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SMU at Duke: Point Spread Analysis

Saturday Jan 10, 2026 2:00 pm - Durham, NC
Odds: Duke by 16, Total Points: 156

Matchup Menu: SMU @ DUKE

More Games From Jan 10, 2026

ATS Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
Duke -16.0 Official TR Pick Duke 54% odds to cover
Duke -16.0 Decision Tree Duke 55% odds to cover
SMU +16.0 Power Rating Model SMU 81% odds to cover
SMU +16.0 Similar Games SMU 51% odds to cover
SMU +16.0 Predictive Ratings SMU 65% odds to cover

ATS Situational Trends

Record SMU adv DUKE
Season 14-19-1 20-18-0
vs Division 0-0-0 0-0-0
vs Conference 8-11-1 11-10-0
Streak L1 L2
Last 5 2-3-0 1-4-0
Last 10 4-6-0 4-6-0
Home 7-11-0 7-8-0
Away 7-8-1 13-10-0

SMU Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Home Tarleton St -21.5 W by 20 -1.5
11/06 Home Texas A&M-CC -23.5 W by 11 -12.5
11/11 Home Murray St -9.5 W by 11 +1.5
11/15 Home Butler -7.5 W by 2 -5.5
11/18 Home AR-Pine Bluff -34.5 W by 46 +11.5
11/21 Home Arkansas St -14.5 W by 31 +16.5
11/24 Home Radford -25.0 W by 17 -8.0
11/28 Away Mississippi St +1.0 W by 6 +7.0
12/03 Away Vanderbilt +10.5 L by 19 -8.5
12/07 Neutral Texas A&M +1.5 W by 13 +14.5
12/13 Neutral LSU +1.5 L by 12 -10.5
12/21 Home C Arkansas -24.5 W by 17 -7.5
12/28 Home CS Fullerton -22.0 W by 47 +25.0
01/03 Home North Carolina -1.0 W by 14 +13.0
01/07 Away Clemson +4.0 L by 4 0.0
01/10 Away Duke +16.0 L by 7 +9.0
01/14 Home Virginia Tech -9.0 W by 1 -8.0
01/17 Home Virginia +2.0 L by 4 -2.0
01/20 Away Wake Forest +1.5 W by 12 +13.5
01/24 Home Florida St -12.0 W by 3 -9.0
01/31 Away Louisville +9.5 L by 14 -4.5
02/03 Home NC State (Pick) L by 1 -1.0
02/07 Away Pittsburgh -4.0 W by 19 +15.0
02/10 Home Notre Dame -10.5 W by 8 -2.5
02/14 Away Syracuse -1.5 L by 1 -2.5
02/17 Home Louisville +4.0 W by 10 +14.0
02/21 Home Boston College -15.5 W by 24 +8.5
02/25 Away California -3.5 L by 4 -7.5
02/28 Away Stanford -1.5 L by 20 -21.5
03/04 Home Miami -1.5 L by 8 -9.5
03/07 Away Florida St +1.5 L by 13 -11.5
03/10 Neutral Syracuse -3.5 W by 17 +13.5
03/11 Neutral Louisville +6.5 L by 4 +2.5
03/18 Neutral Miami OH -7.5 L by 10 -17.5

Duke Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/04 Neutral Texas -10.5 W by 15 +4.5
11/08 Home W Carolina -37.0 W by 41 +4.0
11/11 Away Army -34.5 W by 55 +20.5
11/14 Home Indiana St -36.5 W by 38 +1.5
11/18 Neutral Kansas -11.0 W by 12 +1.0
11/21 Home Niagara -39.5 W by 58 +18.5
11/23 Home Howard -43.5 W by 37 -6.5
11/27 Neutral Arkansas -12.5 W by 9 -3.5
12/02 Home Florida -9.5 W by 1 -8.5
12/06 Away Michigan St -1.0 W by 6 +5.0
12/16 Home Lipscomb -32.0 W by 24 -8.0
12/20 Neutral Texas Tech -10.0 L by 1 -11.0
12/31 Home Georgia Tech -27.5 W by 6 -21.5
01/03 Away Florida St -16.5 W by 4 -12.5
01/06 Away Louisville (Pick) W by 11 +11.0
01/10 Home SMU -16.0 W by 7 -9.0
01/14 Away California -14.0 W by 15 +1.0
01/17 Away Stanford -11.0 W by 30 +19.0
01/24 Home Wake Forest -18.0 W by 21 +3.0
01/26 Home Louisville -8.5 W by 31 +22.5
01/31 Away Virginia Tech -12.0 W by 14 +2.0
02/03 Home Boston College -27.0 W by 18 -9.0
02/07 Away North Carolina -6.0 L by 3 -9.0
02/10 Away Pittsburgh -18.0 W by 16 -2.0
02/14 Home Clemson -13.5 W by 13 -0.5
02/16 Home Syracuse -20.5 W by 37 +16.5
02/21 Neutral Michigan +2.5 W by 5 +7.5
02/24 Away Notre Dame -16.5 W by 44 +27.5
02/28 Home Virginia -9.5 W by 26 +16.5
03/02 Away NC State -9.5 W by 29 +19.5
03/07 Home North Carolina -18.5 W by 15 -3.5
03/12 Neutral Florida St -16.5 W by 1 -15.5
03/13 Neutral Clemson -10.5 W by 12 +1.5
03/14 Neutral Virginia -6.5 W by 4 -2.5
03/19 Neutral Siena -28.5 W by 6 -22.5
03/21 Neutral TCU -12.5 W by 23 +10.5
03/27 Neutral St John's -6.5 W by 5 -1.5
03/29 Neutral UConn -4.5 L by 1 -5.5