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Toledo at J Madison: Point Spread Analysis

Saturday Feb 7, 2026 4:00 pm - Harrisonburg, VA
Odds: Toledo by 1, Total Points: 153

Matchup Menu: TOL @ JMU

More Games From Feb 7, 2026

ATS Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
Toledo (Pick) Official TR Pick Toledo 52% odds to cover
Toledo (Pick) Power Rating Model Toledo 63% odds to cover
Toledo (Pick) Decision Tree Toledo 53% odds to cover
Toledo (Pick) Predictive Ratings Toledo 51% odds to cover
J Madison (Pick) Similar Games J Madison 58% odds to cover

ATS Situational Trends

Record TOL adv JMU
Season 18-13-1 13-19-0
vs Division 0-0-0 0-0-0
vs Conference 14-7-0 9-11-0
Streak W2 L1
Last 5 4-1-0 3-2-0
Last 10 7-3-0 6-4-0
Home 6-7-0 5-9-0
Away 12-6-1 8-10-0

Toledo Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Home S Alabama -3.0 L by 2 -5.0
11/08 Home Marshall -2.5 L by 12 -14.5
11/11 Away Wright St +5.5 W by 10 +15.5
11/15 Home Detroit Mercy -10.0 W by 7 -3.0
11/19 Home Youngstown St -1.0 W by 17 +16.0
11/24 Neutral Troy +2.5 W by 7 +9.5
11/26 Neutral Belmont +4.5 L by 15 -10.5
12/01 Home Central State (OH) -- W by 44 --
12/06 Away Oakland +4.0 L by 1 +3.0
12/13 Away Robert Morris (Pick) L by 5 -5.0
12/16 Away Michigan St +23.0 L by 23 0.0
12/20 Home Lourdes -- W by 33 --
12/30 Home W Michigan -10.5 W by 5 -5.5
01/03 Away C Michigan -7.5 W by 3 -4.5
01/06 Away N Illinois -8.0 W by 14 +6.0
01/09 Home Miami OH -1.0 L by 14 -15.0
01/13 Home Ohio -2.0 W by 16 +14.0
01/16 Away Kent St +5.5 L by 3 +2.5
01/20 Away UMass +2.5 L by 2 +0.5
01/24 Home Bowling Green +1.5 W by 1 +2.5
01/27 Away Akron +12.5 L by 10 +2.5
01/31 Home Ball St -8.5 W by 18 +9.5
02/03 Home Kent St (Pick) L by 3 -3.0
02/07 Away J Madison -1.0 L by 2 -3.0
02/11 Away W Michigan -6.0 W by 11 +5.0
02/14 Away Bowling Green +4.0 L by 10 -6.0
02/21 Home E Michigan -8.5 W by 19 +10.5
02/24 Home N Illinois -12.5 W by 10 -2.5
02/28 Away Ohio +1.5 W by 12 +13.5
03/03 Away Miami OH +7.5 L by 2 +5.5
03/06 Home Buffalo -5.5 W by 20 +14.5
03/12 Neutral Bowling Green -1.5 W by 1 -0.5
03/13 Neutral UMass -2.5 W by 10 +7.5
03/14 Neutral Akron +7.5 L by 3 +4.5

J Madison Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Away Akron +8.5 L by 14 -5.5
11/05 Home Washington & Lee -- W by 14 --
11/09 Home Coppin St -18.5 W by 14 -4.5
11/12 Away Longwood -1.0 L by 10 -11.0
11/15 Away LIU +2.5 L by 9 -6.5
11/18 Home Towson +2.5 W by 6 +8.5
11/24 Away Florida Intl +2.5 W by 8 +10.5
11/25 Neutral Omaha -2.5 W by 11 +8.5
11/29 Away George Mason +12.0 L by 16 -4.0
12/03 Home NC Central -14.5 W by 5 -9.5
12/06 Home Norfolk St -10.5 W by 1 -9.5
12/17 Away Old Dominion -3.0 L by 9 -12.0
12/20 Away Georgia So +2.5 L by 4 -1.5
12/29 Away Arkansas +23.5 L by 29 -5.5
01/03 Away Arkansas St +10.0 W by 4 +14.0
01/07 Home Marshall -2.0 L by 2 -4.0
01/10 Home Old Dominion -6.5 W by 1 -5.5
01/15 Away App State +2.5 L by 15 -12.5
01/17 Away Marshall +6.5 L by 5 +1.5
01/22 Home S Alabama -4.0 L by 7 -11.0
01/24 Home Texas St -5.5 W by 25 +19.5
01/29 Away Troy +9.5 W by 9 +18.5
01/31 Away Southern Miss -1.5 L by 8 -9.5
02/04 Home Louisiana -9.5 L by 3 -12.5
02/07 Home Toledo +1.0 W by 2 +3.0
02/12 Home Georgia St -5.5 W by 2 -3.5
02/14 Home App State +1.0 W by 11 +12.0
02/18 Away Coastal Car -1.0 W by 2 +1.0
02/21 Away Georgia St -1.5 W by 15 +13.5
02/25 Home Georgia So -5.5 W by 16 +10.5
02/27 Home Coastal Car -6.5 L by 1 -7.5
03/04 Neutral Louisiana -6.5 W by 15 +8.5
03/05 Neutral Southern Miss -2.5 L by 6 -8.5