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Tarleton St at Miss Valley St: Point Spread Analysis

Tuesday Dec 16, 2025 7:00 pm - Itta Bena, MS
Odds: Tarleton State by 17, Total Points: 142.5

Matchup Menu: TST @ MVSU

More Games From Dec 16, 2025

ATS Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
Tarleton St -17.0 Official TR Pick Tarleton St 52% odds to cover
Tarleton St -17.0 Power Rating Model Tarleton St 54% odds to cover
Tarleton St -17.0 Decision Tree Tarleton St 52% odds to cover
Tarleton St -17.0 Predictive Ratings Tarleton St 56% odds to cover
Miss Valley St +17.0 Similar Games Miss Valley St 51% odds to cover

ATS Situational Trends

Record TST adv MVSU
Season 14-14-0 16-16-0
vs Division 0-0-0 0-0-0
vs Conference 6-13-0 9-10-0
Streak L3 L1
Last 5 1-4-0 3-2-0
Last 10 4-6-0 5-5-0
Home 5-7-0 3-7-0
Away 9-7-0 13-9-0

Tarleton St Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Away SMU +21.5 L by 20 +1.5
11/05 Away LSU +15.0 L by 36 -21.0
11/08 Home Texas A&M-CC -3.5 W by 8 +4.5
11/11 Home Merrimack -5.0 W by 14 +9.0
11/14 Away Baylor +23.5 L by 13 +10.5
11/17 Home Angelo State -- W by 23 --
11/20 Away Rice +5.0 W by 16 +21.0
11/28 Home Midwestern St. -- W by 10 --
12/01 Away Cincinnati +25.0 L by 18 +7.0
12/03 Home Howard Payne -- W by 65 --
12/07 Home Cameron -- W by 30 --
12/16 Away Miss Valley St -17.0 W by 24 +7.0
12/19 Home Florida A&M -14.5 W by 24 +9.5
12/29 Away UT Arlington +2.5 W by 6 +8.5
01/01 Home Utah Valley +5.5 L by 6 -0.5
01/03 Home Cal Baptist (Pick) W by 5 +5.0
01/08 Home Abl Christian -4.5 L by 4 -8.5
01/15 Away S Utah -3.5 L by 1 -4.5
01/17 Away Utah Tech +3.5 L by 4 -0.5
01/21 Away UT Arlington +2.5 L by 7 -4.5
01/29 Home Utah Valley +6.0 L by 28 -22.0
01/31 Home Utah Tech -1.5 L by 6 -7.5
02/05 Away Cal Baptist +10.0 L by 1 +9.0
02/07 Away S Utah -1.0 W by 3 +2.0
02/14 Away Abl Christian +3.0 L by 14 -11.0
02/16 Home Abl Christian -1.0 W by 3 +2.0
02/19 Home S Utah -5.0 W by 4 -1.0
02/21 Home Utah Tech -1.5 L by 8 -9.5
02/26 Away Utah Valley +17.5 L by 7 +10.5
02/28 Away Cal Baptist +8.5 L by 15 -6.5
03/05 Home UT Arlington -1.5 L by 5 -6.5
03/11 Neutral Abl Christian +1.5 L by 6 -4.5

Miss Valley St Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Away UAB +35.0 L by 51 -16.0
11/05 Home Mississippi Univ. For Women -- W by 36 --
11/07 Away Murray St +39.0 L by 48 -9.0
11/12 Away Hawai'i +41.5 L by 32 +9.5
11/14 Neutral Utah Tech +26.5 L by 6 +20.5
11/15 Neutral Manhattan +20.5 L by 7 +13.5
11/22 Away CS Bakersfield +22.0 L by 16 +6.0
11/25 Away Texas A&M +43.0 L by 36 +7.0
12/03 Away UL Monroe +9.5 L by 14 -4.5
12/08 Away Kansas St +39.0 L by 59 -20.0
12/16 Home Tarleton St +17.0 L by 24 -7.0
12/19 Away Florida St +39.5 L by 47 -7.5
12/22 Away West Virginia +42.5 L by 35 +7.5
12/29 Away Oklahoma +44.5 L by 24 +20.5
01/03 Home Alabama St +13.5 L by 20 -6.5
01/05 Home Alabama A&M +10.5 L by 20 -9.5
01/10 Away Prairie View +19.5 L by 1 +18.5
01/12 Away Texas So +13.0 L by 33 -20.0
01/17 Home Bethune +16.5 L by 16 +0.5
01/19 Home Florida A&M +11.5 L by 14 -2.5
01/28 Away Southern +20.5 L by 11 +9.5
01/31 Home AR-Pine Bluff +10.0 L by 8 +2.0
02/07 Home Jackson St +8.5 L by 16 -7.5
02/09 Home Alcorn St +5.5 L by 8 -2.5
02/14 Away Alabama A&M +15.5 L by 7 +8.5
02/16 Away Alabama St +16.5 L by 37 -20.5
02/19 Home Prairie View +9.0 L by 10 -1.0
02/21 Home Texas So +11.5 W by 1 +12.5
02/23 Away Grambling +16.5 L by 21 -4.5
02/28 Away AR-Pine Bluff +14.5 W by 1 +15.5
03/03 Away Alcorn St +9.5 L by 3 +6.5
03/05 Away Jackson St +11.5 L by 8 +3.5
03/09 Neutral Grambling +13.5 L by 25 -11.5