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Southern at Alabama St: Over/Under Analysis

Tuesday Mar 3, 2026 8:00 pm - Montgomery, AL
Odds: Alabama State by 1.5, Total Points: 154.5

Matchup Menu: SOU @ ALST

More Games From Mar 3, 2026

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Over 154.5	Official TR Pick	53% odds to go over
Over 154.5	Decision Tree	53% odds to go over
Under 154.5	Similar Games	53% odds to go under

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	SOU	ALST
Season	20-11-0	14-17-0
vs Division	0-0-0	0-0-0
vs Conference	13-8-0	9-10-0
Streak	Un 1	Ov 1
Last 5	3-2-0	2-3-0
Last 10	7-3-0	4-6-0
Home	7-2-0	2-6-0
Away	13-9-0	12-11-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Southern Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Away	Arkansas	149.5	77-109	Over	+36.5
11/05	Away	Marquette	156.0	82-100	Over	+26.0
11/10	Home	Ecclesia College	--	115-51	Under	--
11/15	Home	Champion Baptist	--	129-64	Under	--
11/18	Away	Washington	157.5	93-99	Over	+34.5
11/21	Away	San Jose St	150.5	66-80	Under	-4.5
11/29	Away	NW State	144.5	75-73	Over	+3.5
12/01	Home	Louisiana College	--	101-48	Under	--
12/08	Away	Texas	158.5	69-95	Over	+5.5
12/10	Away	Texas St	142.0	83-86	Over	+27.0
12/16	Away	Cal Baptist	156.0	67-75	Under	-14.0
12/21	Away	Baylor	169.5	67-111	Over	+8.5
12/29	Away	Illinois	163.5	55-90	Under	-18.5
01/03	Home	Texas So	153.5	84-73	Over	+3.5
01/05	Home	Prairie View	160.5	85-89	Over	+13.5
01/10	Away	Florida A&M	153.5	59-67	Under	-27.5
01/12	Away	Bethune	151.5	77-73	Under	-1.5
01/17	Away	Grambling	153.5	71-53	Under	-29.5
01/24	Home	AR-Pine Bluff	153.5	74-75	Under	-4.5
01/28	Home	Miss Valley St	142.0	80-69	Over	+7.0
01/31	Away	Alcorn St	148.0	73-78	Over	+3.0
02/02	Away	Jackson St	152.5	96-91	Over	+34.5
02/07	Home	Alabama A&M	143.0	81-68	Over	+6.0
02/09	Home	Alabama St	149.0	69-68	Under	-12.0
02/14	Away	Prairie View	161.5	87-82	Over	+7.5
02/16	Away	Texas So	151.5	73-74	Under	-4.5
02/21	Home	Grambling	142.5	87-73	Over	+17.5
02/26	Home	Florida A&M	147.5	71-82	Over	+5.5
02/28	Home	Bethune	153.5	79-82	Over	+7.5
03/03	Away	Alabama St	154.5	71-64	Under	-19.5
03/05	Away	Alabama A&M	145.5	88-85	Over	+27.5
03/12	Neutral	AR-Pine Bluff	151.5	84-81	Over	+13.5
03/13	Neutral	Florida A&M	141.5	73-70	Over	+1.5
03/14	Neutral	Prairie View	146.5	66-72	Under	-8.5

Alabama St Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/07	Away	Florida St	166.5	64-101	Under	-1.5
11/11	Away	UAB	164.5	77-74	Under	-13.5
11/14	Home	Virginia-Lynchburg	--	124-68	Under	--
11/17	Away	Colorado	157.5	66-94	Over	+2.5
11/19	Away	Air Force	138.5	64-66	Under	-8.5
11/21	Neutral	IU Indy	182.5	101-80	Under	-1.5
11/23	Neutral	SIU Edward	142.0	68-83	Over	+9.0
11/26	Away	New Mexico	148.0	87-93	Over	+32.0
12/07	Away	UT Martin	144.0	64-74	Under	-6.0
12/11	Away	Missouri	155.5	77-85	Over	+6.5
12/17	Away	Cincinnati	145.5	51-88	Under	-6.5
12/22	Away	Memphis	151.5	67-88	Over	+3.5
12/29	Away	Mississippi St	154.0	56-94	Under	-4.0
01/03	Away	Miss Valley St	144.0	89-69	Over	+14.0
01/05	Away	AR-Pine Bluff	159.5	79-90	Over	+9.5
01/10	Home	Jackson St	153.0	64-75	Under	-14.0
01/12	Home	Alcorn St	151.5	81-66	Under	-4.5
01/19	Neutral	Alabama A&M	146.5	69-73	Under	-4.5
01/24	Away	Prairie View	158.5	95-80	Over	+16.5
01/27	Away	Texas So	154.5	64-96	Over	+5.5
01/31	Home	Bethune	153.5	54-69	Under	-30.5
02/02	Home	Florida A&M	140.5	79-66	Over	+4.5
02/07	Away	Grambling	144.0	47-57	Under	-40.0
02/09	Away	Southern	149.0	68-69	Under	-12.0
02/14	Home	AR-Pine Bluff	150.5	79-61	Under	-10.5
02/16	Home	Miss Valley St	141.5	92-55	Over	+5.5
02/19	Away	Bethune	147.5	71-82	Over	+5.5
02/21	Away	Florida A&M	144.5	63-76	Under	-5.5
02/28	Away	Alabama A&M	143.5	89-88	Over	+33.5
03/03	Home	Southern	154.5	64-71	Under	-19.5
03/05	Home	Grambling	144.5	63-65	Under	-16.5
03/09	Neutral	Alcorn St	141.5	65-77	Over	+0.5