This section is showing information that is up to date as of the end of the 2025-26 NCAA Basketball season. To join our email list and get notified when we launch the 2026-27 NCAA Basketball section, register for a free account.

UMBC at Dayton: Money Line Analysis

Saturday Nov 8, 2025 2:00 pm - Dayton, OH
Odds: Dayton by 25.5, Total Points: 154.5

Matchup Menu: UMBC @ DAY

More Games From Nov 8, 2025

Money Line Predictions

Value Pick Model Confidence
Dayton -240 Official TR Pick Waiting on valid money line
Dayton -240 Power Rating Model Model shows 20% value
Dayton -240 Similar Games Model shows 27% value
Dayton -240 Decision Tree Model shows 23% value
Dayton -240 Predictive Ratings Model shows 26% value

NOTE: The money line for this game has been taken off the board at major sportsbooks or flagged by our system as stale or suspect. The above analysis uses the previously available money line.

Money Line Situational Trends

Record UMBC adv DAY
Season 21-8 21-10
vs Division 0-0 0-0
vs Conference 17-2 14-7
Streak L1 L1
Last 5 4-1 3-2
Last 10 9-1 7-3
Home 15-2 14-4
Away 9-7 11-8

UMBC Detailed Win/Loss Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Score Result Margin
11/04 Home Penn St.-York 74-53 W +21.0
11/08 Away Dayton 71-77 L -6.0
11/11 Away Morgan St 81-79 W +2.0
11/16 Home Wagner 71-70 W +1.0
11/19 Away G Washington 52-89 L -37.0
11/24 Home Notre Dame (MD) 102-52 W +50.0
11/29 Home Delaware St 71-57 W +14.0
12/03 Away Georgetown 81-90 L -9.0
12/06 Away Bucknell 73-66 W +7.0
12/09 Home Buffalo 79-83 L -4.0
12/12 Home Army 60-63 L -3.0
12/21 Away S Florida 69-94 L -25.0
12/29 Away Coppin St 93-59 W +34.0
01/08 Home Maine 69-62 W +7.0
01/10 Home New Hampshire 75-74 W +1.0
01/15 Away Bryant 74-79 L -5.0
01/19 Away Binghamton 78-60 W +18.0
01/22 Home NJIT 87-74 W +13.0
01/24 Home UMass Lowell 79-56 W +23.0
01/29 Away Vermont 55-64 L -9.0
01/31 Away Albany 68-65 W +3.0
02/05 Home Binghamton 79-62 W +17.0
02/12 Away Maine 78-62 W +16.0
02/14 Away New Hampshire 85-63 W +22.0
02/19 Home Vermont 75-62 W +13.0
02/21 Home Albany 66-62 W +4.0
02/26 Home Bryant 70-58 W +12.0
02/28 Away UMass Lowell 84-60 W +24.0
03/03 Away NJIT 91-52 W +39.0
03/07 Home New Hampshire 84-69 W +15.0
03/10 Home UMass Lowell 91-69 W +22.0
03/14 Home Vermont 74-59 W +15.0
03/17 Neutral Howard 83-86 L -3.0

Dayton Detailed Win/Loss Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Score Result Margin
11/03 Home Canisius 88-48 W +40.0
11/08 Home UMBC 77-71 W +6.0
11/11 Away Cincinnati 62-74 L -12.0
11/15 Home Bethune 91-82 W +9.0
11/19 Away Marquette 77-71 W +6.0
11/22 Home NC Central 74-55 W +19.0
11/27 Neutral Georgetown 84-79 W +5.0
11/28 Neutral BYU 79-83 L -4.0
12/02 Home E Tennessee St 88-71 W +17.0
12/06 Neutral Virginia 73-86 L -13.0
12/13 Home N Florida 84-61 W +23.0
12/16 Home Florida St 97-69 W +28.0
12/20 Home Liberty 61-64 L -3.0
12/31 Home Fordham 63-56 W +7.0
01/03 Away Loyola Chi 70-68 W +2.0
01/06 Home G Washington 79-72 W +7.0
01/13 Away Duquesne 71-65 W +6.0
01/16 Home Loyola Chi 78-51 W +27.0
01/21 Away La Salle 64-67 L -3.0
01/24 Away Saint Joseph's 74-81 L -7.0
01/27 Home Rhode Island 76-81 L -5.0
01/30 Away Saint Louis 71-102 L -31.0
02/03 Home St Bonaventure 72-70 W +2.0
02/06 Away VCU 73-99 L -26.0
02/15 Home Davidson 70-59 W +11.0
02/18 Away George Mason 82-67 W +15.0
02/21 Home Duquesne 78-66 W +12.0
02/24 Home Saint Louis 77-62 W +15.0
02/27 Away G Washington 68-66 W +2.0
03/03 Away Richmond 65-60 W +5.0
03/06 Home VCU 62-68 L -6.0
03/13 Neutral St Bonaventure 68-63 W +5.0
03/14 Neutral Saint Louis 70-69 W +1.0
03/15 Neutral VCU 62-70 L -8.0
03/18 Away Bradley 80-66 W +14.0
03/21 Away NC Wilmington 80-61 W +19.0
03/25 Home Illinois St 55-61 L -6.0