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North Carolina at Kentucky: Over/Under Analysis

Tuesday Dec 2, 2025 9:30 pm - Lexington, KY
Odds: Kentucky by 7.5, Total Points: 163.5

Matchup Menu: UNC @ UK

More Games From Dec 2, 2025

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Under 164.0	Official TR Pick	53% odds to go under
Under 164.0	Similar Games	50% odds to go under
Under 164.0	Decision Tree	53% odds to go under

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	UNC	UK
Season	14-19-0	18-18-0
vs Division	0-0-0	0-0-0
vs Conference	10-9-0	11-10-0
Streak	Ov 2	Un 1
Last 5	3-2-0	3-2-0
Last 10	3-7-0	5-5-0
Home	6-12-0	10-9-0
Away	8-7-0	8-9-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

North Carolina Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Home	C Arkansas	157.5	94-54	Under	-9.5
11/07	Home	Kansas	158.0	87-74	Over	+3.0
11/11	Home	Radford	163.5	89-74	Under	-0.5
11/14	Home	NC Central	159.5	97-53	Under	-9.5
11/18	Home	Navy	161.0	73-61	Under	-27.0
11/25	Neutral	St Bonaventure	151.5	85-70	Over	+3.5
11/27	Neutral	Michigan St	152.5	58-74	Under	-20.5
12/02	Away	Kentucky	163.5	67-64	Under	-32.5
12/07	Home	Georgetown	149.5	81-61	Under	-7.5
12/13	Home	SC Upstate	152.5	80-62	Under	-10.5
12/16	Home	E Tennessee St	150.5	77-58	Under	-15.5
12/20	Neutral	Ohio St	157.5	71-70	Under	-16.5
12/22	Home	E Carolina	144.5	99-51	Over	+5.5
12/30	Home	Florida St	166.5	79-66	Under	-21.5
01/03	Away	SMU	155.5	83-97	Over	+24.5
01/10	Home	Wake Forest	155.0	87-84	Over	+16.0
01/14	Away	Stanford	148.0	90-95	Over	+37.0
01/17	Away	California	151.0	78-84	Over	+11.0
01/21	Home	Notre Dame	149.0	91-69	Over	+11.0
01/24	Away	Virginia	148.5	85-80	Over	+16.5
01/31	Away	Georgia Tech	159.5	91-75	Over	+6.5
02/02	Home	Syracuse	158.0	87-77	Over	+6.0
02/07	Home	Duke	151.5	71-68	Under	-12.5
02/10	Away	Miami	156.5	66-75	Under	-15.5
02/14	Home	Pittsburgh	144.5	79-65	Under	-0.5
02/17	Away	NC State	155.5	58-82	Under	-15.5
02/21	Away	Syracuse	154.0	77-64	Under	-13.0
02/23	Home	Louisville	162.5	77-74	Under	-11.5
02/28	Home	Virginia Tech	149.5	89-82	Over	+21.5
03/03	Home	Clemson	141.5	67-63	Under	-11.5
03/07	Away	Duke	147.5	61-76	Under	-10.5
03/12	Neutral	Clemson	140.5	79-80	Over	+18.5
03/19	Neutral	VCU	150.5	78-82	Over	+9.5

Kentucky Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/04	Home	Nicholls	157.0	77-51	Under	-29.0
11/07	Home	Valparaiso	157.0	107-59	Over	+9.0
11/11	Away	Louisville	173.0	88-96	Over	+11.0
11/14	Home	E Illinois	148.5	99-53	Over	+3.5
11/18	Neutral	Michigan St	153.0	66-83	Under	-4.0
11/21	Home	Loyola MD	160.0	88-46	Under	-26.0
11/26	Home	Tenn Tech	157.5	104-54	Over	+0.5
12/02	Home	North Carolina	163.5	64-67	Under	-32.5
12/05	Home	Gonzaga	159.5	59-94	Under	-6.5
12/09	Home	NC Central	148.5	103-67	Over	+21.5
12/13	Home	Indiana	156.0	72-60	Under	-24.0
12/20	Neutral	St John's	154.0	78-66	Under	-10.0
12/23	Home	Bellarmine	152.5	99-85	Over	+31.5
01/03	Away	Alabama	174.0	74-89	Under	-11.0
01/07	Home	Missouri	151.0	68-73	Under	-10.0
01/10	Home	Mississippi St	152.5	92-68	Over	+7.5
01/14	Away	LSU	151.5	75-74	Under	-2.5
01/17	Away	Tennessee	145.0	80-78	Over	+13.0
01/21	Home	Texas	151.5	85-80	Over	+13.5
01/24	Home	Mississippi	145.5	72-63	Under	-10.5
01/27	Away	Vanderbilt	154.0	55-80	Under	-19.0
01/31	Away	Arkansas	161.5	85-77	Over	+0.5
02/04	Home	Oklahoma	152.5	94-78	Over	+19.5
02/07	Home	Tennessee	146.0	74-71	Under	-1.0
02/14	Away	Florida	155.0	83-92	Over	+20.0
02/17	Home	Georgia	161.5	78-86	Over	+2.5
02/21	Away	Auburn	153.5	74-75	Under	-4.5
02/24	Away	South Carolina	151.5	72-63	Under	-16.5
02/28	Home	Vanderbilt	157.5	91-77	Over	+10.5
03/03	Away	Texas A&M	162.5	85-96	Over	+18.5
03/07	Home	Florida	162.5	77-84	Under	-1.5
03/11	Neutral	LSU	151.5	87-82	Over	+17.5
03/12	Neutral	Missouri	148.5	78-72	Over	+1.5
03/13	Neutral	Florida	160.5	63-71	Under	-26.5
03/20	Neutral	Santa Clara	157.5	89-84	Over	+15.5
03/22	Neutral	Iowa St	146.5	63-82	Under	-1.5