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UMBC at New Hampshire: Box Score Simulation

Saturday Feb 14, 2026 1:00 pm - Durham, NH
Odds: UMBC by 3.5, Total Points: 145

Matchup Menu: UMBC @ UNH

More Games From Feb 14, 2026

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring UMBC UNH
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting UMBC UNH
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 55.4 59.6
Field Goal % 48.8% 39.9%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 35.3 33.7
2 Point Shooting % 56.5% 47.2%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 20.1 25.9
3 Point Shooting % 35.2% 30.4%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 19.4 14.2
Free Throw % 77.1% 66.3%
Ball Control UMBC UNH
Rebounds 36.4 33.0
Rebounds - Defensive 30.0 24.5
Rebounds - Offensive 6.5 8.5
Turnovers 8.1 8.9
Blocked Shots 2.0 1.5
Steals 4.1 4.3
Fouls 12.1 14.7

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.6 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UMBC UNH
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with UMBC UNH
2 Point Attempt 46.6% 43.1%
3 Point Attempt 26.5% 33.2%
Player Fouled 21.3% 17.6%
Turnover 11.7% 12.9%
Opponent Steal 6.2% 5.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken UMBC UNH
Shot Blocked 2.5% 3.7%
Offensive Rebound 20.8% 22.1%