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North Carolina at California: Over/Under Analysis

Saturday Jan 17, 2026 4:00 pm - Berkeley, CA
Odds: North Carolina by 7.5, Total Points: 151

Matchup Menu: UNC @ CAL

More Games From Jan 17, 2026

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Under 151.0	Official TR Pick	51% odds to go under
Under 151.0	Similar Games	51% odds to go under
Under 151.0	Decision Tree	51% odds to go under

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	UNC	CAL
Season	14-19-0	15-18-0
vs Division	0-0-0	0-0-0
vs Conference	10-9-0	9-10-0
Streak	Ov 2	Un 1
Last 5	3-2-0	2-3-0
Last 10	3-7-0	4-6-0
Home	6-12-0	8-13-0
Away	8-7-0	7-5-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

North Carolina Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Home	C Arkansas	157.5	94-54	Under	-9.5
11/07	Home	Kansas	158.0	87-74	Over	+3.0
11/11	Home	Radford	163.5	89-74	Under	-0.5
11/14	Home	NC Central	159.5	97-53	Under	-9.5
11/18	Home	Navy	161.0	73-61	Under	-27.0
11/25	Neutral	St Bonaventure	151.5	85-70	Over	+3.5
11/27	Neutral	Michigan St	152.5	58-74	Under	-20.5
12/02	Away	Kentucky	163.5	67-64	Under	-32.5
12/07	Home	Georgetown	149.5	81-61	Under	-7.5
12/13	Home	SC Upstate	152.5	80-62	Under	-10.5
12/16	Home	E Tennessee St	150.5	77-58	Under	-15.5
12/20	Neutral	Ohio St	157.5	71-70	Under	-16.5
12/22	Home	E Carolina	144.5	99-51	Over	+5.5
12/30	Home	Florida St	166.5	79-66	Under	-21.5
01/03	Away	SMU	155.5	83-97	Over	+24.5
01/10	Home	Wake Forest	155.0	87-84	Over	+16.0
01/14	Away	Stanford	148.0	90-95	Over	+37.0
01/17	Away	California	151.0	78-84	Over	+11.0
01/21	Home	Notre Dame	149.0	91-69	Over	+11.0
01/24	Away	Virginia	148.5	85-80	Over	+16.5
01/31	Away	Georgia Tech	159.5	91-75	Over	+6.5
02/02	Home	Syracuse	158.0	87-77	Over	+6.0
02/07	Home	Duke	151.5	71-68	Under	-12.5
02/10	Away	Miami	156.5	66-75	Under	-15.5
02/14	Home	Pittsburgh	144.5	79-65	Under	-0.5
02/17	Away	NC State	155.5	58-82	Under	-15.5
02/21	Away	Syracuse	154.0	77-64	Under	-13.0
02/23	Home	Louisville	162.5	77-74	Under	-11.5
02/28	Home	Virginia Tech	149.5	89-82	Over	+21.5
03/03	Home	Clemson	141.5	67-63	Under	-11.5
03/07	Away	Duke	147.5	61-76	Under	-10.5
03/12	Neutral	Clemson	140.5	79-80	Over	+18.5
03/19	Neutral	VCU	150.5	78-82	Over	+9.5

California Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Home	CS Bakersfield	146.5	87-60	Over	+0.5
11/06	Home	Wright St	149.0	77-67	Under	-5.0
11/10	Home	CS Fullerton	162.0	93-65	Under	-4.0
11/13	Away	Kansas St	163.5	96-99	Over	+31.5
11/18	Home	Presbyterian	144.5	67-57	Under	-20.5
11/21	Home	Sacramento St	154.5	91-67	Over	+3.5
11/25	Neutral	UCLA	143.5	80-72	Over	+8.5
12/02	Home	Utah	152.0	79-72	Under	-1.0
12/06	Home	Pacific	144.5	67-61	Under	-16.5
12/09	Home	Dominican (CA)	--	93-71	Under	--
12/13	Home	NW State	145.0	79-70	Over	+4.0
12/19	Home	Morgan St	151.5	97-50	Under	-4.5
12/21	Home	Columbia	152.5	74-56	Under	-22.5
12/30	Home	Louisville	159.0	70-90	Over	+1.0
01/02	Home	Notre Dame	138.5	72-71	Over	+4.5
01/07	Away	Virginia	148.0	60-84	Under	-4.0
01/10	Away	Virginia Tech	148.0	75-78	Over	+5.0
01/14	Home	Duke	149.0	56-71	Under	-22.0
01/17	Home	North Carolina	151.0	84-78	Over	+11.0
01/24	Away	Stanford	146.5	78-66	Under	-2.5
01/28	Away	Florida St	157.5	61-63	Under	-33.5
01/31	Away	Miami	149.5	86-85	Over	+21.5
02/04	Home	Georgia Tech	152.5	90-85	Over	+22.5
02/07	Home	Clemson	137.0	55-77	Under	-5.0
02/11	Away	Syracuse	148.5	100-107	Over	+58.5
02/14	Away	Boston College	141.5	86-75	Over	+19.5
02/21	Home	Stanford	149.5	72-66	Under	-11.5
02/25	Home	SMU	163.5	73-69	Under	-21.5
02/28	Home	Pittsburgh	144.5	56-72	Under	-16.5
03/04	Away	Georgia Tech	155.5	76-65	Under	-14.5
03/07	Away	Wake Forest	153.5	73-80	Under	-0.5
03/11	Neutral	Florida St	154.5	89-95	Over	+29.5
03/18	Home	Illinois Chicago	150.5	91-73	Over	+13.5
03/22	Home	Saint Joseph's	153.5	75-76	Under	-2.5