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Tarleton St at Baylor: Over/Under Analysis

Friday Nov 14, 2025 9:00 pm - Waco, TX
Odds: Baylor by 23.5, Total Points: 149.5

Matchup Menu: TST @ BAY

More Games From Nov 14, 2025

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Under 150.0	Official TR Pick	53% odds to go under
Under 150.0	Decision Tree	53% odds to go under
Over 150.0	Similar Games	56% odds to go over

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	TST	BAY
Season	15-13-0	17-16-0
vs Division	0-0-0	0-0-0
vs Conference	9-10-0	9-10-0
Streak	Ov 1	Un 2
Last 5	4-1-0	2-3-0
Last 10	5-5-0	5-5-0
Home	6-6-0	11-5-0
Away	9-7-0	6-11-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Tarleton St Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Away	SMU	145.0	76-96	Over	+27.0
11/05	Away	LSU	149.5	60-96	Over	+6.5
11/08	Home	Texas A&M-CC	142.0	85-77	Over	+20.0
11/11	Home	Merrimack	142.5	76-62	Under	-4.5
11/14	Away	Baylor	149.5	81-94	Over	+25.5
11/17	Home	Angelo State	--	77-54	Under	--
11/20	Away	Rice	145.5	90-74	Over	+18.5
11/28	Home	Midwestern St.	--	67-57	Under	--
12/01	Away	Cincinnati	143.0	58-76	Under	-9.0
12/03	Home	Howard Payne	--	119-54	Under	--
12/07	Home	Cameron	--	93-63	Under	--
12/16	Away	Miss Valley St	142.5	88-64	Over	+9.5
12/19	Home	Florida A&M	145.5	78-54	Under	-13.5
12/29	Away	UT Arlington	136.5	69-63	Under	-4.5
01/01	Home	Utah Valley	144.0	85-91	Over	+32.0
01/03	Home	Cal Baptist	148.0	81-76	Over	+9.0
01/08	Home	Abl Christian	140.5	80-84	Over	+23.5
01/15	Away	S Utah	151.0	105-106	Over	+60.0
01/17	Away	Utah Tech	151.0	71-75	Under	-5.0
01/21	Away	UT Arlington	142.5	64-71	Under	-7.5
01/29	Home	Utah Valley	154.5	55-83	Under	-16.5
01/31	Home	Utah Tech	149.5	59-65	Under	-25.5
02/05	Away	Cal Baptist	139.5	55-56	Under	-28.5
02/07	Away	S Utah	148.0	62-59	Under	-27.0
02/14	Away	Abl Christian	136.0	59-73	Under	-4.0
02/16	Home	Abl Christian	134.0	65-62	Under	-7.0
02/19	Home	S Utah	145.0	78-74	Over	+7.0
02/21	Home	Utah Tech	140.5	72-80	Over	+11.5
02/26	Away	Utah Valley	141.5	72-79	Over	+9.5
02/28	Away	Cal Baptist	138.5	67-82	Over	+10.5
03/05	Home	UT Arlington	136.5	60-65	Under	-11.5
03/11	Neutral	Abl Christian	133.5	78-84	Over	+28.5

Baylor Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Home	UT Rio Grande	154.5	96-81	Over	+22.5
11/09	Home	Washington	156.5	78-69	Under	-9.5
11/14	Home	Tarleton St	149.5	94-81	Over	+25.5
11/24	Neutral	Creighton	155.5	81-74	Under	-0.5
11/25	Neutral	St John's	159.5	81-96	Over	+17.5
11/26	Neutral	San Diego St	148.5	91-81	Over	+23.5
12/02	Home	Sacramento St	158.5	110-88	Over	+39.5
12/06	Away	Memphis	158.5	71-78	Under	-9.5
12/10	Home	Norfolk St	148.5	97-67	Over	+15.5
12/19	Home	Alcorn St	161.0	113-56	Over	+8.0
12/21	Home	Southern	169.5	111-67	Over	+8.5
12/29	Home	Arlington Baptist College	--	124-61	Under	--
01/03	Away	TCU	154.5	63-69	Under	-22.5
01/07	Home	Iowa St	155.5	60-70	Under	-25.5
01/10	Home	Houston	142.5	55-77	Under	-10.5
01/13	Away	Oklahoma St	165.5	94-79	Over	+7.5
01/16	Away	Kansas	156.0	62-80	Under	-14.0
01/20	Home	Texas Tech	154.5	73-92	Over	+10.5
01/24	Home	TCU	147.0	90-97	Over	+40.0
01/28	Away	Cincinnati	146.5	57-67	Under	-22.5
01/31	Away	West Virginia	139.0	63-53	Under	-23.0
02/04	Home	Colorado	156.0	86-67	Under	-3.0
02/07	Away	Iowa St	151.5	69-72	Under	-10.5
02/10	Home	BYU	158.5	94-99	Over	+34.5
02/14	Neutral	Louisville	162.5	71-82	Under	-9.5
02/17	Away	Kansas St	158.5	74-90	Over	+5.5
02/21	Home	Arizona St	157.5	73-68	Under	-16.5
02/24	Home	Arizona	155.5	80-87	Over	+11.5
02/28	Away	UCF	160.5	87-86	Over	+12.5
03/04	Away	Houston	143.5	64-77	Under	-2.5
03/07	Home	Utah	148.5	101-75	Over	+27.5
03/10	Neutral	Arizona St	152.5	79-83	Over	+9.5
04/01	Neutral	Minnesota	147.0	67-48	Under	-32.0
04/04	Neutral	Oklahoma	158.5	69-82	Under	-7.5