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Texas at Tennessee: Point Spread Analysis

Tuesday Jan 6, 2026 9:00 pm - Knoxville, TN
Odds: Tennessee by 11.5, Total Points: 153

Matchup Menu: TEX @ TENN

More Games From Jan 6, 2026

ATS Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
Tennessee -10.5 Official TR Pick Tennessee 52% odds to cover
Tennessee -10.5 Decision Tree Tennessee 53% odds to cover
Texas +10.5 Power Rating Model Texas 60% odds to cover
Texas +10.5 Similar Games Texas 60% odds to cover
Texas +10.5 Predictive Ratings Texas 54% odds to cover

ATS Situational Trends

Record TEX adv TENN
Season 20-15-0 17-19-1
vs Division 0-0-0 0-0-0
vs Conference 9-10-0 9-10-1
Streak W4 L1
Last 5 4-1-0 3-2-0
Last 10 5-5-0 5-5-0
Home 8-9-0 7-10-0
Away 12-6-0 10-9-1

Texas Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/04 Neutral Duke +10.5 L by 15 -4.5
11/08 Home Lafayette -25.5 W by 37 +11.5
11/12 Home F Dickinson -31.5 W by 35 +3.5
11/15 Home Kansas City -31.5 W by 16 -15.5
11/18 Home Rider -30.5 W by 34 +3.5
11/24 Neutral Arizona St -7.5 L by 1 -8.5
11/25 Neutral Chaminade -- W by 41 --
11/26 Neutral NC State +1.0 W by 5 +6.0
12/03 Home Virginia -3.0 L by 19 -22.0
12/08 Home Southern -22.0 W by 26 +4.0
12/12 Away UConn +11.5 L by 8 +3.5
12/16 Home Le Moyne -29.5 W by 42 +12.5
12/22 Home Maryland ES -33.0 W by 23 -10.0
01/03 Home Mississippi St -10.0 L by 3 -13.0
01/06 Away Tennessee +11.5 L by 14 -2.5
01/10 Away Alabama +11.5 W by 4 +15.5
01/14 Home Vanderbilt +4.0 W by 16 +20.0
01/17 Home Texas A&M -4.5 L by 4 -8.5
01/21 Away Kentucky +6.5 L by 5 +1.5
01/24 Home Georgia -3.5 W by 20 +16.5
01/28 Away Auburn +6.5 L by 6 +0.5
01/31 Away Oklahoma -1.5 W by 10 +8.5
02/03 Home South Carolina -13.0 W by 9 -4.0
02/07 Home Mississippi -9.5 W by 11 +1.5
02/14 Away Missouri +2.5 W by 17 +19.5
02/17 Home LSU -10.5 W by 3 -7.5
02/21 Away Georgia +2.5 L by 11 -8.5
02/25 Home Florida +7.5 L by 13 -5.5
02/28 Away Texas A&M +2.5 W by 6 +8.5
03/04 Away Arkansas +6.5 L by 20 -13.5
03/07 Home Oklahoma -6.5 L by 3 -9.5
03/11 Neutral Mississippi -5.5 L by 10 -15.5
03/17 Neutral NC State +1.5 W by 2 +3.5
03/19 Neutral BYU +2.5 W by 8 +10.5
03/21 Neutral Gonzaga +6.5 W by 6 +12.5
03/26 Neutral Purdue +8.5 L by 2 +6.5

Tennessee Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Home Mercer -28.0 W by 15 -13.0
11/08 Home N Kentucky -27.0 W by 39 +12.0
11/12 Home N Florida -41.0 W by 33 -8.0
11/17 Home Rice -26.0 W by 25 -1.0
11/20 Home Tennessee St -32.0 W by 29 -3.0
11/24 Neutral Rutgers -15.0 W by 25 +10.0
11/25 Neutral Houston +3.0 W by 3 +6.0
11/26 Neutral Kansas -7.0 L by 5 -12.0
12/02 Away Syracuse -8.5 L by 2 -10.5
12/06 Neutral Illinois -1.5 L by 13 -14.5
12/16 Home Louisville -4.5 W by 21 +16.5
12/21 Home Gardner-Webb -42.5 W by 42 -0.5
12/30 Home S Carolina St -44.0 W by 51 +7.0
01/03 Away Arkansas -1.5 L by 11 -12.5
01/06 Home Texas -11.5 W by 14 +2.5
01/10 Away Florida +4.5 L by 24 -19.5
01/13 Home Texas A&M -11.0 W by 5 -6.0
01/17 Home Kentucky -6.0 L by 2 -8.0
01/24 Away Alabama +4.0 W by 6 +10.0
01/28 Away Georgia -1.0 W by 1 0.0
01/31 Home Auburn -5.5 W by 8 +2.5
02/03 Home Mississippi -13.0 W by 18 +5.0
02/07 Away Kentucky (Pick) L by 3 -3.0
02/11 Away Mississippi St -7.0 W by 9 +2.0
02/14 Home LSU -14.5 W by 10 -4.5
02/18 Home Oklahoma -11.5 W by 23 +11.5
02/21 Away Vanderbilt +3.5 W by 4 +7.5
02/24 Away Missouri -3.5 L by 4 -7.5
02/28 Home Alabama -4.5 L by 2 -6.5
03/03 Away South Carolina -10.5 W by 19 +8.5
03/07 Home Vanderbilt -3.5 L by 4 -7.5
03/12 Neutral Auburn -5.5 W by 10 +4.5
03/13 Neutral Vanderbilt -3.5 L by 7 -10.5
03/20 Neutral Miami OH -12.5 W by 22 +9.5
03/22 Neutral Virginia -1.5 W by 7 +5.5
03/27 Neutral Iowa St +2.5 W by 14 +16.5
03/29 Neutral Michigan +8.5 L by 33 -24.5