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Troy at USC: Point Spread Analysis

Thursday Nov 20, 2025 10:00 pm - Los Angeles, CA
Odds: USC by 17.5, Total Points: 159

ATS Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
Troy +18.0 Official TR Pick Troy 51% odds to cover
Troy +18.0 Power Rating Model Troy 61% odds to cover
Troy +18.0 Decision Tree Troy 51% odds to cover
Troy +18.0 Predictive Ratings Troy 57% odds to cover
USC -18.0 Similar Games USC 51% odds to cover

ATS Situational Trends

Record TROY adv USC
Season 17-15-0 13-18-0
vs Division 0-0-0 0-0-0
vs Conference 11-9-0 8-13-0
Streak L1 L7
Last 5 3-2-0 0-5-0
Last 10 4-6-0 2-8-0
Home 7-4-0 6-9-0
Away 10-11-0 7-9-0

Troy Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Away Kent St +3.5 W by 6 +9.5
11/07 Away Furman +2.5 W by 3 +5.5
11/11 Home Pensacola Christian College -- W by 65 --
11/14 Away Loyola Mymt +4.5 L by 11 -6.5
11/16 Away CS Northridge -4.0 L by 9 -13.0
11/18 Away San Diego St +14.5 W by 1 +15.5
11/20 Away USC +17.5 L by 1 +16.5
11/24 Neutral Toledo -2.5 L by 7 -9.5
11/26 Neutral St Francis PA -21.5 W by 10 -11.5
12/01 Home W Georgia -17.5 L by 4 -21.5
12/06 Home La Grange -- W by 54 --
12/14 Away UAB +5.5 W by 1 +6.5
12/20 Home Marshall -4.5 W by 7 +2.5
12/31 Home Texas St -8.5 W by 20 +11.5
01/03 Home S Alabama -9.5 W by 10 +0.5
01/07 Away Arkansas St +4.5 L by 12 -7.5
01/10 Away Louisiana -9.5 W by 20 +10.5
01/14 Home Southern Miss -9.0 W by 26 +17.0
01/17 Home Arkansas St -3.5 W by 25 +21.5
01/21 Away Old Dominion -6.5 W by 6 -0.5
01/24 Away Georgia So -4.5 W by 5 +0.5
01/29 Home J Madison -9.5 L by 9 -18.5
01/31 Home App State -8.5 L by 22 -30.5
02/04 Away Georgia St -5.5 W by 11 +5.5
02/07 Home Akron +3.5 W by 10 +13.5
02/11 Away Texas St -5.0 L by 12 -17.0
02/14 Away Southern Miss -5.0 L by 4 -9.0
02/18 Away UL Monroe -16.0 W by 1 -15.0
02/21 Away S Alabama -1.5 L by 11 -12.5
02/24 Home Louisiana -11.5 W by 19 +7.5
02/27 Home UL Monroe -18.5 W by 15 -3.5
03/08 Neutral Southern Miss -5.5 W by 8 +2.5
03/09 Neutral Georgia So -4.5 W by 16 +11.5
03/19 Neutral Nebraska +13.5 L by 29 -15.5

USC Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Home Cal Poly -25.0 W by 30 +5.0
11/09 Home Manhattan -28.0 W by 31 +3.0
11/14 Neutral Illinois St -15.5 W by 20 +4.5
11/20 Home Troy -17.5 W by 1 -16.5
11/24 Neutral Boise St -4.5 W by 3 -1.5
11/25 Neutral Seton Hall -6.0 W by 2 -4.0
11/26 Neutral Arizona St -5.0 W by 13 +8.0
12/02 Away Oregon -2.5 W by 5 +2.5
12/06 Home Washington -4.5 L by 8 -12.5
12/09 Away San Diego -13.5 W by 13 -0.5
12/14 Home Washington St -12.5 W by 7 -5.5
12/17 Home UTSA -25.5 W by 27 +1.5
12/21 Home UC Santa Cruz -- W by 39 --
01/02 Away Michigan +22.5 L by 30 -7.5
01/05 Away Michigan St +12.0 L by 29 -17.0
01/09 Away Minnesota +3.5 W by 1 +4.5
01/13 Home Maryland -9.5 W by 17 +7.5
01/17 Home Purdue +9.0 L by 5 +4.0
01/21 Home Northwestern -6.5 L by 6 -12.5
01/25 Away Wisconsin +8.0 W by 2 +10.0
01/28 Away Iowa +9.0 L by 1 +8.0
01/31 Home Rutgers -12.0 W by 3 -9.0
02/03 Home Indiana +1.5 W by 6 +7.5
02/08 Away Penn St -3.0 W by 2 -1.0
02/11 Away Ohio St +7.5 L by 7 +0.5
02/18 Home Illinois +10.0 L by 36 -26.0
02/21 Home Oregon -5.5 L by 1 -6.5
02/24 Away UCLA +6.5 L by 19 -12.5
02/28 Home Nebraska +5.5 L by 15 -9.5
03/04 Away Washington +4.5 L by 19 -14.5
03/07 Home UCLA +4.5 L by 21 -16.5
03/11 Neutral Washington +3.5 L by 4 -0.5