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UMBC at Dayton: Over/Under Analysis

Saturday Nov 8, 2025 2:00 pm - Dayton, OH
Odds: Dayton by 25.5, Total Points: 154.5

Matchup Menu: UMBC @ DAY

More Games From Nov 8, 2025

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Under 154.5	Official TR Pick	52% odds to go under
Under 154.5	Similar Games	52% odds to go under
Under 154.5	Decision Tree	52% odds to go under

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	UMBC	DAY
Season	14-17-0	13-24-0
vs Division	0-0-0	0-0-0
vs Conference	8-11-0	5-16-0
Streak	Ov 1	Un 1
Last 5	3-2-0	2-3-0
Last 10	4-6-0	2-8-0
Home	7-8-0	4-14-0
Away	7-9-0	9-10-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

UMBC Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/04	Home	Penn St.-York	--	74-53	Under	--
11/08	Away	Dayton	154.5	71-77	Under	-6.5
11/11	Away	Morgan St	162.0	81-79	Under	-2.0
11/16	Home	Wagner	140.0	71-70	Over	+1.0
11/19	Away	G Washington	160.5	52-89	Under	-19.5
11/24	Home	Notre Dame (MD)	--	102-52	Under	--
11/29	Home	Delaware St	138.5	71-57	Under	-10.5
12/03	Away	Georgetown	149.5	81-90	Over	+21.5
12/06	Away	Bucknell	143.5	73-66	Under	-4.5
12/09	Home	Buffalo	145.5	79-83	Over	+16.5
12/12	Home	Army	148.0	60-63	Under	-25.0
12/21	Away	S Florida	160.0	69-94	Over	+3.0
12/29	Away	Coppin St	148.5	93-59	Over	+3.5
01/08	Home	Maine	134.0	69-62	Under	-3.0
01/10	Home	New Hampshire	144.5	75-74	Over	+4.5
01/15	Away	Bryant	135.5	74-79	Over	+17.5
01/19	Away	Binghamton	140.5	78-60	Under	-2.5
01/22	Home	NJIT	143.5	87-74	Over	+17.5
01/24	Home	UMass Lowell	151.5	79-56	Under	-16.5
01/29	Away	Vermont	142.0	55-64	Under	-23.0
01/31	Away	Albany	141.0	68-65	Under	-8.0
02/05	Home	Binghamton	138.0	79-62	Over	+3.0
02/12	Away	Maine	135.0	78-62	Over	+5.0
02/14	Away	New Hampshire	145.0	85-63	Over	+3.0
02/19	Home	Vermont	142.0	75-62	Under	-5.0
02/21	Home	Albany	144.5	66-62	Under	-16.5
02/26	Home	Bryant	138.5	70-58	Under	-10.5
02/28	Away	UMass Lowell	150.5	84-60	Under	-6.5
03/03	Away	NJIT	143.5	91-52	Under	-0.5
03/07	Home	New Hampshire	141.5	84-69	Over	+11.5
03/10	Home	UMass Lowell	147.5	91-69	Over	+12.5
03/14	Home	Vermont	134.5	74-59	Under	-1.5
03/17	Neutral	Howard	144.5	83-86	Over	+24.5

Dayton Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Home	Canisius	142.0	88-48	Under	-6.0
11/08	Home	UMBC	154.5	77-71	Under	-6.5
11/11	Away	Cincinnati	148.5	62-74	Under	-12.5
11/15	Home	Bethune	148.5	91-82	Over	+24.5
11/19	Away	Marquette	151.5	77-71	Under	-3.5
11/22	Home	NC Central	148.5	74-55	Under	-19.5
11/27	Neutral	Georgetown	145.0	84-79	Over	+18.0
11/28	Neutral	BYU	150.5	79-83	Over	+11.5
12/02	Home	E Tennessee St	140.5	88-71	Over	+18.5
12/06	Neutral	Virginia	147.5	73-86	Over	+11.5
12/13	Home	N Florida	159.5	84-61	Under	-14.5
12/16	Home	Florida St	163.0	97-69	Over	+3.0
12/20	Home	Liberty	142.5	61-64	Under	-17.5
12/31	Home	Fordham	140.5	63-56	Under	-21.5
01/03	Away	Loyola Chi	142.0	70-68	Under	-4.0
01/06	Home	G Washington	154.0	79-72	Under	-3.0
01/13	Away	Duquesne	152.5	71-65	Under	-16.5
01/16	Home	Loyola Chi	142.5	78-51	Under	-13.5
01/21	Away	La Salle	137.5	64-67	Under	-6.5
01/24	Away	Saint Joseph's	139.5	74-81	Over	+15.5
01/27	Home	Rhode Island	139.0	76-81	Over	+18.0
01/30	Away	Saint Louis	152.5	71-102	Over	+20.5
02/03	Home	St Bonaventure	145.0	72-70	Under	-3.0
02/06	Away	VCU	147.5	73-99	Over	+24.5
02/15	Home	Davidson	140.5	70-59	Under	-11.5
02/18	Away	George Mason	137.0	82-67	Over	+12.0
02/21	Home	Duquesne	148.5	78-66	Under	-4.5
02/24	Home	Saint Louis	157.5	77-62	Under	-18.5
02/27	Away	G Washington	152.5	68-66	Under	-18.5
03/03	Away	Richmond	144.5	65-60	Under	-19.5
03/06	Home	VCU	145.5	62-68	Under	-15.5
03/13	Neutral	St Bonaventure	142.5	68-63	Under	-11.5
03/14	Neutral	Saint Louis	145.5	70-69	Under	-6.5
03/15	Neutral	VCU	138.5	62-70	Under	-6.5
03/18	Away	Bradley	140.5	80-66	Over	+5.5
03/21	Away	NC Wilmington	139.5	80-61	Over	+1.5
03/25	Home	Illinois St	140.5	55-61	Under	-24.5