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LIU at Mercyhurst: Over/Under Analysis

Saturday Feb 21, 2026 2:00 pm - Erie, PA
Odds: Long Island by 3.5, Total Points: 140.5

Matchup Menu: LIU @ MERC

More Games From Feb 21, 2026

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Over 137.5	Official TR Pick	54% odds to go over
Over 137.5	Similar Games	54% odds to go over
Over 137.5	Decision Tree	54% odds to go over

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	LIU	MERC
Season	15-19-0	16-16-0
vs Division	0-0-0	0-0-0
vs Conference	7-14-0	11-10-0
Streak	Ov 2	Ov 1
Last 5	3-2-0	3-2-0
Last 10	6-4-0	6-4-0
Home	6-9-0	7-6-0
Away	9-10-0	9-10-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

LIU Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Away	Notre Dame	137.0	67-89	Over	+19.0
11/06	Away	IU Indy	185.5	94-90	Under	-1.5
11/11	Away	Air Force	138.5	76-72	Over	+9.5
11/15	Home	J Madison	148.5	88-79	Over	+18.5
11/20	Away	Fordham	144.5	53-69	Under	-22.5
11/22	Away	Illinois	162.5	58-98	Under	-6.5
11/24	Away	Missouri St	145.5	75-61	Under	-9.5
12/02	Home	Winthrop	154.5	92-94	Over	+31.5
12/06	Away	Lehigh	143.0	87-82	Over	+26.0
12/13	Home	La Salle	141.0	70-60	Under	-11.0
12/16	Away	Mississippi St	152.5	83-87	Over	+17.5
12/20	Away	Florida Intl	161.5	79-86	Over	+3.5
12/29	Away	Georgia	179.0	74-89	Under	-16.0
01/02	Home	C Connecticut	146.5	84-78	Over	+15.5
01/04	Away	Chicago St	152.5	74-55	Under	-23.5
01/08	Home	Mercyhurst	139.5	60-58	Under	-21.5
01/10	Home	St Francis PA	149.5	67-63	Under	-19.5
01/17	Away	F Dickinson	144.5	66-59	Under	-19.5
01/19	Away	Le Moyne	150.5	77-83	Over	+9.5
01/23	Away	Stonehill	137.5	66-63	Under	-8.5
01/29	Home	Le Moyne	147.5	83-61	Under	-3.5
01/31	Away	C Connecticut	144.5	80-59	Under	-5.5
02/05	Home	New Haven	135.5	60-55	Under	-20.5
02/07	Home	Stonehill	132.5	61-54	Under	-17.5
02/12	Away	Wagner	139.5	67-57	Under	-15.5
02/14	Away	New Haven	129.5	52-55	Under	-22.5
02/16	Home	Wagner	137.0	83-65	Over	+11.0
02/19	Away	St Francis PA	148.0	91-89	Over	+32.0
02/21	Away	Mercyhurst	140.5	83-91	Over	+33.5
02/26	Home	Chicago St	141.5	73-56	Under	-12.5
02/28	Home	F Dickinson	137.5	74-60	Under	-3.5
03/04	Home	Chicago St	137.5	79-75	Over	+16.5
03/07	Home	Wagner	138.5	64-56	Under	-18.5
03/10	Home	Mercyhurst	134.5	79-70	Over	+14.5
03/20	Neutral	Arizona	147.5	58-92	Over	+2.5

Mercyhurst Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Away	Northwestern	140.5	47-70	Under	-23.5
11/06	Away	Loyola Chi	143.5	73-65	Under	-5.5
11/08	Home	Penn St.-New Kensington	--	94-43	Under	--
11/12	Away	Canisius	135.5	55-58	Under	-22.5
11/15	Home	Morgan St	146.5	86-72	Over	+11.5
11/20	Away	Miami OH	139.0	71-76	Over	+8.0
11/23	Away	Marshall	152.0	60-69	Under	-23.0
11/30	Away	West Virginia	127.5	38-70	Under	-19.5
12/05	Away	Lafayette	133.0	71-79	Over	+17.0
12/07	Home	Bethany (WV)	--	80-51	Under	--
12/13	Away	Davidson	132.5	47-80	Under	-5.5
12/17	Away	Syracuse	132.0	62-76	Over	+6.0
12/20	Home	Binghamton	133.0	82-61	Over	+10.0
01/02	Home	F Dickinson	133.5	67-74	Over	+7.5
01/04	Home	Le Moyne	141.5	74-60	Under	-7.5
01/08	Away	LIU	139.5	58-60	Under	-21.5
01/10	Away	Wagner	132.5	70-69	Over	+6.5
01/17	Home	Stonehill	128.5	57-62	Under	-9.5
01/19	Home	C Connecticut	133.5	79-61	Over	+6.5
01/23	Away	New Haven	122.0	61-57	Under	-4.0
01/25	Home	Chicago St	130.0	61-59	Under	-10.0
01/29	Home	New Haven	122.0	70-51	Under	-1.0
01/31	Away	Chicago St	130.5	74-78	Over	+21.5
02/05	Home	St Francis PA	137.5	98-89	Over	+49.5
02/07	Away	F Dickinson	130.0	52-55	Under	-23.0
02/12	Away	Le Moyne	137.0	57-58	Under	-22.0
02/14	Away	St Francis PA	138.0	94-79	Over	+35.0
02/19	Home	Wagner	133.5	80-83	Over	+29.5
02/21	Home	LIU	140.5	91-83	Over	+33.5
02/26	Away	C Connecticut	140.5	78-80	Over	+17.5
02/28	Away	Stonehill	139.5	75-72	Over	+7.5
03/04	Home	F Dickinson	131.5	70-61	Under	-0.5
03/07	Home	Stonehill	134.5	56-51	Under	-27.5
03/10	Away	LIU	134.5	70-79	Over	+14.5