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Little Rock at Texas St: Point Spread Analysis

Friday Nov 21, 2025 8:00 pm - San Marcos, TX
Odds: Texas State by 5.5, Total Points: 130.5

Matchup Menu: UALR @ TXST

More Games From Nov 21, 2025

ATS Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
Little Rock +5.5 Official TR Pick Little Rock 50% odds to cover
Little Rock +5.5 Similar Games Little Rock 56% odds to cover
Little Rock +5.5 Decision Tree Little Rock 50% odds to cover
Texas St -5.5 Power Rating Model Texas St 56% odds to cover
Texas St -5.5 Predictive Ratings Texas St 60% odds to cover

ATS Situational Trends

Record UALR adv TXST
Season 12-18-0 14-15-1
vs Division 0-0-0 0-0-0
vs Conference 10-11-0 8-10-1
Streak L1 L1
Last 5 2-3-0 2-3-0
Last 10 4-6-0 7-3-0
Home 4-7-0 10-5-0
Away 8-11-0 4-10-1

Little Rock Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/04 Home Arkansas Baptist -- W by 29 --
11/10 Away Milwaukee +3.5 L by 20 -16.5
11/12 Away Marquette +21.0 L by 40 -19.0
11/15 Away Ball St +2.5 W by 6 +8.5
11/18 Away Murray St +14.0 L by 21 -7.0
11/21 Away Texas St +5.5 L by 9 -3.5
11/29 Away S Illinois +13.5 L by 9 +4.5
12/03 Away C Arkansas +3.5 L by 38 -34.5
12/06 Home Arkansas St +9.5 L by 12 -2.5
12/09 Away West Virginia +27.5 L by 32 -4.5
12/16 Away Morehead St +2.5 L by 14 -11.5
12/18 Away S Indiana -2.5 W by 15 +12.5
12/22 Home Williams Baptist College -- W by 14 --
01/01 Home Tenn Tech (Pick) W by 19 +19.0
01/03 Home Tennessee St +1.0 L by 5 -4.0
01/08 Away SIU Edward +3.5 W by 3 +6.5
01/10 Away Lindenwood +6.5 W by 8 +14.5
01/15 Home E Illinois -7.0 W by 11 +4.0
01/17 Home W Illinois -10.5 W by 7 -3.5
01/22 Away SE Missouri St +5.5 L by 5 +0.5
01/29 Away Tennessee St +4.5 L by 7 -2.5
01/31 Away Tenn Tech -2.5 L by 10 -12.5
02/03 Away UT Martin +7.0 L by 3 +4.0
02/05 Home Lindenwood +1.0 L by 5 -4.0
02/07 Home SIU Edward -2.0 L by 10 -12.0
02/12 Away W Illinois -7.5 W by 19 +11.5
02/14 Away E Illinois -2.5 L by 6 -8.5
02/19 Home UT Martin +2.0 W by 2 +4.0
02/21 Home SE Missouri St +1.5 L by 5 -3.5
02/26 Home Morehead St -2.5 L by 6 -8.5
02/28 Home S Indiana -5.5 W by 19 +13.5
03/04 Neutral Lindenwood +4.5 L by 10 -5.5

Texas St Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Away Bowling Green +5.0 L by 35 -30.0
11/05 Home Texas A&M-San Antonio -- W by 59 --
11/08 Away Tulane +12.5 L by 8 +4.5
11/12 Home UTSA -3.5 W by 11 +7.5
11/15 Home Texas So -4.5 W by 10 +5.5
11/18 Home Abl Christian -1.5 W by 14 +12.5
11/21 Home Little Rock -5.5 W by 9 +3.5
11/24 Home Texas Lutheran -- W by 52 --
11/28 Neutral Seattle +7.5 L by 14 -6.5
11/29 Neutral Lehigh -6.0 L by 4 -10.0
12/03 Away Rice +3.5 L by 5 -1.5
12/10 Home Southern -3.5 W by 3 -0.5
12/17 Home Arkansas St +5.0 L by 19 -14.0
12/20 Home S Alabama -3.0 W by 2 -1.0
12/31 Away Troy +8.5 L by 20 -11.5
01/03 Away UL Monroe -10.5 W by 5 -5.5
01/08 Away Southern Miss +2.5 L by 10 -7.5
01/10 Away Arkansas St +11.5 L by 1 +10.5
01/14 Home Louisiana -8.5 W by 5 -3.5
01/17 Home Southern Miss -2.0 W by 7 +5.0
01/22 Away Coastal Car +2.0 L by 2 0.0
01/24 Away J Madison +5.5 L by 25 -19.5
01/28 Home Marshall +3.5 W by 4 +7.5
01/31 Home Old Dominion -1.0 W by 17 +16.0
02/04 Away Georgia So +4.0 W by 6 +10.0
02/07 Home W Michigan -6.0 W by 16 +10.0
02/11 Home Troy +5.0 W by 12 +17.0
02/14 Home UL Monroe -14.0 W by 11 -3.0
02/19 Away S Alabama +3.5 W by 8 +11.5
02/21 Away Louisiana -3.0 L by 13 -16.0
02/27 Home App State -1.5 W by 3 +1.5
03/06 Neutral Southern Miss -1.5 L by 4 -5.5