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NC Greensboro at Samford: Over/Under Analysis

Saturday Feb 28, 2026 6:00 pm - Birmingham, AL
Odds: Samford by 8.5, Total Points: 156.5

Matchup Menu: UNCG @ SAM

More Games From Feb 28, 2026

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Under 156.5	Official TR Pick	50% odds to go under
Under 156.5	Decision Tree	50% odds to go under
Over 156.5	Similar Games	53% odds to go over

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	UNCG	SAM
Season	22-10-0	18-11-1
vs Division	0-0-0	0-0-0
vs Conference	15-6-0	13-5-1
Streak	Ov 1	Ov 2
Last 5	3-2-0	4-1-0
Last 10	7-3-0	7-3-0
Home	9-3-0	5-6-1
Away	13-7-0	13-5-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

NC Greensboro Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/04	Away	Kansas St	149.0	64-93	Over	+8.0
11/08	Home	Elon	143.5	90-92	Over	+38.5
11/12	Away	NC State	153.5	64-110	Over	+20.5
11/15	Home	Austin Peay	145.5	63-69	Under	-13.5
11/20	Away	Queens	151.5	94-101	Over	+43.5
11/23	Neutral	Youngstown St	156.0	68-62	Under	-26.0
11/25	Neutral	Delaware	142.5	60-73	Under	-9.5
11/26	Neutral	Miami OH	150.5	71-82	Over	+2.5
12/02	Neutral	NC Asheville	143.0	77-82	Over	+16.0
12/06	Away	E Carolina	139.5	82-78	Over	+20.5
12/12	Home	William Peace	--	90-62	Under	--
12/16	Home	NC A&T	148.0	65-71	Under	-12.0
12/21	Home	Virginia-Lynchburg	--	131-53	Under	--
01/01	Home	Chattanooga	148.5	77-72	Over	+0.5
01/03	Home	Samford	151.5	89-82	Over	+19.5
01/07	Away	Wofford	153.5	85-97	Over	+28.5
01/10	Away	E Tennessee St	148.5	60-86	Under	-2.5
01/15	Home	The Citadel	149.0	69-66	Under	-14.0
01/17	Home	Mercer	156.0	92-102	Over	+38.0
01/21	Away	VMI	150.5	85-78	Over	+12.5
01/23	Home	Furman	150.5	66-89	Over	+4.5
01/29	Away	Mercer	159.5	77-95	Over	+12.5
01/31	Away	The Citadel	146.5	66-71	Under	-9.5
02/04	Home	W Carolina	155.5	81-78	Over	+3.5
02/08	Away	Furman	149.5	67-64	Under	-18.5
02/11	Home	VMI	149.0	92-71	Over	+14.0
02/14	Home	Wofford	155.0	99-89	Over	+33.0
02/18	Away	W Carolina	155.5	77-91	Over	+12.5
02/21	Home	E Tennessee St	148.5	75-87	Over	+13.5
02/26	Away	Chattanooga	157.5	85-80	Over	+7.5
02/28	Away	Samford	156.5	78-87	Over	+8.5
03/06	Neutral	VMI	154.5	84-70	Under	-0.5
03/07	Neutral	Wofford	155.5	75-72	Under	-8.5
03/08	Neutral	Furman	147.5	75-81	Over	+8.5

Samford Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Away	Tulane	154.5	72-85	Over	+2.5
11/07	Home	S Carolina St	154.5	82-72	Under	-0.5
11/12	Away	Texas So	153.5	93-90	Over	+29.5
11/14	Away	Arkansas	159.5	75-79	Under	-5.5
11/16	Away	C Arkansas	151.5	84-77	Over	+9.5
11/19	Home	FGCU	153.5	62-77	Under	-14.5
11/21	Away	New Mexico St	146.0	72-81	Over	+7.0
11/25	Neutral	Georgia St	147.0	78-63	Under	-6.0
11/26	Neutral	Utah Valley	148.0	45-89	Under	-14.0
12/05	Away	VCU	154.5	57-83	Under	-14.5
12/07	Home	Cornell	166.5	93-90	Over	+16.5
12/15	Home	Bryan	--	106-51	Under	--
12/19	Home	Reinhardt	--	85-49	Under	--
01/01	Away	VMI	155.0	78-58	Under	-19.0
01/03	Away	NC Greensboro	151.5	82-89	Over	+19.5
01/07	Home	W Carolina	153.5	82-77	Over	+5.5
01/10	Away	Chattanooga	148.5	79-88	Over	+18.5
01/14	Home	Furman	150.0	73-77	Push	0.0
01/17	Home	E Tennessee St	146.0	75-76	Over	+5.0
01/21	Away	Wofford	154.5	78-88	Over	+11.5
01/24	Home	Chattanooga	152.5	75-64	Under	-13.5
01/29	Away	Furman	149.5	73-78	Over	+1.5
02/01	Away	W Carolina	154.5	88-74	Over	+7.5
02/05	Home	The Citadel	146.5	78-64	Under	-4.5
02/07	Home	Mercer	161.0	69-49	Under	-43.0
02/11	Home	Wofford	150.0	97-80	Over	+27.0
02/14	Away	E Tennessee St	145.5	82-72	Over	+8.5
02/19	Away	The Citadel	142.0	78-75	Over	+11.0
02/21	Away	Mercer	156.5	86-89	Over	+18.5
02/26	Home	VMI	155.5	80-61	Under	-14.5
02/28	Home	NC Greensboro	156.5	87-78	Over	+8.5
03/07	Neutral	Furman	147.5	81-86	Over	+19.5