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S Alabama at Troy: Point Spread Analysis

Saturday Jan 3, 2026 4:30 pm - Troy, AL
Odds: Troy by 9.5, Total Points: 148.5

Matchup Menu: USA @ TROY

More Games From Jan 3, 2026

ATS Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
S Alabama +9.0 Official TR Pick S Alabama 50% odds to cover
S Alabama +9.0 Power Rating Model S Alabama 60% odds to cover
S Alabama +9.0 Similar Games S Alabama 53% odds to cover
S Alabama +9.0 Decision Tree S Alabama 50% odds to cover
S Alabama +9.0 Predictive Ratings S Alabama 54% odds to cover

ATS Situational Trends

Record USA adv TROY
Season 17-14-0 17-15-0
vs Division 0-0-0 0-0-0
vs Conference 11-8-0 11-9-0
Streak W1 L1
Last 5 3-2-0 3-2-0
Last 10 7-3-0 4-6-0
Home 6-6-0 7-4-0
Away 11-8-0 10-11-0

S Alabama Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Away Toledo +3.0 W by 2 +5.0
11/06 Home Alcorn St -19.0 W by 6 -13.0
11/08 Home Spring Hill -- W by 49 --
11/13 Neutral C Michigan -5.5 W by 2 -3.5
11/15 Neutral Coppin St -19.5 W by 10 -9.5
11/19 Away Jacksonville St +2.5 W by 6 +8.5
11/21 Away UAB +7.5 L by 8 -0.5
11/30 Away UTSA -2.0 W by 24 +22.0
12/02 Neutral New Mexico St +4.0 W by 2 +6.0
12/05 Away E Tennessee St +6.5 L by 26 -19.5
12/14 Home N Texas -1.5 L by 1 -2.5
12/17 Away UL Monroe -9.5 W by 4 -5.5
12/20 Away Texas St +3.0 L by 2 +1.0
12/29 Home Mobile -- W by 33 --
12/31 Away Louisiana -3.5 W by 5 +1.5
01/03 Away Troy +9.5 L by 10 -0.5
01/10 Home Georgia So -1.5 W by 16 +14.5
01/15 Home Arkansas St +4.0 W by 4 +8.0
01/17 Home Louisiana -9.5 L by 3 -12.5
01/22 Away J Madison +4.0 W by 7 +11.0
01/29 Home Coastal Car -3.5 W by 5 +1.5
01/31 Home Georgia St -5.5 W by 2 -3.5
02/04 Away App State +5.5 L by 8 -2.5
02/07 Home Buffalo -1.5 W by 12 +10.5
02/12 Away Southern Miss +1.5 W by 6 +7.5
02/14 Away Arkansas St +7.5 W by 4 +11.5
02/16 Away Marshall +6.0 L by 4 +2.0
02/19 Home Texas St -3.5 L by 8 -11.5
02/21 Home Troy +1.5 W by 11 +12.5
02/25 Home UL Monroe -14.5 W by 35 +20.5
02/27 Home Southern Miss -4.5 L by 13 -17.5
03/06 Neutral Georgia So -4.5 L by 9 -13.5
03/17 Away Auburn +18.5 L by 11 +7.5

Troy Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Away Kent St +3.5 W by 6 +9.5
11/07 Away Furman +2.5 W by 3 +5.5
11/11 Home Pensacola Christian College -- W by 65 --
11/14 Away Loyola Mymt +4.5 L by 11 -6.5
11/16 Away CS Northridge -4.0 L by 9 -13.0
11/18 Away San Diego St +14.5 W by 1 +15.5
11/20 Away USC +17.5 L by 1 +16.5
11/24 Neutral Toledo -2.5 L by 7 -9.5
11/26 Neutral St Francis PA -21.5 W by 10 -11.5
12/01 Home W Georgia -17.5 L by 4 -21.5
12/06 Home La Grange -- W by 54 --
12/14 Away UAB +5.5 W by 1 +6.5
12/20 Home Marshall -4.5 W by 7 +2.5
12/31 Home Texas St -8.5 W by 20 +11.5
01/03 Home S Alabama -9.5 W by 10 +0.5
01/07 Away Arkansas St +4.5 L by 12 -7.5
01/10 Away Louisiana -9.5 W by 20 +10.5
01/14 Home Southern Miss -9.0 W by 26 +17.0
01/17 Home Arkansas St -3.5 W by 25 +21.5
01/21 Away Old Dominion -6.5 W by 6 -0.5
01/24 Away Georgia So -4.5 W by 5 +0.5
01/29 Home J Madison -9.5 L by 9 -18.5
01/31 Home App State -8.5 L by 22 -30.5
02/04 Away Georgia St -5.5 W by 11 +5.5
02/07 Home Akron +3.5 W by 10 +13.5
02/11 Away Texas St -5.0 L by 12 -17.0
02/14 Away Southern Miss -5.0 L by 4 -9.0
02/18 Away UL Monroe -16.0 W by 1 -15.0
02/21 Away S Alabama -1.5 L by 11 -12.5
02/24 Home Louisiana -11.5 W by 19 +7.5
02/27 Home UL Monroe -18.5 W by 15 -3.5
03/08 Neutral Southern Miss -5.5 W by 8 +2.5
03/09 Neutral Georgia So -4.5 W by 16 +11.5
03/19 Neutral Nebraska +13.5 L by 29 -15.5