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USC at Michigan: Point Spread Analysis

Friday Jan 2, 2026 7:00 pm - Ann Arbor, MI
Odds: Michigan by 22.5, Total Points: 173.5

Matchup Menu: USC @ MICH

More Games From Jan 2, 2026

ATS Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
Michigan -22.5 Official TR Pick Michigan 52% odds to cover
Michigan -22.5 Similar Games Michigan 55% odds to cover
Michigan -22.5 Decision Tree Michigan 52% odds to cover
USC +22.5 Power Rating Model USC 74% odds to cover
USC +22.5 Predictive Ratings USC 59% odds to cover

ATS Situational Trends

Record USC adv MICH
Season 13-18-0 19-21-0
vs Division 0-0-0 0-0-0
vs Conference 8-13-0 8-15-0
Streak L7 L1
Last 5 0-5-0 4-1-0
Last 10 2-8-0 4-6-0
Home 6-9-0 8-7-0
Away 7-9-0 11-14-0

USC Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Home Cal Poly -25.0 W by 30 +5.0
11/09 Home Manhattan -28.0 W by 31 +3.0
11/14 Neutral Illinois St -15.5 W by 20 +4.5
11/20 Home Troy -17.5 W by 1 -16.5
11/24 Neutral Boise St -4.5 W by 3 -1.5
11/25 Neutral Seton Hall -6.0 W by 2 -4.0
11/26 Neutral Arizona St -5.0 W by 13 +8.0
12/02 Away Oregon -2.5 W by 5 +2.5
12/06 Home Washington -4.5 L by 8 -12.5
12/09 Away San Diego -13.5 W by 13 -0.5
12/14 Home Washington St -12.5 W by 7 -5.5
12/17 Home UTSA -25.5 W by 27 +1.5
12/21 Home UC Santa Cruz -- W by 39 --
01/02 Away Michigan +22.5 L by 30 -7.5
01/05 Away Michigan St +12.0 L by 29 -17.0
01/09 Away Minnesota +3.5 W by 1 +4.5
01/13 Home Maryland -9.5 W by 17 +7.5
01/17 Home Purdue +9.0 L by 5 +4.0
01/21 Home Northwestern -6.5 L by 6 -12.5
01/25 Away Wisconsin +8.0 W by 2 +10.0
01/28 Away Iowa +9.0 L by 1 +8.0
01/31 Home Rutgers -12.0 W by 3 -9.0
02/03 Home Indiana +1.5 W by 6 +7.5
02/08 Away Penn St -3.0 W by 2 -1.0
02/11 Away Ohio St +7.5 L by 7 +0.5
02/18 Home Illinois +10.0 L by 36 -26.0
02/21 Home Oregon -5.5 L by 1 -6.5
02/24 Away UCLA +6.5 L by 19 -12.5
02/28 Home Nebraska +5.5 L by 15 -9.5
03/04 Away Washington +4.5 L by 19 -14.5
03/07 Home UCLA +4.5 L by 21 -16.5
03/11 Neutral Washington +3.5 L by 4 -0.5

Michigan Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Home Oakland -24.5 W by 43 +18.5
11/11 Neutral Wake Forest -15.0 W by 1 -14.0
11/14 Away TCU -7.5 W by 4 -3.5
11/19 Home Middle Tenn -28.0 W by 25 -3.0
11/24 Neutral San Diego St -5.5 W by 40 +34.5
11/25 Neutral Auburn -5.0 W by 30 +25.0
11/26 Neutral Gonzaga +2.5 W by 40 +42.5
12/06 Home Rutgers -25.5 W by 41 +15.5
12/09 Home Villanova -18.0 W by 28 +10.0
12/13 Away Maryland -19.5 W by 18 -1.5
12/21 Home La Salle -40.5 W by 52 +11.5
12/29 Home McNeese -24.0 W by 41 +17.0
01/02 Home USC -22.5 W by 30 +7.5
01/06 Away Penn St -24.0 W by 2 -22.0
01/10 Home Wisconsin -19.0 L by 3 -22.0
01/14 Away Washington -12.5 W by 10 -2.5
01/17 Away Oregon -18.5 W by 10 -8.5
01/20 Home Indiana -15.5 W by 14 -1.5
01/23 Home Ohio St -16.5 W by 12 -4.5
01/27 Home Nebraska -12.0 W by 3 -9.0
01/30 Away Michigan St -2.5 W by 12 +9.5
02/05 Home Penn St -26.5 W by 41 +14.5
02/08 Away Ohio St -9.5 W by 21 +11.5
02/11 Away Northwestern -15.0 W by 12 -3.0
02/14 Home UCLA -16.5 W by 30 +13.5
02/17 Away Purdue -2.5 W by 11 +8.5
02/21 Neutral Duke -2.5 L by 5 -7.5
02/24 Home Minnesota -21.5 W by 10 -11.5
02/27 Away Illinois -1.5 W by 14 +12.5
03/05 Away Iowa -9.5 W by 3 -6.5
03/08 Home Michigan St -10.5 W by 10 -0.5
03/13 Neutral Ohio St -12.5 W by 4 -8.5
03/14 Neutral Wisconsin -12.5 W by 3 -9.5
03/15 Neutral Purdue -4.5 L by 8 -12.5
03/19 Neutral Howard -30.5 W by 21 -9.5
03/21 Neutral Saint Louis -12.5 W by 23 +10.5
03/27 Neutral Alabama -9.5 W by 13 +3.5
03/29 Neutral Tennessee -8.5 W by 33 +24.5
04/04 Neutral Arizona -1.5 W by 18 +16.5
04/06 Neutral UConn -6.5 W by 6 -0.5