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Troy at USC: Over/Under Analysis

Thursday Nov 20, 2025 10:00 pm - Los Angeles, CA
Odds: USC by 17.5, Total Points: 159

Matchup Menu: TROY @ USC

More Games From Nov 20, 2025

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Over 159.0	Official TR Pick	55% odds to go over
Over 159.0	Similar Games	58% odds to go over
Over 159.0	Decision Tree	55% odds to go over

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	TROY	USC
Season	14-16-2	17-14-0
vs Division	0-0-0	0-0-0
vs Conference	8-10-2	11-10-0
Streak	Un 2	Ov 3
Last 5	2-3-0	3-2-0
Last 10	2-7-1	6-4-0
Home	5-6-0	9-6-0
Away	9-10-2	8-8-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Troy Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Away	Kent St	142.5	103-97	Over	+57.5
11/07	Away	Furman	153.5	64-61	Under	-28.5
11/11	Home	Pensacola Christian College	--	121-56	Under	--
11/14	Away	Loyola Mymt	140.0	63-74	Under	-3.0
11/16	Away	CS Northridge	156.0	85-94	Over	+23.0
11/18	Away	San Diego St	137.5	108-107	Over	+77.5
11/20	Away	USC	159.0	106-107	Over	+54.0
11/24	Neutral	Toledo	160.5	68-75	Under	-17.5
11/26	Neutral	St Francis PA	151.0	74-64	Under	-13.0
12/01	Home	W Georgia	150.5	89-93	Over	+31.5
12/06	Home	La Grange	--	101-47	Under	--
12/14	Away	UAB	155.0	86-85	Over	+16.0
12/20	Home	Marshall	155.0	70-63	Under	-22.0
12/31	Home	Texas St	145.5	100-80	Over	+34.5
01/03	Home	S Alabama	148.5	59-49	Under	-40.5
01/07	Away	Arkansas St	160.0	74-86	Push	0.0
01/10	Away	Louisiana	136.5	90-70	Over	+23.5
01/14	Home	Southern Miss	145.5	91-65	Over	+10.5
01/17	Home	Arkansas St	166.0	99-74	Over	+7.0
01/21	Away	Old Dominion	152.5	83-77	Over	+7.5
01/24	Away	Georgia So	159.5	83-78	Over	+1.5
01/29	Home	J Madison	147.5	64-73	Under	-10.5
01/31	Home	App State	137.0	44-66	Under	-27.0
02/04	Away	Georgia St	144.0	74-63	Under	-7.0
02/07	Home	Akron	157.5	79-69	Under	-9.5
02/11	Away	Texas St	141.0	62-74	Under	-5.0
02/14	Away	Southern Miss	144.5	65-69	Under	-10.5
02/18	Away	UL Monroe	153.0	77-76	Push	0.0
02/21	Away	S Alabama	144.5	54-65	Under	-25.5
02/24	Home	Louisiana	134.5	78-59	Over	+2.5
02/27	Home	UL Monroe	154.5	80-65	Under	-9.5
03/08	Neutral	Southern Miss	143.5	78-70	Over	+4.5
03/09	Neutral	Georgia So	152.5	77-61	Under	-14.5
03/19	Neutral	Nebraska	139.5	47-76	Under	-16.5

USC Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Home	Cal Poly	164.5	94-64	Under	-6.5
11/09	Home	Manhattan	155.0	114-83	Over	+42.0
11/14	Neutral	Illinois St	154.5	87-67	Under	-0.5
11/20	Home	Troy	159.0	107-106	Over	+54.0
11/24	Neutral	Boise St	154.5	70-67	Under	-17.5
11/25	Neutral	Seton Hall	145.5	83-81	Over	+18.5
11/26	Neutral	Arizona St	161.5	88-75	Over	+1.5
12/02	Away	Oregon	154.0	82-77	Over	+5.0
12/06	Home	Washington	153.5	76-84	Over	+6.5
12/09	Away	San Diego	158.5	94-81	Over	+16.5
12/14	Home	Washington St	156.5	68-61	Under	-27.5
12/17	Home	UTSA	157.5	97-70	Over	+9.5
12/21	Home	UC Santa Cruz	--	102-63	Under	--
01/02	Away	Michigan	173.5	66-96	Under	-11.5
01/05	Away	Michigan St	150.5	51-80	Under	-19.5
01/09	Away	Minnesota	147.0	70-69	Under	-8.0
01/13	Home	Maryland	151.0	88-71	Over	+8.0
01/17	Home	Purdue	155.5	64-69	Under	-22.5
01/21	Home	Northwestern	149.5	68-74	Under	-7.5
01/25	Away	Wisconsin	158.5	73-71	Under	-14.5
01/28	Away	Iowa	141.0	72-73	Over	+4.0
01/31	Home	Rutgers	145.5	78-75	Over	+7.5
02/03	Home	Indiana	154.0	81-75	Over	+2.0
02/08	Away	Penn St	156.5	77-75	Under	-4.5
02/11	Away	Ohio St	151.5	82-89	Over	+19.5
02/18	Home	Illinois	149.5	65-101	Over	+16.5
02/21	Home	Oregon	149.5	70-71	Under	-8.5
02/24	Away	UCLA	150.5	62-81	Under	-7.5
02/28	Home	Nebraska	149.5	67-82	Under	-0.5
03/04	Away	Washington	151.5	72-91	Over	+11.5
03/07	Home	UCLA	151.5	68-89	Over	+5.5
03/11	Neutral	Washington	154.5	79-83	Over	+7.5