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App State at J Madison: Box Score Simulation

Saturday Feb 14, 2026 4:00 pm - Harrisonburg, VA
Odds: App State by 1, Total Points: 135

Matchup Menu: APP @ JMU

More Games From Feb 14, 2026

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring APP JMU
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting APP JMU
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 54.9 57.1
Field Goal % 42.0% 41.2%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 29.7 32.6
2 Point Shooting % 52.6% 47.5%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 25.3 24.6
3 Point Shooting % 29.6% 32.9%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 25.8 18.2
Free Throw % 65.2% 70.4%
Ball Control APP JMU
Rebounds 37.2 36.2
Rebounds - Defensive 26.9 26.7
Rebounds - Offensive 10.3 9.5
Turnovers 6.7 8.3
Blocked Shots 3.5 3.0
Steals 4.2 3.7
Fouls 13.6 18.2

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats APP JMU
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with APP JMU
2 Point Attempt 37.9% 42.0%
3 Point Attempt 32.3% 31.6%
Player Fouled 27.3% 20.3%
Turnover 10.1% 12.4%
Opponent Steal 5.5% 6.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken APP JMU
Shot Blocked 5.3% 6.6%
Offensive Rebound 27.9% 26.1%