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Memphis at S Florida: Point Spread Analysis

Thursday Feb 19, 2026 7:00 pm - Tampa, FL
Odds: South Florida by 9, Total Points: 163

Matchup Menu: MEM @ USF

More Games From Feb 19, 2026

ATS Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
S Florida -9.0 Official TR Pick S Florida 51% odds to cover
S Florida -9.0 Similar Games S Florida 54% odds to cover
S Florida -9.0 Decision Tree S Florida 51% odds to cover
Memphis +9.0 Power Rating Model Memphis 65% odds to cover
Memphis +9.0 Predictive Ratings Memphis 61% odds to cover

ATS Situational Trends

Record MEM adv USF
Season 14-18-0 18-15-0
vs Division 0-0-0 0-0-0
vs Conference 5-14-0 12-8-0
Streak L2 L1
Last 5 1-4-0 3-2-0
Last 10 2-8-0 7-3-0
Home 10-6-0 9-5-0
Away 4-12-0 9-10-0

Memphis Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/08 Home San Francisco -2.0 W by 6 +4.0
11/11 Away Mississippi +9.5 L by 6 +3.5
11/16 Home UNLV -9.5 L by 14 -23.5
11/20 Neutral Purdue +15.0 L by 9 +6.0
11/21 Neutral Wake Forest +2.5 L by 1 +1.5
11/26 Home S Illinois -10.5 W by 16 +5.5
12/03 Home New Orleans -14.5 W by 16 +1.5
12/06 Home Baylor +3.0 W by 7 +10.0
12/13 Away Louisville +16.5 L by 26 -9.5
12/17 Home Vanderbilt +9.0 L by 7 +2.0
12/20 Away Mississippi St +3.5 L by 5 -1.5
12/22 Home Alabama St -20.5 W by 21 +0.5
12/31 Home N Texas -10.0 W by 9 -1.0
01/03 Away Rice -7.5 W by 6 -1.5
01/11 Away Florida Atlantic +1.5 L by 11 -9.5
01/14 Home Temple -8.0 W by 2 -6.0
01/18 Home UTSA -20.0 W by 26 +6.0
01/21 Away Tulsa +5.5 L by 17 -11.5
01/24 Away Wichita St +3.5 L by 15 -11.5
01/29 Home Florida Atlantic -3.0 W by 27 +24.0
02/01 Home Tulane -9.5 L by 2 -11.5
02/05 Away UAB +1.5 W by 10 +11.5
02/08 Home Charlotte -10.0 W by 23 +13.0
02/12 Away N Texas -2.0 L by 7 -9.0
02/14 Away Utah St +14.0 L by 24 -10.0
02/19 Away S Florida +9.0 L by 21 -12.0
02/22 Home UAB -6.5 L by 11 -17.5
02/26 Home Wichita St -1.5 L by 6 -7.5
03/01 Away E Carolina -4.5 L by 16 -20.5
03/05 Home S Florida +7.5 L by 7 +0.5
03/08 Away Tulane -2.5 W by 1 -1.5
03/11 Neutral Tulane -4.5 L by 12 -16.5

S Florida Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Home Florida A&M -26.0 W by 35 +9.0
11/08 Neutral G Washington (Pick) L by 4 -4.0
11/12 Home Coppin St -34.0 W by 50 +16.0
11/16 Away Kennesaw St -7.5 W by 19 +11.5
11/19 Away Oklahoma St +3.5 L by 8 -4.5
11/26 Neutral VCU +1.5 L by 12 -10.5
11/27 Neutral W Kentucky -7.5 W by 6 -1.5
11/28 Neutral Colorado St -3.0 L by 15 -18.0
12/04 Home Utah St -2.5 W by 13 +10.5
12/10 Home Charleston -13.5 W by 6 -7.5
12/17 Away Alabama +14.5 L by 11 +3.5
12/21 Home UMBC -22.5 W by 25 +2.5
12/29 Home Georgia College St. & U -- W by 61 --
01/04 Home UAB -8.5 L by 3 -11.5
01/07 Away N Texas -4.5 W by 4 -0.5
01/10 Away Tulsa +1.5 W by 15 +16.5
01/14 Home E Carolina -18.5 W by 11 -7.5
01/18 Home Wichita St -7.5 L by 1 -8.5
01/22 Away UAB -2.5 W by 13 +10.5
01/25 Home Florida Atlantic -5.5 W by 14 +8.5
01/28 Away Tulane -8.5 W by 14 +5.5
01/31 Away Temple -9.5 L by 1 -10.5
02/04 Home UTSA -24.0 W by 21 -3.0
02/08 Home Tulsa -5.0 W by 6 +1.0
02/11 Away Wichita St (Pick) W by 8 +8.0
02/15 Away Florida Atlantic -5.0 W by 2 -3.0
02/19 Home Memphis -9.0 W by 21 +12.0
02/25 Away Rice -11.5 W by 19 +7.5
03/01 Home Tulane -15.5 W by 28 +12.5
03/05 Away Memphis -7.5 W by 7 -0.5
03/08 Home Charlotte -17.5 W by 23 +5.5
03/14 Neutral Charlotte -15.5 W by 22 +6.5
03/15 Neutral Wichita St -6.5 W by 15 +8.5
03/19 Neutral Louisville +2.5 L by 4 -1.5