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Florida St at North Carolina: Recap

Tuesday Dec 30, 2025 7:00 pm - Chapel Hill, NC
Odds: North Carolina by 12, Total Points: 166.5

Game Winner Pick Confidence Projection
North Carolina FSU 13.1%
UNC 86.9%
ATS Pick Confidence Projection
UNC -12.0 FSU 49.6%
UNC 50.4%
Totals Pick Confidence Projection
Under 167.5 Over 47.8%
Under 52.2%
Money Line Value Pick Confidence Projection
Lay Off FSU 0.0%
UNC -4.0%
Final Score Projection Vegas Implied Actual
FSU 77.2 77.8 66
UNC 89.3 89.8 79

Offensive Stat Comparison

Stat FSU UNC
Points/Game 80.4 79.7
Avg Score Margin +2.4 +8.1
Assists/Game 14.3 16.0
Total Rebounds/Gm 35.3 38.2
Effective FG % 52.3% 54.3%
Off Rebound % 29.3% 28.8%
FTA/FGA 0.347 0.371
Turnover % 13.1% 12.0%

Defensive Stat Comparison

Stat FSU UNC
Opp Points/Game 77.9 71.6
Opp Effective FG % 52.2% 48.3%
Off Rebounds/Gm 9.9 8.9
Def Rebounds/Gm 22.2 25.9
Blocks/Game 3.9 3.4
Steals/Game 7.9 5.4
Personal Fouls/Gm 18.3 14.7