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S Alabama at Troy: Over/Under Analysis

Saturday Jan 3, 2026 4:30 pm - Troy, AL
Odds: Troy by 9.5, Total Points: 148.5

Matchup Menu: USA @ TROY

More Games From Jan 3, 2026

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Over 147.5	Official TR Pick	53% odds to go over
Over 147.5	Similar Games	57% odds to go over
Over 147.5	Decision Tree	53% odds to go over

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	USA	TROY
Season	16-15-0	14-16-2
vs Division	0-0-0	0-0-0
vs Conference	9-10-0	8-10-2
Streak	Un 1	Un 2
Last 5	1-4-0	2-3-0
Last 10	6-4-0	2-7-1
Home	5-7-0	5-6-0
Away	11-8-0	9-10-2

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

S Alabama Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Away	Toledo	151.0	76-74	Under	-1.0
11/06	Home	Alcorn St	141.5	76-70	Over	+4.5
11/08	Home	Spring Hill	--	99-50	Under	--
11/13	Neutral	C Michigan	143.0	66-64	Under	-13.0
11/15	Neutral	Coppin St	133.5	72-62	Over	+0.5
11/19	Away	Jacksonville St	134.5	71-65	Over	+1.5
11/21	Away	UAB	147.5	72-80	Over	+4.5
11/30	Away	UTSA	141.0	82-58	Under	-1.0
12/02	Neutral	New Mexico St	135.5	77-75	Over	+16.5
12/05	Away	E Tennessee St	143.5	65-91	Over	+12.5
12/14	Home	N Texas	135.0	57-58	Under	-20.0
12/17	Away	UL Monroe	148.5	96-92	Over	+39.5
12/20	Away	Texas St	137.0	65-67	Under	-5.0
12/29	Home	Mobile	--	85-52	Under	--
12/31	Away	Louisiana	128.0	63-58	Under	-7.0
01/03	Away	Troy	148.5	49-59	Under	-40.5
01/10	Home	Georgia So	148.5	87-71	Over	+9.5
01/15	Home	Arkansas St	154.0	91-87	Over	+24.0
01/17	Home	Louisiana	130.5	56-59	Under	-15.5
01/22	Away	J Madison	138.5	90-83	Over	+34.5
01/29	Home	Coastal Car	140.5	53-48	Under	-39.5
01/31	Home	Georgia St	139.5	69-67	Under	-3.5
02/04	Away	App State	131.0	57-65	Under	-9.0
02/07	Home	Buffalo	144.0	81-69	Over	+6.0
02/12	Away	Southern Miss	135.5	84-78	Over	+26.5
02/14	Away	Arkansas St	149.5	92-88	Over	+30.5
02/16	Away	Marshall	150.5	80-84	Over	+13.5
02/19	Home	Texas St	137.5	82-90	Over	+34.5
02/21	Home	Troy	144.5	65-54	Under	-25.5
02/25	Home	UL Monroe	153.5	89-54	Under	-10.5
02/27	Home	Southern Miss	141.5	55-68	Under	-18.5
03/06	Neutral	Georgia So	149.5	85-94	Over	+29.5
03/17	Away	Auburn	151.5	67-78	Under	-6.5

Troy Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Away	Kent St	142.5	103-97	Over	+57.5
11/07	Away	Furman	153.5	64-61	Under	-28.5
11/11	Home	Pensacola Christian College	--	121-56	Under	--
11/14	Away	Loyola Mymt	140.0	63-74	Under	-3.0
11/16	Away	CS Northridge	156.0	85-94	Over	+23.0
11/18	Away	San Diego St	137.5	108-107	Over	+77.5
11/20	Away	USC	159.0	106-107	Over	+54.0
11/24	Neutral	Toledo	160.5	68-75	Under	-17.5
11/26	Neutral	St Francis PA	151.0	74-64	Under	-13.0
12/01	Home	W Georgia	150.5	89-93	Over	+31.5
12/06	Home	La Grange	--	101-47	Under	--
12/14	Away	UAB	155.0	86-85	Over	+16.0
12/20	Home	Marshall	155.0	70-63	Under	-22.0
12/31	Home	Texas St	145.5	100-80	Over	+34.5
01/03	Home	S Alabama	148.5	59-49	Under	-40.5
01/07	Away	Arkansas St	160.0	74-86	Push	0.0
01/10	Away	Louisiana	136.5	90-70	Over	+23.5
01/14	Home	Southern Miss	145.5	91-65	Over	+10.5
01/17	Home	Arkansas St	166.0	99-74	Over	+7.0
01/21	Away	Old Dominion	152.5	83-77	Over	+7.5
01/24	Away	Georgia So	159.5	83-78	Over	+1.5
01/29	Home	J Madison	147.5	64-73	Under	-10.5
01/31	Home	App State	137.0	44-66	Under	-27.0
02/04	Away	Georgia St	144.0	74-63	Under	-7.0
02/07	Home	Akron	157.5	79-69	Under	-9.5
02/11	Away	Texas St	141.0	62-74	Under	-5.0
02/14	Away	Southern Miss	144.5	65-69	Under	-10.5
02/18	Away	UL Monroe	153.0	77-76	Push	0.0
02/21	Away	S Alabama	144.5	54-65	Under	-25.5
02/24	Home	Louisiana	134.5	78-59	Over	+2.5
02/27	Home	UL Monroe	154.5	80-65	Under	-9.5
03/08	Neutral	Southern Miss	143.5	78-70	Over	+4.5
03/09	Neutral	Georgia So	152.5	77-61	Under	-14.5
03/19	Neutral	Nebraska	139.5	47-76	Under	-16.5