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Penn St vs. Northwestern: Point Spread Line Movement

Tuesday Mar 10, 2026 7:30 pm - Chicago, IL (Neutral Site)
Odds: Northwestern by 4.5, Total Points: 143.5

NW -4.5 Open -6.5 High -6.5
Last -5.5 Low -4.5

Line Movement

The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.

Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines

Since the start of the 2020-2021 NCAA Basketball season there have been 1096 neutral site games where the closing line favored one team by 3.5 to 5.5 points. In these games:

  • The team like Northwestern won the game 720 times (65.7%).
  • The team like Penn State won the game 376 times (34.3%).
  • The team like Northwestern did better against the spread, going 555-521-20 (51.6% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.4 points.

Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement

Since the start of the 2022-2023 NCAA Basketball season there have been 984 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 2 points less than the opening line.

In these games, the team like Northwestern did better against the spread, going 497-465-22 (51.7% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.3 points.

Spread History

The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.

Book 1 Book 2 Book 3
Current -- -4.5 --
Open -- -6.5 --
History
03/10 06:19 PM -- -4.5 --
03/10 02:29 PM -- -4.5 --
03/10 02:19 PM -- -5.5 --
03/10 01:49 PM -- -5.5 --
03/10 03:49 AM -- -6.5 --
03/09 07:19 PM -- -6.5 --
03/09 02:46 PM -- -6.5 --
03/09 01:09 PM -- -6.5 --