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USC at Michigan: Over/Under Analysis

Friday Jan 2, 2026 7:00 pm - Ann Arbor, MI
Odds: Michigan by 22.5, Total Points: 173.5

Matchup Menu: USC @ MICH

More Games From Jan 2, 2026

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Under 173.5	Official TR Pick	53% odds to go under
Under 173.5	Decision Tree	53% odds to go under
Over 173.5	Similar Games	53% odds to go over

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	USC	MICH
Season	17-14-0	17-23-0
vs Division	0-0-0	0-0-0
vs Conference	11-10-0	9-14-0
Streak	Ov 3	Un 1
Last 5	3-2-0	3-2-0
Last 10	6-4-0	6-4-0
Home	9-6-0	6-9-0
Away	8-8-0	11-14-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

USC Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Home	Cal Poly	164.5	94-64	Under	-6.5
11/09	Home	Manhattan	155.0	114-83	Over	+42.0
11/14	Neutral	Illinois St	154.5	87-67	Under	-0.5
11/20	Home	Troy	159.0	107-106	Over	+54.0
11/24	Neutral	Boise St	154.5	70-67	Under	-17.5
11/25	Neutral	Seton Hall	145.5	83-81	Over	+18.5
11/26	Neutral	Arizona St	161.5	88-75	Over	+1.5
12/02	Away	Oregon	154.0	82-77	Over	+5.0
12/06	Home	Washington	153.5	76-84	Over	+6.5
12/09	Away	San Diego	158.5	94-81	Over	+16.5
12/14	Home	Washington St	156.5	68-61	Under	-27.5
12/17	Home	UTSA	157.5	97-70	Over	+9.5
12/21	Home	UC Santa Cruz	--	102-63	Under	--
01/02	Away	Michigan	173.5	66-96	Under	-11.5
01/05	Away	Michigan St	150.5	51-80	Under	-19.5
01/09	Away	Minnesota	147.0	70-69	Under	-8.0
01/13	Home	Maryland	151.0	88-71	Over	+8.0
01/17	Home	Purdue	155.5	64-69	Under	-22.5
01/21	Home	Northwestern	149.5	68-74	Under	-7.5
01/25	Away	Wisconsin	158.5	73-71	Under	-14.5
01/28	Away	Iowa	141.0	72-73	Over	+4.0
01/31	Home	Rutgers	145.5	78-75	Over	+7.5
02/03	Home	Indiana	154.0	81-75	Over	+2.0
02/08	Away	Penn St	156.5	77-75	Under	-4.5
02/11	Away	Ohio St	151.5	82-89	Over	+19.5
02/18	Home	Illinois	149.5	65-101	Over	+16.5
02/21	Home	Oregon	149.5	70-71	Under	-8.5
02/24	Away	UCLA	150.5	62-81	Under	-7.5
02/28	Home	Nebraska	149.5	67-82	Under	-0.5
03/04	Away	Washington	151.5	72-91	Over	+11.5
03/07	Home	UCLA	151.5	68-89	Over	+5.5
03/11	Neutral	Washington	154.5	79-83	Over	+7.5

Michigan Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Home	Oakland	156.5	121-78	Over	+42.5
11/11	Neutral	Wake Forest	167.0	85-84	Over	+2.0
11/14	Away	TCU	163.5	67-63	Under	-33.5
11/19	Home	Middle Tenn	159.5	86-61	Under	-12.5
11/24	Neutral	San Diego St	149.5	94-54	Under	-1.5
11/25	Neutral	Auburn	163.5	102-72	Over	+10.5
11/26	Neutral	Gonzaga	165.5	101-61	Under	-3.5
12/06	Home	Rutgers	153.0	101-60	Over	+8.0
12/09	Home	Villanova	157.0	89-61	Under	-7.0
12/13	Away	Maryland	163.5	101-83	Over	+20.5
12/21	Home	La Salle	155.5	102-50	Under	-3.5
12/29	Home	McNeese	162.0	112-71	Over	+21.0
01/02	Home	USC	173.5	96-66	Under	-11.5
01/06	Away	Penn St	168.5	74-72	Under	-22.5
01/10	Home	Wisconsin	169.5	88-91	Over	+9.5
01/14	Away	Washington	165.5	82-72	Under	-11.5
01/17	Away	Oregon	157.5	81-71	Under	-5.5
01/20	Home	Indiana	163.5	86-72	Under	-5.5
01/23	Home	Ohio St	165.5	74-62	Under	-29.5
01/27	Home	Nebraska	157.0	75-72	Under	-10.0
01/30	Away	Michigan St	150.5	83-71	Over	+3.5
02/05	Home	Penn St	162.5	110-69	Over	+16.5
02/08	Away	Ohio St	161.5	82-61	Under	-18.5
02/11	Away	Northwestern	154.0	87-75	Over	+8.0
02/14	Home	UCLA	155.5	86-56	Under	-13.5
02/17	Away	Purdue	157.0	91-80	Over	+14.0
02/21	Neutral	Duke	150.5	63-68	Under	-19.5
02/24	Home	Minnesota	145.5	77-67	Under	-1.5
02/27	Away	Illinois	159.5	84-70	Under	-5.5
03/05	Away	Iowa	146.5	71-68	Under	-7.5
03/08	Home	Michigan St	152.5	90-80	Over	+17.5
03/13	Neutral	Ohio St	155.5	71-67	Under	-17.5
03/14	Neutral	Wisconsin	162.5	68-65	Under	-29.5
03/15	Neutral	Purdue	149.5	72-80	Over	+2.5
03/19	Neutral	Howard	151.5	101-80	Over	+29.5
03/21	Neutral	Saint Louis	161.5	95-72	Over	+5.5
03/27	Neutral	Alabama	172.5	90-77	Under	-5.5
03/29	Neutral	Tennessee	146.5	95-62	Over	+10.5
04/04	Neutral	Arizona	157.5	91-73	Over	+6.5
04/06	Neutral	UConn	146.5	69-63	Under	-14.5