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Michigan St at Minnesota: Over/Under Analysis

Wednesday Feb 4, 2026 7:00 pm - Minneapolis, MN
Odds: Michigan State by 8.5, Total Points: 134.5

Matchup Menu: MSU @ MINN

More Games From Feb 4, 2026

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Under 134.5	Official TR Pick	54% odds to go under
Under 134.5	Similar Games	54% odds to go under
Under 134.5	Decision Tree	54% odds to go under

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	MSU	MINN
Season	16-19-0	13-20-0
vs Division	0-0-0	0-0-0
vs Conference	11-10-0	10-11-0
Streak	Un 2	Un 1
Last 5	3-2-0	2-3-0
Last 10	6-4-0	3-7-0
Home	7-10-0	6-11-0
Away	9-9-0	7-9-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Michigan St Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Home	Colgate	144.5	80-69	Over	+4.5
11/08	Home	Arkansas	155.5	69-66	Under	-20.5
11/13	Home	San Jose St	143.0	79-60	Under	-4.0
11/18	Neutral	Kentucky	153.0	83-66	Under	-4.0
11/21	Home	Detroit Mercy	152.5	84-56	Under	-12.5
11/25	Neutral	E Carolina	142.0	89-56	Over	+3.0
11/27	Neutral	North Carolina	152.5	74-58	Under	-20.5
12/02	Home	Iowa	134.0	71-52	Under	-11.0
12/06	Home	Duke	141.5	60-66	Under	-15.5
12/13	Away	Penn St	145.0	76-72	Over	+3.0
12/16	Home	Toledo	150.5	92-69	Over	+10.5
12/20	Neutral	Oakland	154.5	79-70	Under	-5.5
12/29	Home	Cornell	160.5	114-97	Over	+50.5
01/02	Away	Nebraska	146.5	56-58	Under	-32.5
01/05	Home	USC	150.5	80-51	Under	-19.5
01/08	Home	Northwestern	144.0	76-66	Under	-2.0
01/13	Home	Indiana	145.5	81-60	Under	-4.5
01/17	Away	Washington	146.0	80-63	Under	-3.0
01/20	Away	Oregon	140.0	68-52	Under	-20.0
01/24	Home	Maryland	139.5	91-48	Under	-0.5
01/27	Away	Rutgers	139.0	88-79	Over	+28.0
01/30	Home	Michigan	150.5	71-83	Over	+3.5
02/04	Away	Minnesota	134.5	73-76	Over	+14.5
02/07	Home	Illinois	143.5	85-82	Over	+23.5
02/13	Away	Wisconsin	148.0	71-92	Over	+15.0
02/17	Home	UCLA	139.5	82-59	Over	+1.5
02/22	Home	Ohio St	146.5	66-60	Under	-20.5
02/26	Away	Purdue	143.5	76-74	Over	+6.5
03/01	Away	Indiana	144.5	77-64	Under	-3.5
03/05	Home	Rutgers	141.5	91-87	Over	+36.5
03/08	Away	Michigan	152.5	80-90	Over	+17.5
03/13	Neutral	UCLA	141.5	84-88	Over	+30.5
03/19	Neutral	N Dakota St	143.5	92-67	Over	+15.5
03/21	Neutral	Louisville	151.5	77-69	Under	-5.5
03/27	Neutral	UConn	136.5	63-67	Under	-6.5

Minnesota Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Home	Gardner-Webb	145.5	87-60	Over	+1.5
11/08	Home	Alcorn St	151.5	95-50	Under	-6.5
11/12	Away	Missouri	158.5	60-83	Under	-15.5
11/15	Home	Green Bay	146.5	72-65	Under	-9.5
11/18	Home	Chicago St	144.5	66-54	Under	-24.5
11/22	Neutral	San Francisco	140.0	65-77	Over	+2.0
11/27	Neutral	Stanford	141.5	68-72	Under	-1.5
11/28	Neutral	Santa Clara	138.5	75-86	Over	+22.5
12/03	Home	Indiana	144.0	73-64	Under	-7.0
12/10	Away	Purdue	143.0	57-85	Under	-1.0
12/14	Home	Texas So	144.0	89-53	Under	-2.0
12/21	Home	Campbell	145.5	78-50	Under	-17.5
12/29	Home	F Dickinson	138.5	60-43	Under	-35.5
01/03	Away	Northwestern	138.5	84-78	Over	+23.5
01/06	Home	Iowa	131.0	70-67	Over	+6.0
01/09	Home	USC	147.0	69-70	Under	-8.0
01/13	Home	Wisconsin	146.5	75-78	Over	+6.5
01/17	Away	Illinois	142.5	67-77	Over	+1.5
01/20	Away	Ohio St	143.5	74-82	Over	+12.5
01/24	Home	Nebraska	140.5	57-76	Under	-7.5
01/28	Away	Wisconsin	146.5	63-67	Under	-16.5
02/01	Away	Penn St	142.5	75-77	Over	+9.5
02/04	Home	Michigan St	134.5	76-73	Over	+14.5
02/08	Home	Maryland	138.5	62-67	Under	-9.5
02/14	Away	Washington	138.5	57-69	Under	-12.5
02/17	Away	Oregon	136.0	61-44	Under	-31.0
02/21	Home	Rutgers	133.5	80-61	Over	+7.5
02/24	Away	Michigan	145.5	67-77	Under	-1.5
02/28	Home	UCLA	137.5	78-73	Over	+13.5
03/04	Away	Indiana	138.5	47-77	Under	-14.5
03/07	Home	Northwestern	133.5	67-66	Under	-0.5
03/11	Neutral	Rutgers	135.5	67-72	Over	+3.5
04/01	Neutral	Baylor	147.0	48-67	Under	-32.0