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Memphis at S Florida: Over/Under Analysis

Thursday Feb 19, 2026 7:00 pm - Tampa, FL
Odds: South Florida by 9, Total Points: 163

Matchup Menu: MEM @ USF

More Games From Feb 19, 2026

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Over 163.0	Official TR Pick	52% odds to go over
Over 163.0	Decision Tree	52% odds to go over
Under 163.0	Similar Games	53% odds to go under

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	MEM	USF
Season	16-16-0	15-18-0
vs Division	0-0-0	0-0-0
vs Conference	10-9-0	7-13-0
Streak	Un 1	Ov 1
Last 5	3-2-0	2-3-0
Last 10	5-5-0	2-8-0
Home	8-8-0	5-9-0
Away	8-8-0	10-9-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Memphis Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/08	Home	San Francisco	157.0	76-70	Under	-11.0
11/11	Away	Mississippi	151.5	77-83	Over	+8.5
11/16	Home	UNLV	164.0	78-92	Over	+6.0
11/20	Neutral	Purdue	156.5	71-80	Under	-5.5
11/21	Neutral	Wake Forest	160.5	68-69	Under	-23.5
11/26	Home	S Illinois	156.5	74-58	Under	-24.5
12/03	Home	New Orleans	149.5	86-70	Over	+6.5
12/06	Home	Baylor	158.5	78-71	Under	-9.5
12/13	Away	Louisville	162.5	73-99	Over	+9.5
12/17	Home	Vanderbilt	159.5	70-77	Under	-12.5
12/20	Away	Mississippi St	153.5	66-71	Under	-16.5
12/22	Home	Alabama St	151.5	88-67	Over	+3.5
12/31	Home	N Texas	137.5	57-48	Under	-32.5
01/03	Away	Rice	145.0	76-70	Over	+1.0
01/11	Away	Florida Atlantic	152.5	78-89	Over	+14.5
01/14	Home	Temple	144.5	55-53	Under	-36.5
01/18	Home	UTSA	147.5	95-69	Over	+16.5
01/21	Away	Tulsa	154.0	66-83	Under	-5.0
01/24	Away	Wichita St	142.5	59-74	Under	-9.5
01/29	Home	Florida Atlantic	152.5	92-65	Over	+4.5
02/01	Home	Tulane	151.0	76-78	Over	+3.0
02/05	Away	UAB	155.0	90-80	Over	+15.0
02/08	Home	Charlotte	145.0	77-54	Under	-14.0
02/12	Away	N Texas	138.0	69-76	Over	+7.0
02/14	Away	Utah St	154.5	75-99	Over	+19.5
02/19	Away	S Florida	163.0	66-87	Under	-10.0
02/22	Home	UAB	152.5	67-78	Under	-7.5
02/26	Home	Wichita St	149.5	82-88	Over	+20.5
03/01	Away	E Carolina	153.5	68-84	Under	-1.5
03/05	Home	S Florida	163.5	89-96	Over	+21.5
03/08	Away	Tulane	153.5	96-95	Over	+37.5
03/11	Neutral	Tulane	151.5	69-81	Under	-1.5

S Florida Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Home	Florida A&M	153.5	102-67	Over	+15.5
11/08	Neutral	G Washington	159.5	95-99	Over	+34.5
11/12	Home	Coppin St	168.0	100-50	Under	-18.0
11/16	Away	Kennesaw St	177.0	108-89	Over	+20.0
11/19	Away	Oklahoma St	178.5	95-103	Over	+19.5
11/26	Neutral	VCU	173.0	66-78	Under	-29.0
11/27	Neutral	W Kentucky	167.5	97-91	Over	+20.5
11/28	Neutral	Colorado St	155.5	68-83	Under	-4.5
12/04	Home	Utah St	162.0	74-61	Under	-27.0
12/10	Home	Charleston	160.5	81-75	Under	-4.5
12/17	Away	Alabama	178.5	93-104	Over	+18.5
12/21	Home	UMBC	160.0	94-69	Over	+3.0
12/29	Home	Georgia College St. & U	--	111-50	Under	--
01/04	Home	UAB	163.5	106-109	Over	+51.5
01/07	Away	N Texas	148.0	74-70	Under	-4.0
01/10	Away	Tulsa	164.0	93-78	Over	+7.0
01/14	Home	E Carolina	158.0	82-71	Under	-5.0
01/18	Home	Wichita St	159.0	85-86	Over	+12.0
01/22	Away	UAB	169.5	82-69	Under	-18.5
01/25	Home	Florida Atlantic	166.5	89-75	Under	-2.5
01/28	Away	Tulane	158.5	97-83	Over	+21.5
01/31	Away	Temple	154.5	78-79	Over	+2.5
02/04	Home	UTSA	164.5	109-88	Over	+32.5
02/08	Home	Tulsa	170.5	80-74	Under	-16.5
02/11	Away	Wichita St	159.5	66-58	Under	-35.5
02/15	Away	Florida Atlantic	165.5	83-81	Under	-1.5
02/19	Home	Memphis	163.0	87-66	Under	-10.0
02/25	Away	Rice	157.5	75-56	Under	-26.5
03/01	Home	Tulane	155.5	90-62	Under	-3.5
03/05	Away	Memphis	163.5	96-89	Over	+21.5
03/08	Home	Charlotte	156.5	83-60	Under	-13.5
03/14	Neutral	Charlotte	154.5	86-64	Under	-4.5
03/15	Neutral	Wichita St	150.5	70-55	Under	-25.5
03/19	Neutral	Louisville	160.5	79-83	Over	+1.5