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Arkansas St at SMU: Point Spread Analysis

Friday Nov 21, 2025 9:00 pm - Dallas, TX
Odds: SMU by 14.5, Total Points: 172.5

Matchup Menu: ARST @ SMU

More Games From Nov 21, 2025

ATS Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
SMU -14.0 Official TR Pick SMU 52% odds to cover
SMU -14.0 Power Rating Model SMU 59% odds to cover
SMU -14.0 Similar Games SMU 57% odds to cover
SMU -14.0 Decision Tree SMU 53% odds to cover
SMU -14.0 Predictive Ratings SMU 61% odds to cover

ATS Situational Trends

Record ARST adv SMU
Season 15-15-0 14-19-1
vs Division 0-0-0 0-0-0
vs Conference 7-12-0 8-11-1
Streak L1 L1
Last 5 2-3-0 2-3-0
Last 10 4-6-0 4-6-0
Home 7-6-0 7-11-0
Away 8-9-0 7-8-1

Arkansas St Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Away Ohio +3.5 W by 4 +7.5
11/07 Away SF Austin (Pick) L by 25 -25.0
11/11 Away Missouri St +2.5 W by 1 +3.5
11/15 Home Christian Brothers -- W by 28 --
11/19 Away Saint Mary's +20.5 L by 13 +7.5
11/21 Away SMU +14.5 L by 31 -16.5
11/24 Home Jacksonville St -4.5 W by 11 +6.5
11/28 Home N Dakota St -3.0 W by 5 +2.0
12/02 Home UT Arlington -5.5 W by 20 +14.5
12/06 Away Little Rock -9.5 W by 12 +2.5
12/13 Away Rice -3.5 L by 1 -4.5
12/17 Away Texas St -5.0 W by 19 +14.0
12/20 Away Southern Miss -2.0 W by 7 +5.0
12/30 Home Arkansas Tech -- W by 44 --
01/03 Home J Madison -10.0 L by 4 -14.0
01/07 Home Troy -4.5 W by 12 +7.5
01/10 Home Texas St -11.5 W by 1 -10.5
01/15 Away S Alabama -4.0 L by 4 -8.0
01/17 Away Troy +3.5 L by 25 -21.5
01/22 Away Georgia So -1.5 W by 17 +15.5
01/24 Away Georgia St -4.5 L by 1 -5.5
01/28 Home Old Dominion -9.5 L by 4 -13.5
01/31 Home Marshall -4.5 L by 9 -13.5
02/04 Away Coastal Car -4.5 W by 4 -0.5
02/07 Home Bowling Green -2.5 W by 37 +34.5
02/11 Home UL Monroe -18.5 W by 33 +14.5
02/14 Home S Alabama -7.5 L by 4 -11.5
02/19 Away Louisiana -8.5 W by 17 +8.5
02/21 Away UL Monroe -15.5 W by 8 -7.5
02/24 Home Southern Miss -9.5 W by 5 -4.5
02/27 Home Louisiana -13.5 W by 23 +9.5
03/05 Neutral Georgia So -7.5 L by 3 -10.5

SMU Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Home Tarleton St -21.5 W by 20 -1.5
11/06 Home Texas A&M-CC -23.5 W by 11 -12.5
11/11 Home Murray St -9.5 W by 11 +1.5
11/15 Home Butler -7.5 W by 2 -5.5
11/18 Home AR-Pine Bluff -34.5 W by 46 +11.5
11/21 Home Arkansas St -14.5 W by 31 +16.5
11/24 Home Radford -25.0 W by 17 -8.0
11/28 Away Mississippi St +1.0 W by 6 +7.0
12/03 Away Vanderbilt +10.5 L by 19 -8.5
12/07 Neutral Texas A&M +1.5 W by 13 +14.5
12/13 Neutral LSU +1.5 L by 12 -10.5
12/21 Home C Arkansas -24.5 W by 17 -7.5
12/28 Home CS Fullerton -22.0 W by 47 +25.0
01/03 Home North Carolina -1.0 W by 14 +13.0
01/07 Away Clemson +4.0 L by 4 0.0
01/10 Away Duke +16.0 L by 7 +9.0
01/14 Home Virginia Tech -9.0 W by 1 -8.0
01/17 Home Virginia +2.0 L by 4 -2.0
01/20 Away Wake Forest +1.5 W by 12 +13.5
01/24 Home Florida St -12.0 W by 3 -9.0
01/31 Away Louisville +9.5 L by 14 -4.5
02/03 Home NC State (Pick) L by 1 -1.0
02/07 Away Pittsburgh -4.0 W by 19 +15.0
02/10 Home Notre Dame -10.5 W by 8 -2.5
02/14 Away Syracuse -1.5 L by 1 -2.5
02/17 Home Louisville +4.0 W by 10 +14.0
02/21 Home Boston College -15.5 W by 24 +8.5
02/25 Away California -3.5 L by 4 -7.5
02/28 Away Stanford -1.5 L by 20 -21.5
03/04 Home Miami -1.5 L by 8 -9.5
03/07 Away Florida St +1.5 L by 13 -11.5
03/10 Neutral Syracuse -3.5 W by 17 +13.5
03/11 Neutral Louisville +6.5 L by 4 +2.5
03/18 Neutral Miami OH -7.5 L by 10 -17.5