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Penn St vs. Northwestern: Point Spread Analysis

Tuesday Mar 10, 2026 7:30 pm - Chicago, IL (Neutral Site)
Odds: Northwestern by 4.5, Total Points: 143.5

ATS Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
Penn St +4.5 Official TR Pick Penn St 51% odds to cover
Penn St +4.5 Power Rating Model Penn St 51% odds to cover
Penn St +4.5 Similar Games Penn St 58% odds to cover
Penn St +4.5 Decision Tree Penn St 51% odds to cover
Northwestern -4.5 Predictive Ratings Northwestern 59% odds to cover

ATS Situational Trends

Record PSU adv NW
Season 12-20-0 16-16-2
vs Division 0-0-0 0-0-0
vs Conference 9-12-0 11-11-1
Streak L3 W5
Last 5 1-4-0 5-0-0
Last 10 3-7-0 7-3-0
Home 7-10-0 7-9-0
Away 5-10-0 9-7-2

Penn St Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Home Fairfield -15.5 W by 8 -7.5
11/08 Away New Haven -18.5 W by 44 +25.5
11/11 Home Navy -12.0 W by 9 -3.0
11/15 Neutral La Salle -8.0 W by 14 +6.0
11/19 Home Harvard -12.5 W by 4 -8.5
11/22 Neutral Providence +3.5 L by 12 -8.5
11/25 Home Boston U -14.0 W by 9 -5.0
11/29 Home Sacred Heart -15.0 W by 31 +16.0
12/02 Home Campbell -14.5 W by 11 -3.5
12/09 Away Indiana +14.5 L by 41 -26.5
12/13 Home Michigan St +12.5 L by 4 +8.5
12/21 Neutral Pittsburgh (Pick) L by 34 -34.0
12/29 Home NC Central -23.5 W by 23 -0.5
01/03 Home Illinois +14.5 L by 8 +6.5
01/06 Home Michigan +24.0 L by 2 +22.0
01/10 Away Purdue +22.5 L by 8 +14.5
01/14 Home UCLA +4.5 L by 11 -6.5
01/18 Away Maryland +1.5 L by 23 -21.5
01/22 Home Wisconsin +5.5 L by 27 -21.5
01/26 Away Ohio St +11.5 L by 6 +5.5
01/29 Away Northwestern +7.0 L by 21 -14.0
02/01 Home Minnesota +1.0 W by 2 +3.0
02/05 Away Michigan +26.5 L by 41 -14.5
02/08 Home USC +3.0 L by 2 +1.0
02/11 Away Washington +12.5 W by 3 +15.5
02/14 Away Oregon +6.0 L by 11 -5.0
02/18 Home Rutgers -5.0 L by 13 -18.0
02/21 Away Nebraska +19.0 L by 23 -4.0
02/28 Home Iowa +9.5 W by 2 +11.5
03/04 Home Ohio St +6.5 L by 32 -25.5
03/08 Away Rutgers +3.5 L by 12 -8.5
03/10 Neutral Northwestern +4.5 L by 10 -5.5

Northwestern Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Home Mercyhurst -26.5 W by 23 -3.5
11/07 Home Boston U -17.5 W by 24 +6.5
11/10 Home Cleveland St -23.0 W by 47 +24.0
11/14 Away DePaul -5.5 W by 2 -3.5
11/21 Neutral Virginia +5.0 L by 5 0.0
11/23 Neutral South Carolina -6.0 W by 2 -4.0
11/27 Neutral Oklahoma St -2.5 L by 5 -7.5
12/03 Away Wisconsin +11.0 L by 12 -1.0
12/06 Home Ohio St (Pick) L by 4 -4.0
12/13 Home Jackson St -30.5 W by 40 +9.5
12/16 Home Valparaiso -14.5 W by 16 +1.5
12/20 Neutral Butler +3.5 L by 3 +0.5
12/30 Home Howard -20.5 W by 20 -0.5
01/03 Home Minnesota -4.0 L by 6 -10.0
01/08 Away Michigan St +13.0 L by 10 +3.0
01/11 Away Rutgers -4.5 L by 2 -6.5
01/14 Home Illinois +9.5 L by 11 -1.5
01/17 Home Nebraska +4.5 L by 19 -14.5
01/21 Away USC +6.5 W by 6 +12.5
01/24 Away UCLA +7.0 L by 7 0.0
01/29 Home Penn St -7.0 W by 21 +14.0
01/31 Home Washington -1.5 L by 14 -15.5
02/04 Away Illinois +15.5 L by 40 -24.5
02/08 Away Iowa +11.0 L by 6 +5.0
02/11 Home Michigan +15.0 L by 12 +3.0
02/14 Away Nebraska +14.0 L by 19 -5.0
02/18 Home Maryland -7.5 W by 4 -3.5
02/24 Away Indiana +9.5 W by 4 +13.5
02/28 Home Oregon -3.5 W by 1 -2.5
03/04 Home Purdue +11.5 L by 4 +7.5
03/07 Away Minnesota +4.5 L by 1 +3.5
03/10 Neutral Penn St -4.5 W by 10 +5.5
03/11 Neutral Indiana +6.5 W by 13 +19.5
03/12 Neutral Purdue +13.5 L by 13 +0.5