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Illinois St at Dayton: Point Spread Analysis

Wednesday Mar 25, 2026 7:00 pm - Dayton, OH
Odds: Dayton by 7.5, Total Points: 140.5

ATS Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
Illinois St +7.5 Official TR Pick Illinois St 52% odds to cover
Illinois St +7.5 Power Rating Model Illinois St 59% odds to cover
Illinois St +7.5 Similar Games Illinois St 54% odds to cover
Illinois St +7.5 Decision Tree Illinois St 53% odds to cover
Illinois St +7.5 Predictive Ratings Illinois St 55% odds to cover

ATS Situational Trends

Record ILST adv DAY
Season 20-15-0 18-19-0
vs Division 0-0-0 0-0-0
vs Conference 11-10-0 10-11-0
Streak L1 L1
Last 5 3-2-0 3-2-0
Last 10 6-4-0 6-4-0
Home 11-4-0 8-10-0
Away 9-11-0 10-9-0

Illinois St Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/06 Away Ohio +1.0 L by 4 -3.0
11/09 Home Cornell -7.5 W by 11 +3.5
11/14 Neutral USC +15.5 L by 20 -4.5
11/16 Away Long Beach St -8.5 W by 2 -6.5
11/20 Home Rockford -- W by 45 --
11/23 Home Coastal Car -10.0 W by 52 +42.0
11/27 Neutral Charlotte -5.5 W by 10 +4.5
11/28 Neutral Furman -3.0 W by 7 +4.0
12/03 Home E Kentucky -13.5 W by 11 -2.5
12/06 Home Chicago St -20.5 W by 42 +21.5
12/13 Neutral Utah St +8.5 L by 5 +3.5
12/18 Away S Illinois +1.5 W by 7 +8.5
12/21 Home Indiana St -13.0 W by 20 +7.0
12/29 Away Drake -4.5 W by 17 +12.5
01/01 Home Evansville -12.0 W by 26 +14.0
01/07 Away Valparaiso -6.5 L by 6 -12.5
01/10 Home Illinois Chicago -10.5 L by 4 -14.5
01/14 Away Indiana St -6.5 L by 5 -11.5
01/17 Home Bradley -5.5 W by 26 +20.5
01/21 Home N Iowa -6.5 W by 5 -1.5
01/24 Away Belmont +5.5 L by 11 -5.5
01/28 Away Murray St +2.5 W by 5 +7.5
02/03 Home S Illinois -8.5 L by 4 -12.5
02/06 Home Drake -9.0 W by 10 +1.0
02/09 Away Evansville -10.5 L by 8 -18.5
02/12 Home Valparaiso -9.0 W by 22 +13.0
02/15 Away Illinois Chicago (Pick) L by 27 -27.0
02/18 Home Murray St -2.0 W by 17 +15.0
02/21 Away Bradley +3.5 L by 14 -10.5
02/25 Away N Iowa +4.5 W by 2 +6.5
03/01 Home Belmont +1.5 W by 7 +8.5
03/06 Neutral N Iowa +1.5 L by 22 -20.5
03/18 Home Kent St -4.5 W by 21 +16.5
03/22 Away Wake Forest +8.5 W by 3 +11.5
03/25 Away Dayton +7.5 W by 6 +13.5
04/02 Neutral Auburn +8.5 L by 22 -13.5

Dayton Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Home Canisius -25.5 W by 40 +14.5
11/08 Home UMBC -25.5 W by 6 -19.5
11/11 Away Cincinnati +6.0 L by 12 -6.0
11/15 Home Bethune -21.5 W by 9 -12.5
11/19 Away Marquette +6.5 W by 6 +12.5
11/22 Home NC Central -28.0 W by 19 -9.0
11/27 Neutral Georgetown -1.5 W by 5 +3.5
11/28 Neutral BYU +9.5 L by 4 +5.5
12/02 Home E Tennessee St -11.5 W by 17 +5.5
12/06 Neutral Virginia +4.5 L by 13 -8.5
12/13 Home N Florida -31.5 W by 23 -8.5
12/16 Home Florida St -7.0 W by 28 +21.0
12/20 Home Liberty -9.5 L by 3 -12.5
12/31 Home Fordham -16.0 W by 7 -9.0
01/03 Away Loyola Chi -7.5 W by 2 -5.5
01/06 Home G Washington -2.5 W by 7 +4.5
01/13 Away Duquesne -2.5 W by 6 +3.5
01/16 Home Loyola Chi -16.5 W by 27 +10.5
01/21 Away La Salle -10.5 L by 3 -13.5
01/24 Away Saint Joseph's -6.5 L by 7 -13.5
01/27 Home Rhode Island -8.5 L by 5 -13.5
01/30 Away Saint Louis +9.5 L by 31 -21.5
02/03 Home St Bonaventure -7.5 W by 2 -5.5
02/06 Away VCU +8.5 L by 26 -17.5
02/15 Home Davidson -5.0 W by 11 +6.0
02/18 Away George Mason +2.0 W by 15 +17.0
02/21 Home Duquesne -7.0 W by 12 +5.0
02/24 Home Saint Louis +3.5 W by 15 +18.5
02/27 Away G Washington +2.5 W by 2 +4.5
03/03 Away Richmond -4.5 W by 5 +0.5
03/06 Home VCU -1.5 L by 6 -7.5
03/13 Neutral St Bonaventure -5.5 W by 5 -0.5
03/14 Neutral Saint Louis +4.5 W by 1 +5.5
03/15 Neutral VCU +2.5 L by 8 -5.5
03/18 Away Bradley -2.5 W by 14 +11.5
03/21 Away NC Wilmington -3.5 W by 19 +15.5
03/25 Home Illinois St -7.5 L by 6 -13.5