-4-0 6-4-0
Home 9-10-0 7-9-1
Away 9-8-0 10-7-1

Kentucky Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/04 Home Nicholls -31.5 W by 26 -5.5
11/07 Home Valparaiso -32.0 W by 48 +16.0
11/11 Away Louisville +6.0 L by 8 -2.0
11/14 Home E Illinois -35.5 W by 46 +10.5
11/18 Neutral Michigan St -3.5 L by 17 -20.5
11/21 Home Loyola MD -35.5 W by 42 +6.5
11/26 Home Tenn Tech -37.0 W by 50 +13.0
12/02 Home North Carolina -7.5 L by 3 -10.5
12/05 Home Gonzaga +5.0 L by 35 -30.0
12/09 Home NC Central -42.5 W by 36 -6.5
12/13 Home Indiana -3.5 W by 12 +8.5
12/20 Neutral St John's (Pick) W by 12 +12.0
12/23 Home Bellarmine -34.5 W by 14 -20.5
01/03 Away Alabama +5.5 L by 15 -9.5
01/07 Home Missouri -12.5 L by 5 -17.5
01/10 Home Mississippi St -10.5 W by 24 +13.5
01/14 Away LSU -3.5 W by 1 -2.5
01/17 Away Tennessee +6.0 W by 2 +8.0
01/21 Home Texas -6.5 W by 5 -1.5
01/24 Home Mississippi -11.0 W by 9 -2.0
01/27 Away Vanderbilt +5.5 L by 25 -19.5
01/31 Away Arkansas +7.0 W by 8 +15.0
02/04 Home Oklahoma -9.0 W by 16 +7.0
02/07 Home Tennessee (Pick) W by 3 +3.0
02/14 Away Florida +13.0 L by 9 +4.0
02/17 Home Georgia -7.0 L by 8 -15.0
02/21 Away Auburn +3.5 L by 1 +2.5
02/24 Away South Carolina -7.5 W by 9 +1.5
02/28 Home Vanderbilt -1.5 W by 14 +12.5
03/03 Away Texas A&M +1.5 L by 11 -9.5
03/07 Home Florida +5.5 L by 7 -1.5
03/11 Neutral LSU -8.5 W by 5 -3.5
03/12 Neutral Missouri -2.5 W by 6 +3.5
03/13 Neutral Florida +10.5 L by 8 +2.5
03/20 Neutral Santa Clara -3.5 W by 5 +1.5
03/22 Neutral Iowa St +5.5 L by 19 -13.5

Michigan St Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Home Colgate -22.0 W by 11 -11.0
11/08 Home Arkansas -2.5 W by 3 +0.5
11/13 Home San Jose St -24.5 W by 19 -5.5
11/18 Neutral Kentucky +3.5 W by 17 +20.5
11/21 Home Detroit Mercy -30.5 W by 28 -2.5
11/25 Neutral E Carolina -20.0 W by 33 +13.0
11/27 Neutral North Carolina -1.0 W by 16 +15.0
12/02 Home Iowa -4.5 W by 19 +14.5
12/06 Home Duke +1.0 L by 6 -5.0
12/13 Away Penn St -12.5 W by 4 -8.5
12/16 Home Toledo -23.0 W by 23 0.0
12/20 Neutral Oakland -20.0 W by 9 -11.0
12/29 Home Cornell -23.5 W by 17 -6.5
01/02 Away Nebraska +2.0 L by 2 0.0
01/05 Home USC -12.0 W by 29 +17.0
01/08 Home Northwestern -13.0 W by 10 -3.0
01/13 Home Indiana -6.5 W by 21 +14.5
01/17 Away Washington -3.5 W by 17 +13.5
01/20 Away Oregon -10.0 W by 16 +6.0
01/24 Home Maryland -18.5 W by 43 +24.5
01/27 Away Rutgers -14.5 W by 9 -5.5
01/30 Home Michigan +2.5 L by 12 -9.5
02/04 Away Minnesota -8.5 L by 3 -11.5
02/07 Home Illinois -1.0 W by 3 +2.0
02/13 Away Wisconsin -2.0 L by 21 -23.0
02/17 Home UCLA -8.0 W by 23 +15.0
02/22 Home Ohio St -10.5 W by 6 -4.5
02/26 Away Purdue +6.5 W by 2 +8.5
03/01 Away Indiana -2.5 W by 13 +10.5
03/05 Home Rutgers -19.5 W by 4 -15.5
03/08 Away Michigan +10.5 L by 10 +0.5
03/13 Neutral UCLA -5.5 L by 4 -9.5
03/19 Neutral N Dakota St -15.5 W by 25 +9.5
03/21 Neutral Louisville -5.5 W by 8 +2.5
03/27 Neutral UConn +2.5 L by 4 -1.5