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Tarleton St at S Utah: Box Score Simulation

Saturday Feb 7, 2026 8:30 pm - Cedar City, UT
Odds: Tarleton State by 1, Total Points: 148

Matchup Menu: TST @ SUU

More Games From Feb 7, 2026

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring TST SUU
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting TST SUU
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 62.3 52.5
Field Goal % 43.9% 49.0%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 48.8 31.8
2 Point Shooting % 46.7% 56.9%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 13.5 20.7
3 Point Shooting % 33.7% 36.8%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 21.9 23.7
Free Throw % 73.7% 72.1%
Ball Control TST SUU
Rebounds 32.2 36.3
Rebounds - Defensive 20.5 26.3
Rebounds - Offensive 11.6 10.0
Turnovers 10.0 16.2
Blocked Shots 3.7 4.0
Steals 10.2 4.6
Fouls 17.5 15.9

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TST SUU
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with TST SUU
2 Point Attempt 56.0% 37.3%
3 Point Attempt 15.5% 24.3%
Player Fouled 21.5% 23.7%
Turnover 13.6% 21.9%
Opponent Steal 6.3% 13.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken TST SUU
Shot Blocked 7.7% 6.0%
Offensive Rebound 30.7% 32.7%