This section is showing information that is up to date as of the end of the 2025-26 NCAA Basketball season. To join our email list and get notified when we launch the 2026-27 NCAA Basketball section, register for a free account.

Florida St at North Carolina: Over/Under Analysis

Tuesday Dec 30, 2025 7:00 pm - Chapel Hill, NC
Odds: North Carolina by 12, Total Points: 166.5

Matchup Menu: FSU @ UNC

More Games From Dec 30, 2026

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Under 167.5	Official TR Pick	52% odds to go under
Under 167.5	Similar Games	59% odds to go under
Under 167.5	Decision Tree	52% odds to go under

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	FSU	UNC
Season	17-16-0	14-19-0
vs Division	0-0-0	0-0-0
vs Conference	12-8-0	10-9-0
Streak	Ov 4	Ov 2
Last 5	4-1-0	3-2-0
Last 10	7-3-0	3-7-0
Home	8-9-0	6-12-0
Away	9-7-0	8-7-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Florida St Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/04	Home	Alcorn St	157.0	108-76	Over	+27.0
11/07	Home	Alabama St	166.5	101-64	Under	-1.5
11/11	Away	Florida	180.5	76-78	Under	-26.5
11/18	Home	UT Martin	165.0	87-73	Under	-5.0
11/21	Home	Georgia So	175.5	98-72	Under	-5.5
11/25	Home	CS Bakersfield	159.5	89-59	Under	-11.5
11/28	Neutral	Texas A&M	175.0	59-95	Under	-21.0
12/02	Home	Georgia	176.5	73-107	Over	+3.5
12/06	Neutral	Houston	148.5	67-82	Over	+0.5
12/13	Neutral	UMass	165.5	95-103	Over	+32.5
12/16	Away	Dayton	163.0	69-97	Over	+3.0
12/19	Home	Miss Valley St	164.5	96-49	Under	-19.5
12/22	Home	Jacksonville	160.0	87-63	Under	-10.0
12/30	Away	North Carolina	166.5	66-79	Under	-21.5
01/03	Home	Duke	163.0	87-91	Over	+15.0
01/10	Home	NC State	160.0	69-113	Over	+22.0
01/13	Away	Syracuse	160.5	86-94	Over	+19.5
01/17	Home	Wake Forest	168.5	68-69	Under	-31.5
01/20	Away	Miami	163.5	65-63	Under	-35.5
01/24	Away	SMU	164.5	80-83	Under	-1.5
01/28	Home	California	157.5	63-61	Under	-33.5
01/31	Home	Stanford	150.5	88-80	Over	+17.5
02/07	Away	Notre Dame	153.0	82-79	Over	+8.0
02/10	Home	Virginia	156.0	58-61	Under	-37.0
02/14	Away	Virginia Tech	156.5	92-69	Over	+4.5
02/17	Home	Boston College	148.0	80-72	Over	+4.0
02/21	Away	Clemson	143.5	70-65	Under	-8.5
02/24	Home	Miami	153.5	73-83	Over	+2.5
02/28	Away	Georgia Tech	158.5	80-71	Under	-7.5
03/04	Away	Pittsburgh	144.5	75-74	Over	+4.5
03/07	Home	SMU	158.5	91-78	Over	+10.5
03/11	Neutral	California	154.5	95-89	Over	+29.5
03/12	Neutral	Duke	150.5	79-80	Over	+8.5

North Carolina Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Home	C Arkansas	157.5	94-54	Under	-9.5
11/07	Home	Kansas	158.0	87-74	Over	+3.0
11/11	Home	Radford	163.5	89-74	Under	-0.5
11/14	Home	NC Central	159.5	97-53	Under	-9.5
11/18	Home	Navy	161.0	73-61	Under	-27.0
11/25	Neutral	St Bonaventure	151.5	85-70	Over	+3.5
11/27	Neutral	Michigan St	152.5	58-74	Under	-20.5
12/02	Away	Kentucky	163.5	67-64	Under	-32.5
12/07	Home	Georgetown	149.5	81-61	Under	-7.5
12/13	Home	SC Upstate	152.5	80-62	Under	-10.5
12/16	Home	E Tennessee St	150.5	77-58	Under	-15.5
12/20	Neutral	Ohio St	157.5	71-70	Under	-16.5
12/22	Home	E Carolina	144.5	99-51	Over	+5.5
12/30	Home	Florida St	166.5	79-66	Under	-21.5
01/03	Away	SMU	155.5	83-97	Over	+24.5
01/10	Home	Wake Forest	155.0	87-84	Over	+16.0
01/14	Away	Stanford	148.0	90-95	Over	+37.0
01/17	Away	California	151.0	78-84	Over	+11.0
01/21	Home	Notre Dame	149.0	91-69	Over	+11.0
01/24	Away	Virginia	148.5	85-80	Over	+16.5
01/31	Away	Georgia Tech	159.5	91-75	Over	+6.5
02/02	Home	Syracuse	158.0	87-77	Over	+6.0
02/07	Home	Duke	151.5	71-68	Under	-12.5
02/10	Away	Miami	156.5	66-75	Under	-15.5
02/14	Home	Pittsburgh	144.5	79-65	Under	-0.5
02/17	Away	NC State	155.5	58-82	Under	-15.5
02/21	Away	Syracuse	154.0	77-64	Under	-13.0
02/23	Home	Louisville	162.5	77-74	Under	-11.5
02/28	Home	Virginia Tech	149.5	89-82	Over	+21.5
03/03	Home	Clemson	141.5	67-63	Under	-11.5
03/07	Away	Duke	147.5	61-76	Under	-10.5
03/12	Neutral	Clemson	140.5	79-80	Over	+18.5
03/19	Neutral	VCU	150.5	78-82	Over	+9.5