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Tennessee vs. Virginia: Point Spread Analysis

Sunday Mar 22, 2026 6:10 pm - Philadelphia, PA (Neutral Site)
Odds: Tennessee by 1.5, Total Points: 137.5

Matchup Menu: TENN vs. UVA

More Games From Mar 22, 2026

ATS Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
Virginia +1.5 Official TR Pick Virginia 51% odds to cover
Virginia +1.5 Power Rating Model Virginia 61% odds to cover
Virginia +1.5 Decision Tree Virginia 51% odds to cover
Tennessee -1.5 Similar Games Tennessee 57% odds to cover
Tennessee -1.5 Predictive Ratings Tennessee 51% odds to cover

ATS Situational Trends

Record TENN adv UVA
Season 17-19-1 17-17-2
vs Division 0-0-0 0-0-0
vs Conference 9-10-1 11-10-0
Streak L1 L2
Last 5 3-2-0 3-2-0
Last 10 5-5-0 4-6-0
Home 7-10-0 8-8-1
Away 10-9-1 9-9-1

Tennessee Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Home Mercer -28.0 W by 15 -13.0
11/08 Home N Kentucky -27.0 W by 39 +12.0
11/12 Home N Florida -41.0 W by 33 -8.0
11/17 Home Rice -26.0 W by 25 -1.0
11/20 Home Tennessee St -32.0 W by 29 -3.0
11/24 Neutral Rutgers -15.0 W by 25 +10.0
11/25 Neutral Houston +3.0 W by 3 +6.0
11/26 Neutral Kansas -7.0 L by 5 -12.0
12/02 Away Syracuse -8.5 L by 2 -10.5
12/06 Neutral Illinois -1.5 L by 13 -14.5
12/16 Home Louisville -4.5 W by 21 +16.5
12/21 Home Gardner-Webb -42.5 W by 42 -0.5
12/30 Home S Carolina St -44.0 W by 51 +7.0
01/03 Away Arkansas -1.5 L by 11 -12.5
01/06 Home Texas -11.5 W by 14 +2.5
01/10 Away Florida +4.5 L by 24 -19.5
01/13 Home Texas A&M -11.0 W by 5 -6.0
01/17 Home Kentucky -6.0 L by 2 -8.0
01/24 Away Alabama +4.0 W by 6 +10.0
01/28 Away Georgia -1.0 W by 1 0.0
01/31 Home Auburn -5.5 W by 8 +2.5
02/03 Home Mississippi -13.0 W by 18 +5.0
02/07 Away Kentucky (Pick) L by 3 -3.0
02/11 Away Mississippi St -7.0 W by 9 +2.0
02/14 Home LSU -14.5 W by 10 -4.5
02/18 Home Oklahoma -11.5 W by 23 +11.5
02/21 Away Vanderbilt +3.5 W by 4 +7.5
02/24 Away Missouri -3.5 L by 4 -7.5
02/28 Home Alabama -4.5 L by 2 -6.5
03/03 Away South Carolina -10.5 W by 19 +8.5
03/07 Home Vanderbilt -3.5 L by 4 -7.5
03/12 Neutral Auburn -5.5 W by 10 +4.5
03/13 Neutral Vanderbilt -3.5 L by 7 -10.5
03/20 Neutral Miami OH -12.5 W by 22 +9.5
03/22 Neutral Virginia -1.5 W by 7 +5.5
03/27 Neutral Iowa St +2.5 W by 14 +16.5
03/29 Neutral Michigan +8.5 L by 33 -24.5

Virginia Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Home Rider -26.5 W by 34 +7.5
11/07 Home NC Central -34.0 W by 19 -15.0
11/11 Home Hampton -24.0 W by 38 +14.0
11/15 Home Marshall -20.5 W by 26 +5.5
11/21 Neutral Northwestern -5.0 W by 5 0.0
11/23 Neutral Butler -7.0 L by 7 -14.0
11/28 Home Queens -25.0 W by 25 0.0
12/03 Away Texas +3.0 W by 19 +22.0
12/06 Neutral Dayton -4.5 W by 13 +8.5
12/09 Home Maryland ES -36.5 W by 24 -12.5
12/20 Home Maryland -16.5 W by 8 -8.5
12/22 Home American -27.5 W by 44 +16.5
12/31 Away Virginia Tech -6.0 L by 10 -16.0
01/03 Away NC State +4.0 W by 15 +19.0
01/07 Home California -14.0 W by 24 +10.0
01/10 Home Stanford -12.5 W by 15 +2.5
01/13 Away Louisville +4.5 W by 9 +13.5
01/17 Away SMU -2.0 W by 4 +2.0
01/24 Home North Carolina -6.5 L by 5 -11.5
01/27 Away Notre Dame -9.5 W by 3 -6.5
01/31 Away Boston College -12.5 W by 7 -5.5
02/03 Home Pittsburgh -12.5 W by 20 +7.5
02/07 Home Syracuse -14.0 W by 13 -1.0
02/10 Away Florida St -8.0 W by 3 -5.0
02/14 Neutral Ohio St -5.0 W by 4 -1.0
02/18 Away Georgia Tech -13.0 W by 26 +13.0
02/21 Home Miami -7.5 W by 3 -4.5
02/24 Home NC State -6.5 W by 29 +22.5
02/28 Away Duke +9.5 L by 26 -16.5
03/03 Home Wake Forest -14.5 W by 5 -9.5
03/07 Home Virginia Tech -11.5 W by 4 -7.5
03/12 Neutral NC State -6.5 W by 7 +0.5
03/13 Neutral Miami -3.5 W by 22 +18.5
03/14 Neutral Duke +6.5 L by 4 +2.5
03/20 Neutral Wright St -17.5 W by 9 -8.5
03/22 Neutral Tennessee +1.5 L by 7 -5.5