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Arkansas St at SMU: Over/Under Analysis

Friday Nov 21, 2025 9:00 pm - Dallas, TX
Odds: SMU by 14.5, Total Points: 172.5

Matchup Menu: ARST @ SMU

More Games From Nov 21, 2025

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Over 172.5	Official TR Pick	52% odds to go over
Over 172.5	Similar Games	55% odds to go over
Over 172.5	Decision Tree	52% odds to go over

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	ARST	SMU
Season	15-14-1	21-12-1
vs Division	0-0-0	0-0-0
vs Conference	10-8-1	12-7-1
Streak	Un 2	Ov 1
Last 5	2-3-0	3-2-0
Last 10	4-6-0	6-3-1
Home	5-7-1	10-8-0
Away	10-7-0	11-4-1

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Arkansas St Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Away	Ohio	158.5	89-85	Over	+15.5
11/07	Away	SF Austin	155.5	65-90	Under	-0.5
11/11	Away	Missouri St	152.0	86-85	Over	+19.0
11/15	Home	Christian Brothers	--	95-67	Under	--
11/19	Away	Saint Mary's	149.5	72-85	Over	+7.5
11/21	Away	SMU	172.5	69-100	Under	-3.5
11/24	Home	Jacksonville St	156.0	74-63	Under	-19.0
11/28	Home	N Dakota St	160.5	85-80	Over	+4.5
12/02	Home	UT Arlington	151.5	83-63	Under	-5.5
12/06	Away	Little Rock	147.5	90-78	Over	+20.5
12/13	Away	Rice	156.5	76-77	Under	-3.5
12/17	Away	Texas St	151.5	89-70	Over	+7.5
12/20	Away	Southern Miss	155.5	93-86	Over	+23.5
12/30	Home	Arkansas Tech	--	107-63	Under	--
01/03	Home	J Madison	159.0	74-78	Under	-7.0
01/07	Home	Troy	160.0	86-74	Push	0.0
01/10	Home	Texas St	156.0	83-82	Over	+9.0
01/15	Away	S Alabama	154.0	87-91	Over	+24.0
01/17	Away	Troy	166.0	74-99	Over	+7.0
01/22	Away	Georgia So	175.0	85-68	Under	-22.0
01/24	Away	Georgia St	156.5	81-82	Over	+6.5
01/28	Home	Old Dominion	159.5	71-75	Under	-13.5
01/31	Home	Marshall	165.5	61-70	Under	-34.5
02/04	Away	Coastal Car	152.0	70-66	Under	-16.0
02/07	Home	Bowling Green	154.5	91-54	Under	-9.5
02/11	Home	UL Monroe	162.5	103-70	Over	+10.5
02/14	Home	S Alabama	149.5	88-92	Over	+30.5
02/19	Away	Louisiana	144.5	79-62	Under	-3.5
02/21	Away	UL Monroe	166.5	102-94	Over	+29.5
02/24	Home	Southern Miss	158.5	89-84	Over	+14.5
02/27	Home	Louisiana	146.5	81-58	Under	-7.5
03/05	Neutral	Georgia So	165.5	77-80	Under	-8.5

SMU Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Home	Tarleton St	145.0	96-76	Over	+27.0
11/06	Home	Texas A&M-CC	160.5	69-58	Under	-33.5
11/11	Home	Murray St	164.5	102-91	Over	+28.5
11/15	Home	Butler	164.0	87-85	Over	+8.0
11/18	Home	AR-Pine Bluff	168.5	106-60	Under	-2.5
11/21	Home	Arkansas St	172.5	100-69	Under	-3.5
11/24	Home	Radford	165.5	89-72	Under	-4.5
11/28	Away	Mississippi St	162.5	87-81	Over	+5.5
12/03	Away	Vanderbilt	165.5	69-88	Under	-8.5
12/07	Neutral	Texas A&M	164.0	93-80	Over	+9.0
12/13	Neutral	LSU	158.5	77-89	Over	+7.5
12/21	Home	C Arkansas	157.0	99-82	Over	+24.0
12/28	Home	CS Fullerton	170.5	110-63	Over	+2.5
01/03	Home	North Carolina	155.5	97-83	Over	+24.5
01/07	Away	Clemson	149.5	70-74	Under	-5.5
01/10	Away	Duke	156.0	75-82	Over	+1.0
01/14	Home	Virginia Tech	156.5	77-76	Under	-3.5
01/17	Home	Virginia	153.0	68-72	Under	-13.0
01/20	Away	Wake Forest	157.5	91-79	Over	+12.5
01/24	Home	Florida St	164.5	83-80	Under	-1.5
01/31	Away	Louisville	161.5	74-88	Over	+0.5
02/03	Home	NC State	159.5	83-84	Over	+7.5
02/07	Away	Pittsburgh	147.5	86-67	Over	+5.5
02/10	Home	Notre Dame	154.0	89-81	Over	+16.0
02/14	Away	Syracuse	157.0	78-79	Push	0.0
02/17	Home	Louisville	168.0	95-85	Over	+12.0
02/21	Home	Boston College	150.5	94-70	Over	+13.5
02/25	Away	California	163.5	69-73	Under	-21.5
02/28	Away	Stanford	155.5	75-95	Over	+14.5
03/04	Home	Miami	156.5	69-77	Under	-10.5
03/07	Away	Florida St	158.5	78-91	Over	+10.5
03/10	Neutral	Syracuse	154.5	86-69	Over	+0.5
03/11	Neutral	Louisville	164.5	58-62	Under	-44.5
03/18	Neutral	Miami OH	161.5	79-89	Over	+6.5