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Arkansas St at S Alabama: Over/Under Analysis

Thursday Jan 15, 2026 8:00 pm - Mobile, AL
Odds: Arkansas State by 4, Total Points: 154

Matchup Menu: ARST @ USA

More Games From Jan 15, 2026

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Over 154.0	Official TR Pick	50% odds to go over
Over 154.0	Similar Games	52% odds to go over
Over 154.0	Decision Tree	50% odds to go over

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	ARST	USA
Season	15-14-1	16-15-0
vs Division	0-0-0	0-0-0
vs Conference	10-8-1	9-10-0
Streak	Un 2	Un 1
Last 5	2-3-0	1-4-0
Last 10	4-6-0	6-4-0
Home	5-7-1	5-7-0
Away	10-7-0	11-8-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Arkansas St Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Away	Ohio	158.5	89-85	Over	+15.5
11/07	Away	SF Austin	155.5	65-90	Under	-0.5
11/11	Away	Missouri St	152.0	86-85	Over	+19.0
11/15	Home	Christian Brothers	--	95-67	Under	--
11/19	Away	Saint Mary's	149.5	72-85	Over	+7.5
11/21	Away	SMU	172.5	69-100	Under	-3.5
11/24	Home	Jacksonville St	156.0	74-63	Under	-19.0
11/28	Home	N Dakota St	160.5	85-80	Over	+4.5
12/02	Home	UT Arlington	151.5	83-63	Under	-5.5
12/06	Away	Little Rock	147.5	90-78	Over	+20.5
12/13	Away	Rice	156.5	76-77	Under	-3.5
12/17	Away	Texas St	151.5	89-70	Over	+7.5
12/20	Away	Southern Miss	155.5	93-86	Over	+23.5
12/30	Home	Arkansas Tech	--	107-63	Under	--
01/03	Home	J Madison	159.0	74-78	Under	-7.0
01/07	Home	Troy	160.0	86-74	Push	0.0
01/10	Home	Texas St	156.0	83-82	Over	+9.0
01/15	Away	S Alabama	154.0	87-91	Over	+24.0
01/17	Away	Troy	166.0	74-99	Over	+7.0
01/22	Away	Georgia So	175.0	85-68	Under	-22.0
01/24	Away	Georgia St	156.5	81-82	Over	+6.5
01/28	Home	Old Dominion	159.5	71-75	Under	-13.5
01/31	Home	Marshall	165.5	61-70	Under	-34.5
02/04	Away	Coastal Car	152.0	70-66	Under	-16.0
02/07	Home	Bowling Green	154.5	91-54	Under	-9.5
02/11	Home	UL Monroe	162.5	103-70	Over	+10.5
02/14	Home	S Alabama	149.5	88-92	Over	+30.5
02/19	Away	Louisiana	144.5	79-62	Under	-3.5
02/21	Away	UL Monroe	166.5	102-94	Over	+29.5
02/24	Home	Southern Miss	158.5	89-84	Over	+14.5
02/27	Home	Louisiana	146.5	81-58	Under	-7.5
03/05	Neutral	Georgia So	165.5	77-80	Under	-8.5

S Alabama Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Away	Toledo	151.0	76-74	Under	-1.0
11/06	Home	Alcorn St	141.5	76-70	Over	+4.5
11/08	Home	Spring Hill	--	99-50	Under	--
11/13	Neutral	C Michigan	143.0	66-64	Under	-13.0
11/15	Neutral	Coppin St	133.5	72-62	Over	+0.5
11/19	Away	Jacksonville St	134.5	71-65	Over	+1.5
11/21	Away	UAB	147.5	72-80	Over	+4.5
11/30	Away	UTSA	141.0	82-58	Under	-1.0
12/02	Neutral	New Mexico St	135.5	77-75	Over	+16.5
12/05	Away	E Tennessee St	143.5	65-91	Over	+12.5
12/14	Home	N Texas	135.0	57-58	Under	-20.0
12/17	Away	UL Monroe	148.5	96-92	Over	+39.5
12/20	Away	Texas St	137.0	65-67	Under	-5.0
12/29	Home	Mobile	--	85-52	Under	--
12/31	Away	Louisiana	128.0	63-58	Under	-7.0
01/03	Away	Troy	148.5	49-59	Under	-40.5
01/10	Home	Georgia So	148.5	87-71	Over	+9.5
01/15	Home	Arkansas St	154.0	91-87	Over	+24.0
01/17	Home	Louisiana	130.5	56-59	Under	-15.5
01/22	Away	J Madison	138.5	90-83	Over	+34.5
01/29	Home	Coastal Car	140.5	53-48	Under	-39.5
01/31	Home	Georgia St	139.5	69-67	Under	-3.5
02/04	Away	App State	131.0	57-65	Under	-9.0
02/07	Home	Buffalo	144.0	81-69	Over	+6.0
02/12	Away	Southern Miss	135.5	84-78	Over	+26.5
02/14	Away	Arkansas St	149.5	92-88	Over	+30.5
02/16	Away	Marshall	150.5	80-84	Over	+13.5
02/19	Home	Texas St	137.5	82-90	Over	+34.5
02/21	Home	Troy	144.5	65-54	Under	-25.5
02/25	Home	UL Monroe	153.5	89-54	Under	-10.5
02/27	Home	Southern Miss	141.5	55-68	Under	-18.5
03/06	Neutral	Georgia So	149.5	85-94	Over	+29.5
03/17	Away	Auburn	151.5	67-78	Under	-6.5