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North Carolina at California: Point Spread Analysis

Saturday Jan 17, 2026 4:00 pm - Berkeley, CA
Odds: North Carolina by 7.5, Total Points: 151

Matchup Menu: UNC @ CAL

More Games From Jan 17, 2026

ATS Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
North Carolina -6.5 Official TR Pick North Carolina 51% odds to cover
North Carolina -6.5 Decision Tree North Carolina 51% odds to cover
California +6.0 Power Rating Model California 68% odds to cover
California +6.5 Similar Games California 56% odds to cover
California +6.5 Predictive Ratings California 55% odds to cover

ATS Situational Trends

Record UNC adv CAL
Season 19-14-0 17-16-0
vs Division 0-0-0 0-0-0
vs Conference 11-8-0 9-10-0
Streak L1 L1
Last 5 3-2-0 2-3-0
Last 10 6-4-0 5-5-0
Home 12-6-0 9-12-0
Away 7-8-0 8-4-0

North Carolina Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Home C Arkansas -31.0 W by 40 +9.0
11/07 Home Kansas -3.0 W by 13 +10.0
11/11 Home Radford -20.0 W by 15 -5.0
11/14 Home NC Central -34.0 W by 44 +10.0
11/18 Home Navy -26.5 W by 12 -14.5
11/25 Neutral St Bonaventure -11.0 W by 15 +4.0
11/27 Neutral Michigan St +1.0 L by 16 -15.0
12/02 Away Kentucky +7.5 W by 3 +10.5
12/07 Home Georgetown -10.5 W by 20 +9.5
12/13 Home SC Upstate -29.5 W by 18 -11.5
12/16 Home E Tennessee St -17.5 W by 19 +1.5
12/20 Neutral Ohio St -2.5 W by 1 -1.5
12/22 Home E Carolina -25.5 W by 48 +22.5
12/30 Home Florida St -12.0 W by 13 +1.0
01/03 Away SMU +1.0 L by 14 -13.0
01/10 Home Wake Forest -10.0 W by 3 -7.0
01/14 Away Stanford -4.0 L by 5 -9.0
01/17 Away California -7.5 L by 6 -13.5
01/21 Home Notre Dame -13.5 W by 22 +8.5
01/24 Away Virginia +6.5 W by 5 +11.5
01/31 Away Georgia Tech -10.5 W by 16 +5.5
02/02 Home Syracuse -11.5 W by 10 -1.5
02/07 Home Duke +6.0 W by 3 +9.0
02/10 Away Miami -1.0 L by 9 -10.0
02/14 Home Pittsburgh -11.5 W by 14 +2.5
02/17 Away NC State +8.0 L by 24 -16.0
02/21 Away Syracuse +1.5 W by 13 +14.5
02/23 Home Louisville +3.5 W by 3 +6.5
02/28 Home Virginia Tech -7.5 W by 7 -0.5
03/03 Home Clemson -2.5 W by 4 +1.5
03/07 Away Duke +18.5 L by 15 +3.5
03/12 Neutral Clemson +1.5 L by 1 +0.5
03/19 Neutral VCU -2.5 L by 4 -6.5

California Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Home CS Bakersfield -16.0 W by 27 +11.0
11/06 Home Wright St -15.5 W by 10 -5.5
11/10 Home CS Fullerton -22.5 W by 28 +5.5
11/13 Away Kansas St +6.5 L by 3 +3.5
11/18 Home Presbyterian -19.5 W by 10 -9.5
11/21 Home Sacramento St -21.5 W by 24 +2.5
11/25 Neutral UCLA +7.5 W by 8 +15.5
12/02 Home Utah -8.0 W by 7 -1.0
12/06 Home Pacific -8.0 W by 6 -2.0
12/09 Home Dominican (CA) -- W by 22 --
12/13 Home NW State -19.0 W by 9 -10.0
12/19 Home Morgan St -26.5 W by 47 +20.5
12/21 Home Columbia -8.5 W by 18 +9.5
12/30 Home Louisville +7.5 L by 20 -12.5
01/02 Home Notre Dame -3.5 W by 1 -2.5
01/07 Away Virginia +14.0 L by 24 -10.0
01/10 Away Virginia Tech +5.0 L by 3 +2.0
01/14 Home Duke +14.0 L by 15 -1.0
01/17 Home North Carolina +7.5 W by 6 +13.5
01/24 Away Stanford +4.5 W by 12 +16.5
01/28 Away Florida St +3.5 L by 2 +1.5
01/31 Away Miami +11.5 W by 1 +12.5
02/04 Home Georgia Tech -7.5 W by 5 -2.5
02/07 Home Clemson +4.5 L by 22 -17.5
02/11 Away Syracuse +6.0 L by 7 -1.0
02/14 Away Boston College -3.5 W by 11 +7.5
02/21 Home Stanford -1.5 W by 6 +4.5
02/25 Home SMU +3.5 W by 4 +7.5
02/28 Home Pittsburgh -6.5 L by 16 -22.5
03/04 Away Georgia Tech -1.5 W by 11 +9.5
03/07 Away Wake Forest +6.5 L by 7 -0.5
03/11 Neutral Florida St +2.5 L by 6 -3.5
03/18 Home Illinois Chicago -6.5 W by 18 +11.5
03/22 Home Saint Joseph's -5.5 L by 1 -6.5