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UMass at Bowling Green: Over/Under Analysis

Saturday Feb 28, 2026 2:00 pm - Bowling Green, OH
Odds: Bowling Green by 3.5, Total Points: 150.5

Matchup Menu: MASS @ BGSU

More Games From Feb 28, 2026

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Under 150.5	Official TR Pick	52% odds to go under
Under 150.5	Decision Tree	52% odds to go under
Over 150.5	Similar Games	56% odds to go over

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	MASS	BGSU
Season	19-12-0	11-18-0
vs Division	0-0-0	0-0-0
vs Conference	13-7-0	9-10-0
Streak	Un 1	Ov 2
Last 5	3-2-0	4-1-0
Last 10	7-3-0	4-6-0
Home	8-6-0	5-9-0
Away	11-6-0	6-9-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

UMass Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Home	Marshall	152.0	72-78	Under	-2.0
11/08	Home	Albany	155.5	83-62	Under	-10.5
11/13	Home	Le Moyne	153.5	94-80	Over	+20.5
11/16	Home	C Connecticut	141.0	84-77	Over	+20.0
11/21	Neutral	Charleston	161.5	65-69	Under	-27.5
11/22	Neutral	Green Bay	146.0	75-79	Over	+8.0
11/24	Neutral	Oregon St	148.5	73-65	Under	-10.5
12/03	Home	Harvard	143.5	78-71	Over	+5.5
12/06	Home	UMass Lowell	156.5	80-60	Under	-16.5
12/10	Neutral	Boston College	143.0	76-74	Over	+7.0
12/13	Neutral	Florida St	165.5	103-95	Over	+32.5
12/20	Home	Kent St	163.5	59-69	Under	-35.5
12/22	Home	Massachusetts-Boston	--	91-40	Under	--
12/30	Away	E Michigan	148.5	74-80	Over	+5.5
01/03	Home	Bowling Green	152.0	100-101	Over	+49.0
01/06	Away	Ohio	161.0	83-86	Over	+8.0
01/10	Home	Ball St	147.0	79-71	Over	+3.0
01/13	Away	W Michigan	158.0	85-82	Over	+9.0
01/17	Away	N Illinois	156.5	68-70	Under	-18.5
01/20	Home	Toledo	163.5	84-82	Over	+2.5
01/23	Away	Buffalo	159.5	68-67	Under	-24.5
01/27	Away	Miami OH	164.5	84-86	Over	+5.5
01/31	Home	E Michigan	148.5	70-67	Under	-11.5
02/03	Home	C Michigan	151.5	95-89	Over	+32.5
02/07	Away	Coastal Car	147.5	91-94	Over	+37.5
02/13	Away	Akron	162.5	92-99	Over	+28.5
02/17	Home	Miami OH	164.0	77-86	Under	-1.0
02/21	Home	Buffalo	151.5	82-86	Over	+16.5
02/24	Away	Ball St	143.5	73-74	Over	+3.5
02/28	Away	Bowling Green	150.5	62-81	Under	-7.5
03/03	Home	Ohio	156.5	94-82	Over	+19.5
03/12	Neutral	Miami OH	160.5	87-83	Over	+9.5
03/13	Neutral	Toledo	158.5	67-77	Under	-14.5

Bowling Green Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Home	Texas St	146.0	83-48	Under	-15.0
11/06	Home	Bethany (WV)	--	120-65	Under	--
11/09	Home	Le Moyne	154.5	83-60	Under	-11.5
11/15	Away	Davidson	144.5	87-91	Over	+33.5
11/19	Home	William & Mary	167.0	74-82	Under	-11.0
11/24	Neutral	Bucknell	143.5	71-66	Under	-6.5
11/26	Neutral	VMI	149.0	81-48	Under	-20.0
12/01	Away	Kansas St	159.0	82-66	Under	-11.0
12/06	Home	Utah Valley	145.0	71-82	Over	+8.0
12/07	Home	Aquinas	--	131-50	Under	--
12/16	Home	Chicago St	148.0	76-55	Under	-17.0
12/20	Away	Ohio	154.0	68-58	Under	-28.0
12/22	Home	Siena Heights	--	125-66	Under	--
12/30	Home	Miami OH	150.5	83-93	Over	+25.5
01/03	Away	UMass	152.0	101-100	Over	+49.0
01/06	Away	Kent St	155.5	93-96	Over	+33.5
01/09	Home	Akron	163.0	67-77	Under	-19.0
01/17	Home	E Michigan	141.5	85-79	Over	+22.5
01/20	Away	W Michigan	152.5	72-54	Under	-26.5
01/24	Away	Toledo	156.5	72-73	Under	-11.5
01/27	Home	Buffalo	150.0	78-89	Over	+17.0
01/31	Away	C Michigan	149.5	59-62	Under	-28.5
02/03	Home	Ball St	139.5	77-52	Under	-10.5
02/07	Away	Arkansas St	154.5	54-91	Under	-9.5
02/11	Away	N Illinois	144.5	68-52	Under	-24.5
02/14	Home	Toledo	151.0	80-70	Under	-1.0
02/17	Home	Kent St	151.5	71-78	Under	-2.5
02/20	Away	Miami OH	154.0	77-91	Over	+14.0
02/24	Home	W Michigan	149.5	79-88	Over	+17.5
02/28	Home	UMass	150.5	81-62	Under	-7.5
03/06	Away	E Michigan	142.5	77-69	Over	+3.5
03/12	Neutral	Toledo	150.5	76-77	Over	+2.5