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Troy at Texas St: Point Spread Analysis

Wednesday Feb 11, 2026 8:00 pm - San Marcos, TX
Odds: Troy by 5, Total Points: 141

Matchup Menu: TROY @ TXST

More Games From Feb 11, 2026

ATS Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
Texas St +5.0 Official TR Pick Texas St 51% odds to cover
Texas St +5.0 Power Rating Model Texas St 58% odds to cover
Texas St +5.0 Decision Tree Texas St 52% odds to cover
Texas St +5.0 Predictive Ratings Texas St 51% odds to cover
Troy -5.0 Similar Games Troy 51% odds to cover

ATS Situational Trends

Record TROY adv TXST
Season 17-15-0 14-15-1
vs Division 0-0-0 0-0-0
vs Conference 11-9-0 8-10-1
Streak L1 L1
Last 5 3-2-0 2-3-0
Last 10 4-6-0 7-3-0
Home 7-4-0 10-5-0
Away 10-11-0 4-10-1

Troy Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Away Kent St +3.5 W by 6 +9.5
11/07 Away Furman +2.5 W by 3 +5.5
11/11 Home Pensacola Christian College -- W by 65 --
11/14 Away Loyola Mymt +4.5 L by 11 -6.5
11/16 Away CS Northridge -4.0 L by 9 -13.0
11/18 Away San Diego St +14.5 W by 1 +15.5
11/20 Away USC +17.5 L by 1 +16.5
11/24 Neutral Toledo -2.5 L by 7 -9.5
11/26 Neutral St Francis PA -21.5 W by 10 -11.5
12/01 Home W Georgia -17.5 L by 4 -21.5
12/06 Home La Grange -- W by 54 --
12/14 Away UAB +5.5 W by 1 +6.5
12/20 Home Marshall -4.5 W by 7 +2.5
12/31 Home Texas St -8.5 W by 20 +11.5
01/03 Home S Alabama -9.5 W by 10 +0.5
01/07 Away Arkansas St +4.5 L by 12 -7.5
01/10 Away Louisiana -9.5 W by 20 +10.5
01/14 Home Southern Miss -9.0 W by 26 +17.0
01/17 Home Arkansas St -3.5 W by 25 +21.5
01/21 Away Old Dominion -6.5 W by 6 -0.5
01/24 Away Georgia So -4.5 W by 5 +0.5
01/29 Home J Madison -9.5 L by 9 -18.5
01/31 Home App State -8.5 L by 22 -30.5
02/04 Away Georgia St -5.5 W by 11 +5.5
02/07 Home Akron +3.5 W by 10 +13.5
02/11 Away Texas St -5.0 L by 12 -17.0
02/14 Away Southern Miss -5.0 L by 4 -9.0
02/18 Away UL Monroe -16.0 W by 1 -15.0
02/21 Away S Alabama -1.5 L by 11 -12.5
02/24 Home Louisiana -11.5 W by 19 +7.5
02/27 Home UL Monroe -18.5 W by 15 -3.5
03/08 Neutral Southern Miss -5.5 W by 8 +2.5
03/09 Neutral Georgia So -4.5 W by 16 +11.5
03/19 Neutral Nebraska +13.5 L by 29 -15.5

Texas St Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Away Bowling Green +5.0 L by 35 -30.0
11/05 Home Texas A&M-San Antonio -- W by 59 --
11/08 Away Tulane +12.5 L by 8 +4.5
11/12 Home UTSA -3.5 W by 11 +7.5
11/15 Home Texas So -4.5 W by 10 +5.5
11/18 Home Abl Christian -1.5 W by 14 +12.5
11/21 Home Little Rock -5.5 W by 9 +3.5
11/24 Home Texas Lutheran -- W by 52 --
11/28 Neutral Seattle +7.5 L by 14 -6.5
11/29 Neutral Lehigh -6.0 L by 4 -10.0
12/03 Away Rice +3.5 L by 5 -1.5
12/10 Home Southern -3.5 W by 3 -0.5
12/17 Home Arkansas St +5.0 L by 19 -14.0
12/20 Home S Alabama -3.0 W by 2 -1.0
12/31 Away Troy +8.5 L by 20 -11.5
01/03 Away UL Monroe -10.5 W by 5 -5.5
01/08 Away Southern Miss +2.5 L by 10 -7.5
01/10 Away Arkansas St +11.5 L by 1 +10.5
01/14 Home Louisiana -8.5 W by 5 -3.5
01/17 Home Southern Miss -2.0 W by 7 +5.0
01/22 Away Coastal Car +2.0 L by 2 0.0
01/24 Away J Madison +5.5 L by 25 -19.5
01/28 Home Marshall +3.5 W by 4 +7.5
01/31 Home Old Dominion -1.0 W by 17 +16.0
02/04 Away Georgia So +4.0 W by 6 +10.0
02/07 Home W Michigan -6.0 W by 16 +10.0
02/11 Home Troy +5.0 W by 12 +17.0
02/14 Home UL Monroe -14.0 W by 11 -3.0
02/19 Away S Alabama +3.5 W by 8 +11.5
02/21 Away Louisiana -3.0 L by 13 -16.0
02/27 Home App State -1.5 W by 3 +1.5
03/06 Neutral Southern Miss -1.5 L by 4 -5.5