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Tennessee St at Tennessee: Point Spread Analysis

Thursday Nov 20, 2025 7:00 pm - Knoxville, TN
Odds: Tennessee by 32, Total Points: 157.5

Matchup Menu: TNST @ TENN

More Games From Nov 20, 2025

ATS Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
Tennessee St +32.0 Official TR Pick Tennessee St 50% odds to cover
Tennessee St +32.0 Power Rating Model Tennessee St 87% odds to cover
Tennessee St +32.0 Similar Games Tennessee St 50% odds to cover
Tennessee St +32.0 Decision Tree Tennessee St 50% odds to cover
Tennessee St +32.0 Predictive Ratings Tennessee St 73% odds to cover

ATS Situational Trends

Record TNST adv TENN
Season 18-11-1 17-19-1
vs Division 0-0-0 0-0-0
vs Conference 13-8-1 9-10-1
Streak L1 L1
Last 5 4-1-0 3-2-0
Last 10 7-3-0 5-5-0
Home 5-4-1 7-10-0
Away 13-7-0 10-9-1

Tennessee St Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Home Fisk -- W by 51 --
11/08 Away Belmont +13.5 L by 8 +5.5
11/11 Home Oakwood -- W by 38 --
11/16 Away W Kentucky +12.5 L by 13 -0.5
11/20 Away Tennessee +32.0 L by 29 +3.0
11/25 Away NC Asheville +5.0 W by 2 +7.0
11/29 Neutral Tennessee Wesleyan -- W by 21 --
11/30 Away Chattanooga +8.5 W by 6 +14.5
12/03 Away Alabama A&M -4.5 L by 27 -31.5
12/13 Neutral UNLV +12.5 W by 3 +15.5
12/18 Home UT Martin -2.5 W by 7 +4.5
12/20 Home SE Missouri St +1.5 L by 9 -7.5
12/30 Away Tenn Tech -1.5 W by 12 +10.5
01/03 Away Little Rock -1.0 W by 5 +4.0
01/08 Away W Illinois -6.5 W by 22 +15.5
01/10 Away E Illinois -3.5 L by 4 -7.5
01/15 Home Morehead St -7.5 W by 5 -2.5
01/17 Home S Indiana -8.5 W by 6 -2.5
01/22 Away SIU Edward +1.0 L by 8 -7.0
01/24 Away Lindenwood +3.5 W by 10 +13.5
01/29 Home Little Rock -4.5 W by 7 +2.5
02/02 Home Tenn Tech -8.0 L by 5 -13.0
02/05 Home E Illinois -9.0 W by 9 0.0
02/07 Home W Illinois -14.5 W by 27 +12.5
02/12 Away S Indiana -6.0 W by 2 -4.0
02/14 Away Morehead St -1.0 L by 8 -9.0
02/19 Home Lindenwood -3.0 W by 9 +6.0
02/21 Home SIU Edward -3.0 W by 27 +24.0
02/26 Away SE Missouri St +2.5 W by 8 +10.5
02/28 Away UT Martin +2.5 W by 25 +27.5
03/06 Neutral UT Martin -1.5 W by 13 +11.5
03/07 Neutral Morehead St -5.5 W by 26 +20.5
03/20 Neutral Iowa St +24.5 L by 34 -9.5

Tennessee Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Home Mercer -28.0 W by 15 -13.0
11/08 Home N Kentucky -27.0 W by 39 +12.0
11/12 Home N Florida -41.0 W by 33 -8.0
11/17 Home Rice -26.0 W by 25 -1.0
11/20 Home Tennessee St -32.0 W by 29 -3.0
11/24 Neutral Rutgers -15.0 W by 25 +10.0
11/25 Neutral Houston +3.0 W by 3 +6.0
11/26 Neutral Kansas -7.0 L by 5 -12.0
12/02 Away Syracuse -8.5 L by 2 -10.5
12/06 Neutral Illinois -1.5 L by 13 -14.5
12/16 Home Louisville -4.5 W by 21 +16.5
12/21 Home Gardner-Webb -42.5 W by 42 -0.5
12/30 Home S Carolina St -44.0 W by 51 +7.0
01/03 Away Arkansas -1.5 L by 11 -12.5
01/06 Home Texas -11.5 W by 14 +2.5
01/10 Away Florida +4.5 L by 24 -19.5
01/13 Home Texas A&M -11.0 W by 5 -6.0
01/17 Home Kentucky -6.0 L by 2 -8.0
01/24 Away Alabama +4.0 W by 6 +10.0
01/28 Away Georgia -1.0 W by 1 0.0
01/31 Home Auburn -5.5 W by 8 +2.5
02/03 Home Mississippi -13.0 W by 18 +5.0
02/07 Away Kentucky (Pick) L by 3 -3.0
02/11 Away Mississippi St -7.0 W by 9 +2.0
02/14 Home LSU -14.5 W by 10 -4.5
02/18 Home Oklahoma -11.5 W by 23 +11.5
02/21 Away Vanderbilt +3.5 W by 4 +7.5
02/24 Away Missouri -3.5 L by 4 -7.5
02/28 Home Alabama -4.5 L by 2 -6.5
03/03 Away South Carolina -10.5 W by 19 +8.5
03/07 Home Vanderbilt -3.5 L by 4 -7.5
03/12 Neutral Auburn -5.5 W by 10 +4.5
03/13 Neutral Vanderbilt -3.5 L by 7 -10.5
03/20 Neutral Miami OH -12.5 W by 22 +9.5
03/22 Neutral Virginia -1.5 W by 7 +5.5
03/27 Neutral Iowa St +2.5 W by 14 +16.5
03/29 Neutral Michigan +8.5 L by 33 -24.5