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Toledo at UMass: Point Spread Analysis

Tuesday Jan 20, 2026 6:00 pm - Amherst, MA
Odds: Massachusetts by 2.5, Total Points: 163.5

Matchup Menu: TOL @ MASS

More Games From Jan 20, 2026

ATS Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
UMass -2.5 Official TR Pick UMass 50% odds to cover
UMass -2.5 Decision Tree UMass 51% odds to cover
Toledo +2.5 Power Rating Model Toledo 61% odds to cover
Toledo +2.5 Similar Games Toledo 56% odds to cover
Toledo +2.5 Predictive Ratings Toledo 51% odds to cover

ATS Situational Trends

Record TOL adv MASS
Season 18-13-1 12-19-0
vs Division 0-0-0 0-0-0
vs Conference 14-7-0 6-14-0
Streak W2 L1
Last 5 4-1-0 2-3-0
Last 10 7-3-0 3-7-0
Home 6-7-0 5-9-0
Away 12-6-1 7-10-0

Toledo Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Home S Alabama -3.0 L by 2 -5.0
11/08 Home Marshall -2.5 L by 12 -14.5
11/11 Away Wright St +5.5 W by 10 +15.5
11/15 Home Detroit Mercy -10.0 W by 7 -3.0
11/19 Home Youngstown St -1.0 W by 17 +16.0
11/24 Neutral Troy +2.5 W by 7 +9.5
11/26 Neutral Belmont +4.5 L by 15 -10.5
12/01 Home Central State (OH) -- W by 44 --
12/06 Away Oakland +4.0 L by 1 +3.0
12/13 Away Robert Morris (Pick) L by 5 -5.0
12/16 Away Michigan St +23.0 L by 23 0.0
12/20 Home Lourdes -- W by 33 --
12/30 Home W Michigan -10.5 W by 5 -5.5
01/03 Away C Michigan -7.5 W by 3 -4.5
01/06 Away N Illinois -8.0 W by 14 +6.0
01/09 Home Miami OH -1.0 L by 14 -15.0
01/13 Home Ohio -2.0 W by 16 +14.0
01/16 Away Kent St +5.5 L by 3 +2.5
01/20 Away UMass +2.5 L by 2 +0.5
01/24 Home Bowling Green +1.5 W by 1 +2.5
01/27 Away Akron +12.5 L by 10 +2.5
01/31 Home Ball St -8.5 W by 18 +9.5
02/03 Home Kent St (Pick) L by 3 -3.0
02/07 Away J Madison -1.0 L by 2 -3.0
02/11 Away W Michigan -6.0 W by 11 +5.0
02/14 Away Bowling Green +4.0 L by 10 -6.0
02/21 Home E Michigan -8.5 W by 19 +10.5
02/24 Home N Illinois -12.5 W by 10 -2.5
02/28 Away Ohio +1.5 W by 12 +13.5
03/03 Away Miami OH +7.5 L by 2 +5.5
03/06 Home Buffalo -5.5 W by 20 +14.5
03/12 Neutral Bowling Green -1.5 W by 1 -0.5
03/13 Neutral UMass -2.5 W by 10 +7.5
03/14 Neutral Akron +7.5 L by 3 +4.5

UMass Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Home Marshall -4.5 L by 6 -10.5
11/08 Home Albany -10.5 W by 21 +10.5
11/13 Home Le Moyne -16.5 W by 14 -2.5
11/16 Home C Connecticut -11.0 W by 7 -4.0
11/21 Neutral Charleston +3.5 L by 4 -0.5
11/22 Neutral Green Bay -6.0 L by 4 -10.0
11/24 Neutral Oregon St +3.0 W by 8 +11.0
12/03 Home Harvard -6.0 W by 7 +1.0
12/06 Home UMass Lowell -11.5 W by 20 +8.5
12/10 Neutral Boston College +1.0 W by 2 +3.0
12/13 Neutral Florida St +13.0 W by 8 +21.0
12/20 Home Kent St +1.5 L by 10 -8.5
12/22 Home Massachusetts-Boston -- W by 51 --
12/30 Away E Michigan -2.5 L by 6 -8.5
01/03 Home Bowling Green +1.5 L by 1 +0.5
01/06 Away Ohio +3.5 L by 3 +0.5
01/10 Home Ball St -10.0 W by 8 -2.0
01/13 Away W Michigan -5.5 W by 3 -2.5
01/17 Away N Illinois -8.0 L by 2 -10.0
01/20 Home Toledo -2.5 W by 2 -0.5
01/23 Away Buffalo -1.5 W by 1 -0.5
01/27 Away Miami OH +9.5 L by 2 +7.5
01/31 Home E Michigan -8.0 W by 3 -5.0
02/03 Home C Michigan -11.0 W by 6 -5.0
02/07 Away Coastal Car -1.0 L by 3 -4.0
02/13 Away Akron +12.5 L by 7 +5.5
02/17 Home Miami OH +3.5 L by 9 -5.5
02/21 Home Buffalo -7.5 L by 4 -11.5
02/24 Away Ball St -4.5 L by 1 -5.5
02/28 Away Bowling Green +3.5 L by 19 -15.5
03/03 Home Ohio -1.5 W by 12 +10.5
03/12 Neutral Miami OH +6.5 W by 4 +10.5
03/13 Neutral Toledo +2.5 L by 10 -7.5