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Michigan St at Minnesota: Point Spread Analysis

Wednesday Feb 4, 2026 7:00 pm - Minneapolis, MN
Odds: Michigan State by 8.5, Total Points: 134.5

Matchup Menu: MSU @ MINN

More Games From Feb 4, 2026

ATS Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
Minnesota +8.5 Official TR Pick Minnesota 53% odds to cover
Minnesota +8.5 Decision Tree Minnesota 54% odds to cover
Michigan St -8.5 Power Rating Model Michigan St 55% odds to cover
Michigan St -8.5 Similar Games Michigan St 51% odds to cover
Michigan St -8.5 Predictive Ratings Michigan St 56% odds to cover

ATS Situational Trends

Record MSU adv MINN
Season 17-16-2 14-18-1
vs Division 0-0-0 0-0-0
vs Conference 11-9-1 10-10-1
Streak L1 L4
Last 5 3-2-0 1-4-0
Last 10 6-4-0 4-6-0
Home 7-9-1 9-8-0
Away 10-7-1 5-10-1

Michigan St Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Home Colgate -22.0 W by 11 -11.0
11/08 Home Arkansas -2.5 W by 3 +0.5
11/13 Home San Jose St -24.5 W by 19 -5.5
11/18 Neutral Kentucky +3.5 W by 17 +20.5
11/21 Home Detroit Mercy -30.5 W by 28 -2.5
11/25 Neutral E Carolina -20.0 W by 33 +13.0
11/27 Neutral North Carolina -1.0 W by 16 +15.0
12/02 Home Iowa -4.5 W by 19 +14.5
12/06 Home Duke +1.0 L by 6 -5.0
12/13 Away Penn St -12.5 W by 4 -8.5
12/16 Home Toledo -23.0 W by 23 0.0
12/20 Neutral Oakland -20.0 W by 9 -11.0
12/29 Home Cornell -23.5 W by 17 -6.5
01/02 Away Nebraska +2.0 L by 2 0.0
01/05 Home USC -12.0 W by 29 +17.0
01/08 Home Northwestern -13.0 W by 10 -3.0
01/13 Home Indiana -6.5 W by 21 +14.5
01/17 Away Washington -3.5 W by 17 +13.5
01/20 Away Oregon -10.0 W by 16 +6.0
01/24 Home Maryland -18.5 W by 43 +24.5
01/27 Away Rutgers -14.5 W by 9 -5.5
01/30 Home Michigan +2.5 L by 12 -9.5
02/04 Away Minnesota -8.5 L by 3 -11.5
02/07 Home Illinois -1.0 W by 3 +2.0
02/13 Away Wisconsin -2.0 L by 21 -23.0
02/17 Home UCLA -8.0 W by 23 +15.0
02/22 Home Ohio St -10.5 W by 6 -4.5
02/26 Away Purdue +6.5 W by 2 +8.5
03/01 Away Indiana -2.5 W by 13 +10.5
03/05 Home Rutgers -19.5 W by 4 -15.5
03/08 Away Michigan +10.5 L by 10 +0.5
03/13 Neutral UCLA -5.5 L by 4 -9.5
03/19 Neutral N Dakota St -15.5 W by 25 +9.5
03/21 Neutral Louisville -5.5 W by 8 +2.5
03/27 Neutral UConn +2.5 L by 4 -1.5

Minnesota Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Home Gardner-Webb -26.0 W by 27 +1.0
11/08 Home Alcorn St -31.0 W by 45 +14.0
11/12 Away Missouri +7.5 L by 23 -15.5
11/15 Home Green Bay -25.5 W by 7 -18.5
11/18 Home Chicago St -28.0 W by 12 -16.0
11/22 Neutral San Francisco -1.5 L by 12 -13.5
11/27 Neutral Stanford +2.5 L by 4 -1.5
11/28 Neutral Santa Clara +4.5 L by 11 -6.5
12/03 Home Indiana +8.0 W by 9 +17.0
12/10 Away Purdue +20.0 L by 28 -8.0
12/14 Home Texas So -21.0 W by 36 +15.0
12/21 Home Campbell -13.5 W by 28 +14.5
12/29 Home F Dickinson -25.5 W by 17 -8.5
01/03 Away Northwestern +4.0 W by 6 +10.0
01/06 Home Iowa +5.0 W by 3 +8.0
01/09 Home USC -3.5 L by 1 -4.5
01/13 Home Wisconsin +1.5 L by 3 -1.5
01/17 Away Illinois +15.0 L by 10 +5.0
01/20 Away Ohio St +8.0 L by 8 0.0
01/24 Home Nebraska +5.0 L by 19 -14.0
01/28 Away Wisconsin +9.5 L by 4 +5.5
02/01 Away Penn St -1.0 L by 2 -3.0
02/04 Home Michigan St +8.5 W by 3 +11.5
02/08 Home Maryland -10.0 L by 5 -15.0
02/14 Away Washington +6.5 L by 12 -5.5
02/17 Away Oregon +3.0 W by 17 +20.0
02/21 Home Rutgers -8.5 W by 19 +10.5
02/24 Away Michigan +21.5 L by 10 +11.5
02/28 Home UCLA +1.5 W by 5 +6.5
03/04 Away Indiana +6.5 L by 30 -23.5
03/07 Home Northwestern -4.5 W by 1 -3.5
03/11 Neutral Rutgers -6.5 L by 5 -11.5
04/01 Neutral Baylor +3.5 L by 19 -15.5