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Tennessee St at W Kentucky: Over/Under Analysis

Sunday Nov 16, 2025 3:00 pm - Bowling Green, KY
Odds: Western Kentucky by 12.5, Total Points: 167.5

Matchup Menu: TNST @ WKU

More Games From Nov 16, 2025

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Over 167.5	Official TR Pick	55% odds to go over
Over 167.5	Similar Games	53% odds to go over
Over 167.5	Decision Tree	55% odds to go over

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	TNST	WKU
Season	14-16-0	15-15-0
vs Division	0-0-0	0-0-0
vs Conference	11-11-0	10-11-0
Streak	Ov 2	Ov 1
Last 5	2-3-0	4-1-0
Last 10	4-6-0	7-3-0
Home	5-5-0	8-6-0
Away	9-11-0	7-9-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Tennessee St Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Home	Fisk	--	101-50	Under	--
11/08	Away	Belmont	157.5	79-87	Over	+8.5
11/11	Home	Oakwood	--	114-76	Under	--
11/16	Away	W Kentucky	167.5	82-95	Over	+9.5
11/20	Away	Tennessee	157.5	60-89	Under	-8.5
11/25	Away	NC Asheville	164.0	75-73	Under	-16.0
11/29	Neutral	Tennessee Wesleyan	--	98-77	Under	--
11/30	Away	Chattanooga	155.5	70-64	Under	-21.5
12/03	Away	Alabama A&M	147.5	53-80	Under	-14.5
12/13	Neutral	UNLV	160.5	63-60	Under	-37.5
12/18	Home	UT Martin	142.0	78-71	Over	+7.0
12/20	Home	SE Missouri St	151.5	82-91	Over	+21.5
12/30	Away	Tenn Tech	155.5	88-76	Over	+8.5
01/03	Away	Little Rock	145.0	84-79	Over	+18.0
01/08	Away	W Illinois	145.5	90-68	Over	+12.5
01/10	Away	E Illinois	145.0	70-74	Under	-1.0
01/15	Home	Morehead St	148.5	105-100	Over	+56.5
01/17	Home	S Indiana	150.0	73-67	Under	-10.0
01/22	Away	SIU Edward	143.5	66-74	Under	-3.5
01/24	Away	Lindenwood	160.5	96-86	Over	+21.5
01/29	Home	Little Rock	150.0	70-63	Under	-17.0
02/02	Home	Tenn Tech	153.0	85-90	Over	+22.0
02/05	Home	E Illinois	146.0	77-68	Under	-1.0
02/07	Home	W Illinois	151.0	83-56	Under	-12.0
02/12	Away	S Indiana	147.5	73-71	Under	-3.5
02/14	Away	Morehead St	149.0	86-94	Over	+31.0
02/19	Home	Lindenwood	159.0	89-80	Over	+10.0
02/21	Home	SIU Edward	143.5	80-53	Under	-10.5
02/26	Away	SE Missouri St	152.5	79-71	Under	-2.5
02/28	Away	UT Martin	143.5	67-42	Under	-34.5
03/06	Neutral	UT Martin	137.5	68-55	Under	-14.5
03/07	Neutral	Morehead St	143.5	93-67	Over	+16.5
03/20	Neutral	Iowa St	147.5	74-108	Over	+34.5

W Kentucky Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Home	Tenn Tech	153.0	82-70	Under	-1.0
11/10	Away	E Kentucky	163.0	87-79	Over	+3.0
11/16	Home	Tennessee St	167.5	95-82	Over	+9.5
11/18	Home	Bethel (TN)	--	97-67	Under	--
11/26	Neutral	Vanderbilt	168.5	78-83	Under	-7.5
11/27	Neutral	S Florida	167.5	91-97	Over	+20.5
11/28	Neutral	Wichita St	154.5	75-70	Under	-9.5
12/06	Home	Evansville	148.0	80-79	Over	+11.0
12/10	Away	Marshall	159.5	61-77	Under	-21.5
12/15	Home	Campbellsville	--	102-59	Under	--
12/19	Home	Tulsa	158.5	81-82	Over	+4.5
12/29	Away	Jacksonville St	142.5	67-78	Over	+2.5
01/02	Home	Sam Houston	168.0	102-91	Over	+25.0
01/04	Home	Louisiana Tech	145.5	66-61	Under	-18.5
01/08	Away	New Mexico St	154.5	64-80	Under	-10.5
01/10	Away	UTEP	144.5	68-56	Under	-20.5
01/14	Home	Missouri St	148.5	87-72	Over	+10.5
01/17	Home	Kennesaw St	166.0	65-81	Under	-20.0
01/21	Home	Liberty	148.5	69-76	Under	-3.5
01/24	Away	Sam Houston	158.5	58-73	Under	-27.5
01/28	Away	Kennesaw St	157.5	69-72	Under	-16.5
01/31	Away	Middle Tenn	138.5	65-60	Under	-13.5
02/05	Home	Jacksonville St	140.0	66-71	Under	-3.0
02/07	Home	Florida Intl	157.5	80-70	Under	-7.5
02/14	Home	Middle Tenn	144.5	82-80	Over	+17.5
02/18	Away	Delaware	140.0	88-87	Over	+35.0
02/21	Away	Liberty	147.5	94-73	Over	+19.5
02/26	Home	New Mexico St	151.5	93-70	Over	+11.5
02/28	Home	UTEP	145.5	97-65	Over	+16.5
03/05	Away	Missouri St	152.5	74-87	Over	+8.5
03/07	Away	Florida Intl	160.5	67-92	Under	-1.5
03/12	Neutral	Kennesaw St	159.5	87-96	Over	+23.5