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Toledo at UMass: Recap

Tuesday Jan 20, 2026 6:00 pm - Amherst, MA
Odds: Massachusetts by 2.5, Total Points: 163.5

Game Winner Pick Confidence Projection
UMass TOL 42.7%
MASS 57.3%
ATS Pick Confidence Projection
MASS -2.5 TOL 49.5%
MASS 50.5%
Totals Pick Confidence Projection
Over 163.5 Over 50.1%
Under 49.9%
Money Line Value Pick Confidence Projection
Lay Off TOL -1.7%
MASS -1.9%
Final Score Projection Vegas Implied Actual
TOL 80.5 80.5 82
MASS 83.1 83.0 84

Offensive Stat Comparison

Stat TOL MASS
Points/Game 79.8 79.9
Avg Score Margin +2.3 +1.1
Assists/Game 15.5 16.7
Total Rebounds/Gm 32.9 36.6
Effective FG % 54.5% 53.1%
Off Rebound % 27.1% 31.4%
FTA/FGA 0.305 0.370
Turnover % 12.9% 15.4%

Defensive Stat Comparison

Stat TOL MASS
Opp Points/Game 77.4 78.8
Opp Effective FG % 54.4% 52.9%
Off Rebounds/Gm 8.4 9.9
Def Rebounds/Gm 20.8 23.2
Blocks/Game 2.9 2.2
Steals/Game 7.6 6.6
Personal Fouls/Gm 15.2 21.0