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App State at Texas St: Point Spread Analysis

Friday Feb 27, 2026 8:00 pm - San Marcos, TX
Odds: Texas State by 1.5, Total Points: 135.5

ATS Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
Texas St -1.5 Official TR Pick Texas St 52% odds to cover
Texas St -1.5 Decision Tree Texas St 52% odds to cover
App State +1.5 Power Rating Model App State 59% odds to cover
App State +1.5 Similar Games App State 60% odds to cover
App State +1.5 Predictive Ratings App State 58% odds to cover

ATS Situational Trends

Record APP adv TXST
Season 16-13-1 14-15-1
vs Division 0-0-0 0-0-0
vs Conference 10-8-1 8-10-1
Streak L2 L1
Last 5 1-4-0 2-3-0
Last 10 5-5-0 7-3-0
Home 7-6-0 10-5-0
Away 9-7-1 4-10-1

App State Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Away C Michigan +1.0 L by 16 -15.0
11/05 Home Piedmont International -- W by 46 --
11/09 Home NC Central -11.0 W by 22 +11.0
11/11 Away Ohio St +23.5 L by 22 +1.5
11/16 Away Dartmouth +1.5 W by 8 +9.5
11/21 Home Charlotte -1.5 W by 2 +0.5
11/24 Home Elon -5.5 L by 35 -40.5
11/26 Away Mercer +5.5 L by 8 -2.5
11/30 Neutral NC Asheville +1.5 L by 12 -10.5
12/03 Home Virginia-Lynchburg -- W by 88 --
12/11 Away E Carolina +4.5 W by 13 +17.5
12/14 Neutral High Point +12.0 W by 8 +20.0
12/18 Home Coastal Car -4.5 W by 18 +13.5
12/20 Home Georgia St -7.5 L by 7 -14.5
12/31 Away Old Dominion +1.0 W by 8 +9.0
01/03 Away Marshall +7.0 L by 7 0.0
01/08 Away Georgia St -1.0 W by 2 +1.0
01/10 Away Coastal Car (Pick) L by 5 -5.0
01/15 Home J Madison -2.5 W by 15 +12.5
01/17 Home Old Dominion -6.5 L by 2 -8.5
01/22 Home Louisiana -9.0 W by 14 +5.0
01/23 Home UL Monroe -16.5 W by 16 -0.5
01/29 Away Southern Miss -1.5 W by 7 +5.5
01/31 Away Troy +8.5 W by 22 +30.5
02/04 Home S Alabama -5.5 W by 8 +2.5
02/07 Home E Michigan -7.0 W by 5 -2.0
02/11 Away Georgia So -2.0 W by 16 +14.0
02/14 Away J Madison -1.0 L by 11 -12.0
02/19 Home Marshall -3.5 L by 1 -4.5
02/21 Home Georgia So -7.5 W by 15 +7.5
02/27 Away Texas St +1.5 L by 3 -1.5
03/07 Neutral Southern Miss -4.5 L by 13 -17.5

Texas St Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Away Bowling Green +5.0 L by 35 -30.0
11/05 Home Texas A&M-San Antonio -- W by 59 --
11/08 Away Tulane +12.5 L by 8 +4.5
11/12 Home UTSA -3.5 W by 11 +7.5
11/15 Home Texas So -4.5 W by 10 +5.5
11/18 Home Abl Christian -1.5 W by 14 +12.5
11/21 Home Little Rock -5.5 W by 9 +3.5
11/24 Home Texas Lutheran -- W by 52 --
11/28 Neutral Seattle +7.5 L by 14 -6.5
11/29 Neutral Lehigh -6.0 L by 4 -10.0
12/03 Away Rice +3.5 L by 5 -1.5
12/10 Home Southern -3.5 W by 3 -0.5
12/17 Home Arkansas St +5.0 L by 19 -14.0
12/20 Home S Alabama -3.0 W by 2 -1.0
12/31 Away Troy +8.5 L by 20 -11.5
01/03 Away UL Monroe -10.5 W by 5 -5.5
01/08 Away Southern Miss +2.5 L by 10 -7.5
01/10 Away Arkansas St +11.5 L by 1 +10.5
01/14 Home Louisiana -8.5 W by 5 -3.5
01/17 Home Southern Miss -2.0 W by 7 +5.0
01/22 Away Coastal Car +2.0 L by 2 0.0
01/24 Away J Madison +5.5 L by 25 -19.5
01/28 Home Marshall +3.5 W by 4 +7.5
01/31 Home Old Dominion -1.0 W by 17 +16.0
02/04 Away Georgia So +4.0 W by 6 +10.0
02/07 Home W Michigan -6.0 W by 16 +10.0
02/11 Home Troy +5.0 W by 12 +17.0
02/14 Home UL Monroe -14.0 W by 11 -3.0
02/19 Away S Alabama +3.5 W by 8 +11.5
02/21 Away Louisiana -3.0 L by 13 -16.0
02/27 Home App State -1.5 W by 3 +1.5
03/06 Neutral Southern Miss -1.5 L by 4 -5.5