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Tarleton St at Baylor: Point Spread Analysis

Friday Nov 14, 2025 9:00 pm - Waco, TX
Odds: Baylor by 23.5, Total Points: 149.5

Matchup Menu: TST @ BAY

More Games From Nov 14, 2025

ATS Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
Tarleton St +24.5 Official TR Pick Tarleton St 50% odds to cover
Tarleton St +24.5 Power Rating Model Tarleton St 81% odds to cover
Tarleton St +24.5 Similar Games Tarleton St 50% odds to cover
Tarleton St +24.5 Decision Tree Tarleton St 50% odds to cover
Tarleton St +24.5 Predictive Ratings Tarleton St 52% odds to cover

ATS Situational Trends

Record TST adv BAY
Season 14-14-0 15-18-0
vs Division 0-0-0 0-0-0
vs Conference 6-13-0 8-11-0
Streak L3 L1
Last 5 1-4-0 3-2-0
Last 10 4-6-0 5-5-0
Home 5-7-0 7-9-0
Away 9-7-0 8-9-0

Tarleton St Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Away SMU +21.5 L by 20 +1.5
11/05 Away LSU +15.0 L by 36 -21.0
11/08 Home Texas A&M-CC -3.5 W by 8 +4.5
11/11 Home Merrimack -5.0 W by 14 +9.0
11/14 Away Baylor +23.5 L by 13 +10.5
11/17 Home Angelo State -- W by 23 --
11/20 Away Rice +5.0 W by 16 +21.0
11/28 Home Midwestern St. -- W by 10 --
12/01 Away Cincinnati +25.0 L by 18 +7.0
12/03 Home Howard Payne -- W by 65 --
12/07 Home Cameron -- W by 30 --
12/16 Away Miss Valley St -17.0 W by 24 +7.0
12/19 Home Florida A&M -14.5 W by 24 +9.5
12/29 Away UT Arlington +2.5 W by 6 +8.5
01/01 Home Utah Valley +5.5 L by 6 -0.5
01/03 Home Cal Baptist (Pick) W by 5 +5.0
01/08 Home Abl Christian -4.5 L by 4 -8.5
01/15 Away S Utah -3.5 L by 1 -4.5
01/17 Away Utah Tech +3.5 L by 4 -0.5
01/21 Away UT Arlington +2.5 L by 7 -4.5
01/29 Home Utah Valley +6.0 L by 28 -22.0
01/31 Home Utah Tech -1.5 L by 6 -7.5
02/05 Away Cal Baptist +10.0 L by 1 +9.0
02/07 Away S Utah -1.0 W by 3 +2.0
02/14 Away Abl Christian +3.0 L by 14 -11.0
02/16 Home Abl Christian -1.0 W by 3 +2.0
02/19 Home S Utah -5.0 W by 4 -1.0
02/21 Home Utah Tech -1.5 L by 8 -9.5
02/26 Away Utah Valley +17.5 L by 7 +10.5
02/28 Away Cal Baptist +8.5 L by 15 -6.5
03/05 Home UT Arlington -1.5 L by 5 -6.5
03/11 Neutral Abl Christian +1.5 L by 6 -4.5

Baylor Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Home UT Rio Grande -24.5 W by 15 -9.5
11/09 Home Washington -6.0 W by 9 +3.0
11/14 Home Tarleton St -23.5 W by 13 -10.5
11/24 Neutral Creighton -3.0 W by 7 +4.0
11/25 Neutral St John's +6.5 L by 15 -8.5
11/26 Neutral San Diego St -2.0 W by 10 +8.0
12/02 Home Sacramento St -29.5 W by 22 -7.5
12/06 Away Memphis -3.0 L by 7 -10.0
12/10 Home Norfolk St -27.0 W by 30 +3.0
12/19 Home Alcorn St -35.5 W by 57 +21.5
12/21 Home Southern -26.0 W by 44 +18.0
12/29 Home Arlington Baptist College -- W by 63 --
01/03 Away TCU +2.5 L by 6 -3.5
01/07 Home Iowa St +4.0 L by 10 -6.0
01/10 Home Houston +2.5 L by 22 -19.5
01/13 Away Oklahoma St -1.5 W by 15 +13.5
01/16 Away Kansas +7.5 L by 18 -10.5
01/20 Home Texas Tech +2.5 L by 19 -16.5
01/24 Home TCU -5.5 L by 7 -12.5
01/28 Away Cincinnati +4.5 L by 10 -5.5
01/31 Away West Virginia +3.0 W by 10 +13.0
02/04 Home Colorado -8.0 W by 19 +11.0
02/07 Away Iowa St +14.0 L by 3 +11.0
02/10 Home BYU +3.0 L by 5 -2.0
02/14 Neutral Louisville +7.0 L by 11 -4.0
02/17 Away Kansas St -4.0 L by 16 -20.0
02/21 Home Arizona St -8.5 W by 5 -3.5
02/24 Home Arizona +7.5 L by 7 +0.5
02/28 Away UCF +1.5 W by 1 +2.5
03/04 Away Houston +13.5 L by 13 +0.5
03/07 Home Utah -12.5 W by 26 +13.5
03/10 Neutral Arizona St -5.5 L by 4 -9.5
04/01 Neutral Minnesota -3.5 W by 19 +15.5
04/04 Neutral Oklahoma -1.5 L by 13 -14.5