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Illinois St at Dayton: Over/Under Analysis

Wednesday Mar 25, 2026 7:00 pm - Dayton, OH
Odds: Dayton by 7.5, Total Points: 140.5

Over/Under Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
Under 140.5 Official TR Pick 53% odds to go under
Under 140.5 Decision Tree 53% odds to go under
Over 140.5 Similar Games 68% odds to go over

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record ILST DAY
Season 15-20-0 13-24-0
vs Division 0-0-0 0-0-0
vs Conference 8-13-0 5-16-0
Streak Ov 1 Un 1
Last 5 2-3-0 2-3-0
Last 10 4-6-0 2-8-0
Home 6-9-0 4-14-0
Away 9-11-0 9-10-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Illinois St Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Total Score Result +/-
11/06 Away Ohio 161.0 68-72 Under -21.0
11/09 Home Cornell 166.0 76-65 Under -25.0
11/14 Neutral USC 154.5 67-87 Under -0.5
11/16 Away Long Beach St 142.5 82-80 Over +19.5
11/20 Home Rockford -- 93-48 Under --
11/23 Home Coastal Car 143.0 94-42 Under -7.0
11/27 Neutral Charlotte 140.0 79-69 Over +8.0
11/28 Neutral Furman 145.5 72-65 Under -8.5
12/03 Home E Kentucky 154.5 89-78 Over +12.5
12/06 Home Chicago St 145.0 95-53 Over +3.0
12/13 Neutral Utah St 148.0 78-83 Over +13.0
12/18 Away S Illinois 153.5 75-68 Under -10.5
12/21 Home Indiana St 152.5 85-65 Under -2.5
12/29 Away Drake 145.5 73-56 Under -16.5
01/01 Home Evansville 144.0 73-47 Under -24.0
01/07 Away Valparaiso 138.5 71-77 Over +9.5
01/10 Home Illinois Chicago 141.0 59-63 Under -19.0
01/14 Away Indiana St 149.0 89-94 Over +34.0
01/17 Home Bradley 147.5 88-62 Over +2.5
01/21 Home N Iowa 132.0 59-54 Under -19.0
01/24 Away Belmont 150.5 69-80 Under -1.5
01/28 Away Murray St 158.5 70-65 Under -23.5
02/03 Home S Illinois 141.5 50-54 Under -37.5
02/06 Home Drake 145.5 86-76 Over +16.5
02/09 Away Evansville 138.0 80-88 Over +30.0
02/12 Home Valparaiso 138.5 86-64 Over +11.5
02/15 Away Illinois Chicago 140.0 56-83 Under -1.0
02/18 Home Murray St 158.0 78-61 Under -19.0
02/21 Away Bradley 144.5 60-74 Under -10.5
02/25 Away N Iowa 132.5 71-69 Over +7.5
03/01 Home Belmont 150.5 81-74 Over +4.5
03/06 Neutral N Iowa 130.5 52-74 Under -4.5
03/18 Home Kent St 153.5 79-58 Under -16.5
03/22 Away Wake Forest 152.5 78-75 Over +0.5
03/25 Away Dayton 140.5 61-55 Under -24.5
04/02 Neutral Auburn 149.5 66-88 Over +4.5

Dayton Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Total Score Result +/-
11/03 Home Canisius 142.0 88-48 Under -6.0
11/08 Home UMBC 154.5 77-71 Under -6.5
11/11 Away Cincinnati 148.5 62-74 Under -12.5
11/15 Home Bethune 148.5 91-82 Over +24.5
11/19 Away Marquette 151.5 77-71 Under -3.5
11/22 Home NC Central 148.5 74-55 Under -19.5
11/27 Neutral Georgetown 145.0 84-79 Over +18.0
11/28 Neutral BYU 150.5 79-83 Over +11.5
12/02 Home E Tennessee St 140.5 88-71 Over +18.5
12/06 Neutral Virginia 147.5 73-86 Over +11.5
12/13 Home N Florida 159.5 84-61 Under -14.5
12/16 Home Florida St 163.0 97-69 Over +3.0
12/20 Home Liberty 142.5 61-64 Under -17.5
12/31 Home Fordham 140.5 63-56 Under -21.5
01/03 Away Loyola Chi 142.0 70-68 Under -4.0
01/06 Home G Washington 154.0 79-72 Under -3.0
01/13 Away Duquesne 152.5 71-65 Under -16.5
01/16 Home Loyola Chi 142.5 78-51 Under -13.5
01/21 Away La Salle 137.5 64-67 Under -6.5
01/24 Away Saint Joseph's 139.5 74-81 Over +15.5
01/27 Home Rhode Island 139.0 76-81 Over +18.0
01/30 Away Saint Louis 152.5 71-102 Over +20.5
02/03 Home St Bonaventure 145.0 72-70 Under -3.0
02/06 Away VCU 147.5 73-99 Over +24.5
02/15 Home Davidson 140.5 70-59 Under -11.5
02/18 Away George Mason 137.0 82-67 Over +12.0
02/21 Home Duquesne 148.5 78-66 Under -4.5
02/24 Home Saint Louis 157.5 77-62 Under -18.5
02/27 Away G Washington 152.5 68-66 Under -18.5
03/03 Away Richmond 144.5 65-60 Under -19.5
03/06 Home VCU 145.5 62-68 Under -15.5
03/13 Neutral St Bonaventure 142.5 68-63 Under -11.5
03/14 Neutral Saint Louis 145.5 70-69 Under -6.5
03/15 Neutral VCU 138.5 62-70 Under -6.5
03/18 Away Bradley 140.5 80-66 Over +5.5
03/21 Away NC Wilmington 139.5 80-61 Over +1.5
03/25 Home Illinois St 140.5 55-61 Under -24.5