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Auburn at Mississippi St: Point Spread Analysis

Wednesday Feb 18, 2026 9:00 pm - Starkville, MS
Odds: Auburn by 5.5, Total Points: 155.5

Matchup Menu: AUB @ MSST

More Games From Feb 18, 2026

ATS Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
Auburn -5.5 Official TR Pick Auburn 51% odds to cover
Auburn -5.5 Similar Games Auburn 56% odds to cover
Auburn -5.5 Decision Tree Auburn 52% odds to cover
Mississippi St +5.5 Power Rating Model Mississippi St 56% odds to cover
Mississippi St +5.5 Predictive Ratings Mississippi St 54% odds to cover

ATS Situational Trends

Record AUB adv MSST
Season 15-23-0 10-22-0
vs Division 0-0-0 0-0-0
vs Conference 6-14-0 6-13-0
Streak L1 L6
Last 5 1-4-0 0-5-0
Last 10 3-7-0 2-8-0
Home 7-11-0 4-12-0
Away 8-12-0 6-10-0

Auburn Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Home Bethune -24.5 W by 5 -19.5
11/06 Home Merrimack -23.5 W by 38 +14.5
11/11 Home Wofford -27.5 W by 31 +3.5
11/16 Neutral Houston +7.5 L by 1 +6.5
11/19 Home Jackson St -30.0 W by 46 +16.0
11/24 Neutral Oregon -4.0 W by 11 +7.0
11/25 Neutral Michigan +5.0 L by 30 -25.0
11/26 Neutral St John's +4.5 W by 11 +15.5
12/03 Home NC State -5.5 W by 10 +4.5
12/06 Away Arizona +11.0 L by 29 -18.0
12/13 Neutral Chattanooga -19.5 W by 14 -5.5
12/20 Neutral Purdue +7.5 L by 28 -20.5
12/29 Home Queens -25.0 W by 41 +16.0
01/03 Away Georgia +6.5 L by 4 +2.5
01/06 Home Texas A&M -6.5 L by 2 -8.5
01/10 Home Arkansas -2.0 W by 22 +20.0
01/14 Away Missouri -1.0 L by 10 -11.0
01/17 Home South Carolina -13.0 W by 4 -9.0
01/20 Away Mississippi -3.5 W by 12 +8.5
01/24 Away Florida +11.5 W by 9 +20.5
01/28 Home Texas -6.5 W by 6 -0.5
01/31 Away Tennessee +5.5 L by 8 -2.5
02/07 Home Alabama -2.0 L by 4 -6.0
02/10 Home Vanderbilt -3.5 L by 8 -11.5
02/14 Away Arkansas +7.0 L by 13 -6.0
02/18 Away Mississippi St -5.5 L by 6 -11.5
02/21 Home Kentucky -3.5 W by 1 -2.5
02/24 Away Oklahoma -2.5 L by 12 -14.5
02/28 Home Mississippi -11.5 L by 6 -17.5
03/03 Home LSU -10.5 W by 14 +3.5
03/07 Away Alabama +5.5 L by 12 -6.5
03/11 Neutral Mississippi St -8.5 W by 18 +9.5
03/12 Neutral Tennessee +5.5 L by 10 -4.5
03/17 Home S Alabama -18.5 W by 11 -7.5
03/22 Home Seattle -14.5 W by 6 -8.5
03/25 Home Nevada -8.5 W by 6 -2.5
04/02 Neutral Illinois St -8.5 W by 22 +13.5
04/05 Neutral Tulsa -6.5 W by 6 -0.5

Mississippi St Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/05 Home N Alabama -24.5 W by 24 -0.5
11/10 Neutral Iowa St +5.0 L by 16 -11.0
11/15 Home SE Louisiana -27.5 W by 7 -20.5
11/20 Neutral Kansas St -2.0 L by 21 -23.0
11/21 Neutral New Mexico -6.5 L by 2 -8.5
11/24 Home New Orleans -24.0 W by 3 -21.0
11/28 Home SMU -1.0 L by 6 -7.0
12/03 Away Georgia Tech -1.5 W by 12 +10.5
12/07 Neutral San Francisco -4.5 L by 3 -7.5
12/13 Neutral Utah -2.5 W by 8 +5.5
12/16 Home LIU -16.5 W by 4 -12.5
12/20 Home Memphis -3.5 W by 5 +1.5
12/29 Home Alabama St -17.5 W by 38 +20.5
01/03 Away Texas +10.0 W by 3 +13.0
01/07 Home Oklahoma -1.0 W by 19 +18.0
01/10 Away Kentucky +10.5 L by 24 -13.5
01/13 Home Alabama +4.5 L by 15 -10.5
01/17 Home Mississippi -4.0 L by 1 -5.0
01/21 Away Texas A&M +8.5 L by 20 -11.5
01/24 Home Vanderbilt +7.5 L by 32 -24.5
01/28 Away LSU +7.0 W by 14 +21.0
01/31 Away Missouri +6.5 L by 5 +1.5
02/07 Home Arkansas +6.0 L by 20 -14.0
02/11 Home Tennessee +7.0 L by 9 -2.0
02/14 Away Mississippi +3.5 W by 12 +15.5
02/18 Home Auburn +5.5 W by 6 +11.5
02/21 Away South Carolina +1.0 L by 8 -7.0
02/25 Away Alabama +12.5 L by 25 -12.5
02/28 Home Missouri +1.5 L by 24 -22.5
03/03 Away Florida +20.5 L by 34 -13.5
03/07 Home Georgia +5.5 L by 6 -0.5
03/11 Neutral Auburn +8.5 L by 18 -9.5