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Arkansas St at S Alabama: Point Spread Analysis

Thursday Jan 15, 2026 8:00 pm - Mobile, AL
Odds: Arkansas State by 4, Total Points: 154

Matchup Menu: ARST @ USA

More Games From Jan 15, 2026

ATS Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
S Alabama +4.0 Official TR Pick S Alabama 51% odds to cover
S Alabama +4.0 Power Rating Model S Alabama 61% odds to cover
S Alabama +4.0 Decision Tree S Alabama 51% odds to cover
S Alabama +4.0 Predictive Ratings S Alabama 67% odds to cover
Arkansas St -4.0 Similar Games Arkansas St 52% odds to cover

ATS Situational Trends

Record ARST adv USA
Season 15-15-0 17-14-0
vs Division 0-0-0 0-0-0
vs Conference 7-12-0 11-8-0
Streak L1 W1
Last 5 2-3-0 3-2-0
Last 10 4-6-0 7-3-0
Home 7-6-0 6-6-0
Away 8-9-0 11-8-0

Arkansas St Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Away Ohio +3.5 W by 4 +7.5
11/07 Away SF Austin (Pick) L by 25 -25.0
11/11 Away Missouri St +2.5 W by 1 +3.5
11/15 Home Christian Brothers -- W by 28 --
11/19 Away Saint Mary's +20.5 L by 13 +7.5
11/21 Away SMU +14.5 L by 31 -16.5
11/24 Home Jacksonville St -4.5 W by 11 +6.5
11/28 Home N Dakota St -3.0 W by 5 +2.0
12/02 Home UT Arlington -5.5 W by 20 +14.5
12/06 Away Little Rock -9.5 W by 12 +2.5
12/13 Away Rice -3.5 L by 1 -4.5
12/17 Away Texas St -5.0 W by 19 +14.0
12/20 Away Southern Miss -2.0 W by 7 +5.0
12/30 Home Arkansas Tech -- W by 44 --
01/03 Home J Madison -10.0 L by 4 -14.0
01/07 Home Troy -4.5 W by 12 +7.5
01/10 Home Texas St -11.5 W by 1 -10.5
01/15 Away S Alabama -4.0 L by 4 -8.0
01/17 Away Troy +3.5 L by 25 -21.5
01/22 Away Georgia So -1.5 W by 17 +15.5
01/24 Away Georgia St -4.5 L by 1 -5.5
01/28 Home Old Dominion -9.5 L by 4 -13.5
01/31 Home Marshall -4.5 L by 9 -13.5
02/04 Away Coastal Car -4.5 W by 4 -0.5
02/07 Home Bowling Green -2.5 W by 37 +34.5
02/11 Home UL Monroe -18.5 W by 33 +14.5
02/14 Home S Alabama -7.5 L by 4 -11.5
02/19 Away Louisiana -8.5 W by 17 +8.5
02/21 Away UL Monroe -15.5 W by 8 -7.5
02/24 Home Southern Miss -9.5 W by 5 -4.5
02/27 Home Louisiana -13.5 W by 23 +9.5
03/05 Neutral Georgia So -7.5 L by 3 -10.5

S Alabama Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Away Toledo +3.0 W by 2 +5.0
11/06 Home Alcorn St -19.0 W by 6 -13.0
11/08 Home Spring Hill -- W by 49 --
11/13 Neutral C Michigan -5.5 W by 2 -3.5
11/15 Neutral Coppin St -19.5 W by 10 -9.5
11/19 Away Jacksonville St +2.5 W by 6 +8.5
11/21 Away UAB +7.5 L by 8 -0.5
11/30 Away UTSA -2.0 W by 24 +22.0
12/02 Neutral New Mexico St +4.0 W by 2 +6.0
12/05 Away E Tennessee St +6.5 L by 26 -19.5
12/14 Home N Texas -1.5 L by 1 -2.5
12/17 Away UL Monroe -9.5 W by 4 -5.5
12/20 Away Texas St +3.0 L by 2 +1.0
12/29 Home Mobile -- W by 33 --
12/31 Away Louisiana -3.5 W by 5 +1.5
01/03 Away Troy +9.5 L by 10 -0.5
01/10 Home Georgia So -1.5 W by 16 +14.5
01/15 Home Arkansas St +4.0 W by 4 +8.0
01/17 Home Louisiana -9.5 L by 3 -12.5
01/22 Away J Madison +4.0 W by 7 +11.0
01/29 Home Coastal Car -3.5 W by 5 +1.5
01/31 Home Georgia St -5.5 W by 2 -3.5
02/04 Away App State +5.5 L by 8 -2.5
02/07 Home Buffalo -1.5 W by 12 +10.5
02/12 Away Southern Miss +1.5 W by 6 +7.5
02/14 Away Arkansas St +7.5 W by 4 +11.5
02/16 Away Marshall +6.0 L by 4 +2.0
02/19 Home Texas St -3.5 L by 8 -11.5
02/21 Home Troy +1.5 W by 11 +12.5
02/25 Home UL Monroe -14.5 W by 35 +20.5
02/27 Home Southern Miss -4.5 L by 13 -17.5
03/06 Neutral Georgia So -4.5 L by 9 -13.5
03/17 Away Auburn +18.5 L by 11 +7.5