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Toledo at J Madison: Over/Under Analysis

Saturday Feb 7, 2026 4:00 pm - Harrisonburg, VA
Odds: Toledo by 1, Total Points: 153

Matchup Menu: TOL @ JMU

More Games From Feb 7, 2026

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Over 153.0	Official TR Pick	50% odds to go over
Over 153.0	Decision Tree	50% odds to go over
Under 153.0	Similar Games	52% odds to go under

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	TOL	JMU
Season	13-19-0	15-16-1
vs Division	0-0-0	0-0-0
vs Conference	9-12-0	7-12-1
Streak	Un 2	Ov 2
Last 5	2-3-0	3-2-0
Last 10	4-6-0	4-6-0
Home	6-7-0	4-10-0
Away	7-12-0	11-6-1

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Toledo Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Home	S Alabama	151.0	74-76	Under	-1.0
11/08	Home	Marshall	161.0	73-85	Under	-3.0
11/11	Away	Wright St	159.0	81-71	Under	-7.0
11/15	Home	Detroit Mercy	158.5	90-83	Over	+14.5
11/19	Home	Youngstown St	160.5	92-75	Over	+6.5
11/24	Neutral	Troy	160.5	75-68	Under	-17.5
11/26	Neutral	Belmont	163.5	72-87	Under	-4.5
12/01	Home	Central State (OH)	--	102-58	Under	--
12/06	Away	Oakland	166.5	97-98	Over	+28.5
12/13	Away	Robert Morris	154.5	70-75	Under	-9.5
12/16	Away	Michigan St	150.5	69-92	Over	+10.5
12/20	Home	Lourdes	--	100-67	Under	--
12/30	Home	W Michigan	160.0	84-79	Over	+3.0
01/03	Away	C Michigan	158.0	78-75	Under	-5.0
01/06	Away	N Illinois	160.0	75-61	Under	-24.0
01/09	Home	Miami OH	166.0	73-87	Under	-6.0
01/13	Home	Ohio	161.5	101-85	Over	+24.5
01/16	Away	Kent St	168.0	84-87	Over	+3.0
01/20	Away	UMass	163.5	82-84	Over	+2.5
01/24	Home	Bowling Green	156.5	73-72	Under	-11.5
01/27	Away	Akron	169.5	81-91	Over	+2.5
01/31	Home	Ball St	146.5	73-55	Under	-18.5
02/03	Home	Kent St	161.5	72-75	Under	-14.5
02/07	Away	J Madison	153.0	71-73	Under	-9.0
02/11	Away	W Michigan	155.0	90-79	Over	+14.0
02/14	Away	Bowling Green	151.0	70-80	Under	-1.0
02/21	Home	E Michigan	146.5	94-75	Over	+22.5
02/24	Home	N Illinois	149.5	79-69	Under	-1.5
02/28	Away	Ohio	158.5	79-67	Under	-12.5
03/03	Away	Miami OH	162.5	72-74	Under	-16.5
03/06	Home	Buffalo	155.5	98-78	Over	+20.5
03/12	Neutral	Bowling Green	150.5	77-76	Over	+2.5
03/13	Neutral	UMass	158.5	77-67	Under	-14.5
03/14	Neutral	Akron	157.5	76-79	Under	-2.5

J Madison Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Away	Akron	154.0	71-85	Over	+2.0
11/05	Home	Washington & Lee	--	70-56	Under	--
11/09	Home	Coppin St	140.5	84-70	Over	+13.5
11/12	Away	Longwood	150.0	72-82	Over	+4.0
11/15	Away	LIU	148.5	79-88	Over	+18.5
11/18	Home	Towson	140.5	81-75	Over	+15.5
11/24	Away	Florida Intl	155.5	80-72	Under	-3.5
11/25	Neutral	Omaha	152.0	88-77	Over	+13.0
11/29	Away	George Mason	141.5	66-82	Over	+6.5
12/03	Home	NC Central	143.5	67-62	Under	-14.5
12/06	Home	Norfolk St	138.0	68-67	Under	-3.0
12/17	Away	Old Dominion	148.5	68-77	Under	-3.5
12/20	Away	Georgia So	153.5	92-96	Over	+34.5
12/29	Away	Arkansas	159.5	74-103	Over	+17.5
01/03	Away	Arkansas St	159.0	78-74	Under	-7.0
01/07	Home	Marshall	152.5	64-66	Under	-22.5
01/10	Home	Old Dominion	147.5	70-69	Under	-8.5
01/15	Away	App State	133.5	65-80	Over	+11.5
01/17	Away	Marshall	149.0	72-77	Push	0.0
01/22	Home	S Alabama	138.5	83-90	Over	+34.5
01/24	Home	Texas St	144.5	82-57	Under	-5.5
01/29	Away	Troy	147.5	73-64	Under	-10.5
01/31	Away	Southern Miss	143.0	65-73	Under	-5.0
02/04	Home	Louisiana	132.0	61-64	Under	-7.0
02/07	Home	Toledo	153.0	73-71	Under	-9.0
02/12	Home	Georgia St	144.0	81-79	Over	+16.0
02/14	Home	App State	135.0	69-58	Under	-8.0
02/18	Away	Coastal Car	141.0	67-65	Under	-9.0
02/21	Away	Georgia St	142.5	80-65	Over	+2.5
02/25	Home	Georgia So	153.5	82-66	Under	-5.5
02/27	Home	Coastal Car	142.5	68-69	Under	-5.5
03/04	Neutral	Louisiana	135.5	87-72	Over	+23.5
03/05	Neutral	Southern Miss	143.5	80-86	Over	+22.5